참고자료

[돼지독감] 호주의 겨울철 2009 대유행 인플루엔자 A(H1N1) 바이러스

첨부파일

호주_SI_2009겨울.pdf (709.29 KB)

호주의 겨울철 2009 대유행 인플루엔자 A(H1N1) 바이러스

이 논문은 호주 정부의 인플루엔자 대응계획이 아주 적절했고, 예상보다 사망자가 적게 나온 것은 공중보건상 완화조치가 성공했다는 것을 반영하며, 초기 항바이러스제를 적절하게 사용했으며, 병독력이 높지 않다는 2009 대유행 인플루엔자 바이러스의 자연적 특성을 잘 알고 있었기 때문이라는 자화자찬이 강한 내용을 담고 있습니다.

개인적으로는 고위험군이나 중증환자가 아닌 95% 이상의 신종플루 감염환자의 경우 타미플루의 투약이 전혀 필요 없었고, 고위험군이나 중증환자의 경우에도 치료효과가 의심스러운 상황이며, 호주의 경우 백신정책을 전혀 사용할 수 없는 상황에서 겨울철을 겪었다는 점을 고려할 때… 신종플루 바이러스의 병독력이 약했기 때문에 희생자가 적게 나왔다고 평가하는 것이 더 객관적이라고 생각합니다.

하여튼… 이 논문의 내용을 요약하면 다음과 같습니다.

호주에서 인플루엔자 유행 최고조기에 인플루엔자유사증상(ILL)으로 진료를 받은 사람은 1000명 당 34~38명에 달했으며, 최고조기에 2009 대유행 인플루엔자 A(H1N1) 바이러스 확정진단 비율은 지역에 따라 38~65%에 이르렀습니다.

직장에 결근하거나 학교에 결석한 비율은 최근 들어 독감이 가장 유행했던 2007년과 비슷했습니다.

인구 10만명 당 입원환자는 23명이었으며, 입원환자 중 13%는 중환자실(intensive care units)에 입원하였으며, 토착원주민 입원환자 중 16%가 중환자실(intensive care units)에 입원하였습니다.

5세 이하의 영유아 집단의 입원율이 가장 높았는데, 5세 이하 남아의 입원율은 인구 10만명 당 67.9명이었으며, 5세 이하 여아의 입원율은 인구 10만명 당 54.1명이었습니다. 한편 계절 독감의 경우 이들 인구집단의 입원율은 인구 10만명 당 51.1명이었습니다. 평균 입원 기간은 3일이었으며, 일주일 이상 입원한 환자도 19%에 달했습니다.

인구 100만명 당 2.1명이 체외막산소공급장치(ECMO)를 사용하였는데, 체외막산소공급장치(ECMO)를 사용한 환자 중에서 2/3는 생존하였습니다.

2009 대유행 인플루엔자 A(H1N1) 바이러스 확정진단 환자 10만명 당 3.2명이 중환자실(intensive care units)에 입원하였으며, 중환자실 입원환자의 평균연령은 42세였습니다.

호주정부에 보고된 20세 이상 성인 중 바이러스성 폐렴환자가 2005~2008년 년간 57명에 불과했던데 반해 2009년 대유행 인플루엔자 A(H1N1) 바이러스에 의한 바이러스성 폐렴환자는 387명에 달했습니다.

연구팀이 논문을 발표할 시점까지 호주의 2009년 대유행 인플루엔자 A(H1N1) 바이러스 감염에 의한 사망자는 190명이었습니다.

계절성 독감의 평균 사망연령이 83세였던데 비해 2009년 대유행 인플루엔자 A(H1N1) 바이러스이 평균 사망연령은 53세였습니다.

=====================================


Australia’s Winter with the 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus

James F. Bishop, M.D., Mary P. Murnane, B.A., and Rhonda Owen, B.Sc.

출처 : http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/27/2591

When the World Health Organization declared a “public health emergency of international concern” on April 25, 2009, after the emergence in Mexico of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus, Australia activated its well-rehearsed plan for response to pandemic influenza.1 The Australian Health Management Plan for Pandemic Influenza is a strategic outline, based on evidence and international best practices, of actions and interventions that the health care community should consider taking during a pandemic. It describes the planning assumptions, the phases of a response, and the key actions that minimize a pandemic’s effects on the population and the health care community. Over the subsequent 6 weeks, the implementation of border-control measures — including requirements that travelers entering Australia declare whether they have symptoms of influenza or have been in contact with someone with severe respiratory illness and that contacts of persons with known influenza be traced — gave the health care community time to learn more about the natural history of the new influenza strain.2

The groups that had been identified worldwide as the most vulnerable to poor outcomes were pregnant women, indigenous populations, and persons with gross obesity or serious underlying medical conditions. Australia pursued a modified version of its national plan for pandemic influenza, under which such persons and those with rapidly progressing influenza and respiratory distress were targeted for early outpatient-based treatment with antiviral medication and careful follow-up by primary care physicians and hospitals. Additional public health mitigation measures included opening the national stockpile of antiviral medication, providing personal protective equipment to general practitioners, issuing public messages recommending self-quarantine at home for persons with influenza-like illness, and launching public-awareness campaigns aimed at reducing droplet spread of the disease.

This first wave of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus infection lasted about 18 weeks in Australia, from mid-May to late September 2009 (see graph).3 Consultations for influenza-like illness in general practices and emergency departments peaked at 34 and 38 per 1000 consultations, respectively. The percentage of clinical isolates that tested positive for influenza A peaked at 38 to 65% in the various states and territories, and the 2009 H1N1 virus accounted for 90% of influenza A isolates by week 8 (see maps). Rates of absenteeism from work and school were similar to those seen in 2007, the year in which Australia had its worst recent influenza season. The rate of hospitalizations was 23 per 100,000 population, with indigenous Australians overrepresented (16%) and about 13% of all patients who were hospitalized being admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). The highest rate of hospitalization occurred among children under 5 years of age. Boys younger than 5 years of age were hospitalized at rate of 67.9 per 100,000 population, and girls in that age group at a rate of 54.1 per 100,000 population, as compared with 51.1 per 100,000 population in this age group during previous influenza seasons. The median length of stay was 3 days, with 19% of patients being hospitalized for more than 7 days.










Figure 1
View larger version (28K):
[in this window]
[in a new window]
Get Slide
 
The Geographic Spread of the 2009 Influenza A (H1N1) Virus in Australia.

Data are from the Australian Influenza Surveillance Reports.

 









Figure 2
View larger version (38K):
[in this window]
[in a new window]
Get Slide
 
The Frequency of Laboratory-Confirmed 2009 Influenza A (H1N1) Virus Infection in Australia.

Data are from the Australian Influenza Surveillance Reports and are organized according to statistical divisions defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics; an area under the unifying influence of one or more major towns or cities constitutes a statistical division.

 
Intensive care specialists identified some patients with confirmed 2009 influenza A (H1N1) virus infection and “lung-only” single-organ failure whose lung function could not be sustained with the use of ventilators. Among these patients, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) was used extensively.4 Approximately 2.1 patients per million population were treated with ECMO, and two thirds of these patients survived.

A distinguishing feature of the epidemic was the number of people who were hospitalized in ICUs with confirmed cases of pandemic H1N1 influenza (3.5 per 100,000) and their young age (median, 42 years). According to data from influenza reports and from the Australian government, a total of 387 adults (over 20 years of age) were admitted with viral pneumonitis resulting from influenza A, as compared with a median of only 57 adults per year admitted with viral pneumonitis from any cause between 2005 and 2008. The peak of the epidemic in Australia lasted about 3 weeks, and although the Australian health system was stressed, there was spare capacity of ECMO equipment, hospital beds, and ICU beds.

Before the 2009 H1N1 virus reached Australia, there were dire predictions that the country would see many thousands of deaths from infection with this virus. In reality, 190 deaths associated with the virus have been confirmed to date, although some additional cases may not have been documented. A broader measure of all Australian deaths resulting from influenza or pneumonia currently indicates that there have been fewer such deaths than in other influenza or winter seasons.3 However, this year the median age of the patients who died was 53 years, as compared with 83 years in previous seasons. The lower-than-expected number of deaths could reflect the success of public health mitigation measures, the use of early antiviral therapy against a sensitive virus, and the natural history of this illness, which tends to be moderate in most people rather than severe.

A national vaccination program was begun in Australia on September 30, 2009, using a monovalent, unadjuvanted 2009 influenza A (H1N1) vaccine (Panvax, CSL Biotherapies).5 In clinical trials of this vaccine, Australian participants had higher than expected levels of protective cross-reactive antibodies, although the implications of this finding are uncertain. It is possible that more asymptomatic infections had already occurred. This vaccination program should provide a higher level of protection for the Australian population against an anticipated second wave of infection with the virus.

Key lessons so far from this experience in an unprotected population suggest that important elements of the response were a national coordination of efforts and the use and modification of the national pandemic plan framework, focusing on persons who were most at risk. The spread of the epidemic occurred earlier in some geographic locations than in others, which created challenges (such as implementing the school closure policy) in terms of maintaining a coordinated national approach to the epidemic. This challenge was addressed in part by holding regular meetings of the cross-jurisdictional Australian Health Protection Committee. Public messages regarding the public health response used the names of the phases of the pandemic plan, including “Delay,” “Contain,” and “Protect,” which may have helped the public to take appropriate personal action and reduce the impact of the virus on our population.


Financial and other disclosures provided by the authors are available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org.


Source Information

From the Department of Health and Ageing, Canberra, ACT, Australia.

This article (10.1056/NEJMp0910445) was published on November 25, 2009, at NEJM.org.

References



  1. Australian health management plan for pandemic influenza. Canberra: Australian Government Department of Health and Ageing, 2008. 
  2. Shinde V, Bridges CB, Uyeki TM, et al. Triple-reassortant swine influenza A (H1) in humans in the United States, 2005-2009. N Engl J Med 2009;360:2616-2625. [Erratum, N Engl J Med 2009;361:102.] [Free Full Text]
  3. Australian Government Department of Health and Ageing. Australian influenza surveillance report no. 21: reporting period 26 September–2 October 2009. (Accessed November 20, 2009, at http://www.healthemergency.gov.au.)
  4. The ANZIC Influenza Investigators. Critical care services and 2009 H1N1 influenza in Australia and New Zealand. N Engl J Med 2009;361:1925-1934. [Free Full Text]
  5. Greenberg ME, Lai MH, Hartel GF, et al. Response to a monovalent 2009 influenza A (H1N1) vaccine. N Engl J Med 2009;361:2405-2413. [Free Full Text]

댓글 남기기

이메일은 공개되지 않습니다.

다음의 HTML 태그와 속성을 사용할 수 있습니다: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>