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	<title>건강과 대안 &#187; Critical Care Services</title>
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		<title>[돼지독감]  critical care services in European hospitals</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=1378</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2009 14:06:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[식품 · 의약품]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Critical Care Services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hospitalized Patients]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ICU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[돼지독감]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The approaching pandemic pressures on critical care services in European hospitals &#8211; preparation is crucial 12 Nov 2009출처 : http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%20Reviews/ECDC_DispForm.aspx?List=512ff74f%2D77d4%2D4ad8%2Db6d6%2Dbf0f23083f30&#038;ID=682&#038;RootFolder=%2Fen%2Factivities%2Fsciadvice%2FLists%2FECDC%20Reviews Critical care services in the H1N1 2009 influenza [...]]]></description>
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<TD class=pageTitle>The approaching pandemic pressures on critical care services in European hospitals &#8211; preparation is crucial</TD></TR><br />
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<DIV class=dateDiv style="FONT-WEIGHT: bold; FONT-SIZE: 11px">12 Nov 2009<BR><BR>출처 : <A href="http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%20Reviews/ECDC_DispForm.aspx?List=512ff74f%2D77d4%2D4ad8%2Db6d6%2Dbf0f23083f30&#038;ID=682&#038;RootFolder=%2Fen%2Factivities%2Fsciadvice%2FLists%2FECDC%20Reviews">http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%20Reviews/ECDC_DispForm.aspx?List=512ff74f%2D77d4%2D4ad8%2Db6d6%2Dbf0f23083f30&#038;ID=682&#038;RootFolder=%2Fen%2Factivities%2Fsciadvice%2FLists%2FECDC%20Reviews</A><BR></DIV></TD></TR><br />
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<P><B><SPAN>Critical care services in the H1N1 2009 influenza pandemic – the present status and preparing for an increasing demand</SPAN></B></P><br />
<P><SPAN>While countries like the USA, Mexico, Australia and New Zealand have already experienced the first marked peaks of H1N1 2009 influenza pandemic, the fast approaching winter season for Europe presages the necessity of facing the similar challenge. Pressures on critical care<A title="" href="http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%20Reviews/EditForm.aspx?ID=682&#038;Source=/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%2520Reviews/AllItems.aspx#_ftn1" name=_ftnref1><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN>[1]</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></A> are already building up and some EU countries have already made plans to significantly increase that capacity for example for ventilating patients. Reports on epidemiological and clinical presentation of influenza pandemic can provide estimates of the burden of disease. Studies on effectiveness of treatment,<SUP> </SUP>use of public health resources, and outcomes for patients give vital lesson for countries which have yet to be significantly affected. Recently WHO held a global consultation to gather information about the clinical features and management of this specific pandemic influenza which drew on the findings and experiences presented by around 100 clinicians, scientists, and public health professionals from the Americas, Europe, Asia, Africa, the Middle East and Oceania. Some initial findings have been made public by WHO.<A title="" href="http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%20Reviews/EditForm.aspx?ID=682&#038;Source=/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%2520Reviews/AllItems.aspx#_edn1" name=_ednref1><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN>[i]</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></A></SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>In addition a range of recently published studies on epidemiological and clinical presentations of the A(H1N1) influenza pandemic and their impact on c<SPAN>ritical care services is presented below.</SPAN></SPAN></P><br />
<P><A title="" href="http://click2.nejm.org/cts/click?q=137;67291500;uBEWJXDy%2Bh/vyxLOqfN5%2BT5AeA6RkUyjXjumPrfyuug%3D" target=_blank><SPAN>Critical Care Services and 2009 H1N1 Influenza in Australia and New Zealand</SPAN></A><SPAN> <BR>The ANZIC Influenza Investigators<BR></SPAN><SPAN><SPAN>NEJM, October 8, 2009 (10.1056/NEJMoa0908481)</SPAN></SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>In this inception-cohort study the authors presented demographic and clinical characteristics of the A(H1N1) influenza infected patients, along with calculation per million inhabitants of the numbers of ICU admissions, bed-days, and days of mechanical ventilation due to influenza infection in all intensive care units (ICUs) during the 2009 winter. The authors found that the number of ICU admissions due to influenza A in 2009 was 15 times the number due to viral pneumonitis in recent years. Infants (0 to 1 y.o.) and adults (25 to 64 y.o.) were identified as on particular risk, and pregnant women, adults with a BMI over 35, and indigenous Australian and New Zealand populations also appeared to have an increased risk. In-hospital mortality exceeded 16%.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><A title="" href="http://jama.ama-assn.org/cgi/content/abstract/2009.1536v1" target=_blank><SPAN>Critically Ill Patients With 2009 Influenza A(H1N1) in Mexico</SPAN></A><BR><SPAN lang=ES-TRAD>Guillermo Domínguez-Cherit, Stephen E. Lapinsky, Alejandro E. Macias, Ruxandra Pinto, Lourdes Espinosa-Perez, Alethse de la Torre et al.<BR></SPAN><EM><SPAN>JAMA.</SPAN></EM><I><SPAN>&nbsp;</SPAN></I><SPAN>2009;302(17):(doi:10.1001/jama.2009.1536).</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>The retrospective observational study describes the epidemiological characteristics, comorbidity, illness progression, treatments, and clinical outcomes of 58 critically ill patients with<SPAN>&nbsp; </SPAN>influenza A(H1N1) 2009 in Mexico from March 24 to June 1, 2009. The outcomes of this study indicated that the first series of Mexican cases had similar demographic and clinical presentation as in the other affected countries however mortality rate was higher. One explanation was that early medical intervention and prompt clinical treatment may mitigate the severity of illness and reduce mortality.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><A title="" href="http://jama.ama-assn.org/cgi/content/full/2009.1496" target=_blank><SPAN>Critically Ill Patients With 2009 Influenza A(H1N1) Infection in Canada</SPAN></A><BR><SPAN>Anand Kumar, Ryan Zarychanski, Ruxandra Pinto, Deborah J. Cook, John Marshall et al.<BR></SPAN><SPAN>JAMA. 2009;302(17):(doi:10.1001/jama.2009.1496).</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>The prospective observational study describes the epidemiological characteristics, clinical features, treatments, and outcomes of 168 critically ill patients infected with 2009 influenza A(H1N1) in Canada from April 16 to August 12, 2009. The report showed that critical illness due to influenza A(H1N1) 2009 predominantly affected young patients with few major comorbidities and was associated with severe hypoxemic respiratory failure, often requiring prolonged mechanical ventilation and rescue therapies.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><A title="" href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/NEJMoa0906695?query=TOC" target=_blank>Hospitalized Patients with 2009 H1N1 Influenza in the United States, April–June 2009</A> <BR><SPAN>Seema Jain, Laurie Kamimoto, Anna M. Bramley, Ann M. Schmitz, Stephen R. Benoit et al.<BR></SPAN><SPAN>NEJM, </SPAN><SPAN>October 8, 2009 (10.1056/NEJMoa0906695)</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>This report by CDC investigators describes the clinical characteristics of the earliest 272 patients hospitalized with the 2009 H1N1 virus in the United States. Seventy-three percent of the patients had at least one underlying medical condition including asthma; diabetes; heart, lung, and neurologic diseases; and pregnancy. Forty-five percent of patients were obese or morbidly obese, however most of them (81%) had an accompanying underlying condition. Hence obesity did not seem to be an individual risk factor for severe influenza disease. Data from this study suggest that the use of antiviral drugs was beneficial, especially when initiated early.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><A title="" href="http://jama.ama-assn.org/cgi/content/full/2009.1535" target=_blank><SPAN>Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for 2009 influenza A(H1N1) acute respiratory distress syndrome</SPAN></A><BR><SPAN>The Australia and New Zealand Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ANZ ECMO) Influenza Investigators<BR></SPAN><SPAN>JAMA.</SPAN><SPAN>&nbsp;2009;302(17):(doi:10.1001/jama.2009.1535).</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>This study presents the characteristics of 68 patients with pandemic A(H1N1)<SPAN>&nbsp; </SPAN>influenza associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) treated with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in ICUs<SPAN>&nbsp; </SPAN>between June 1 and August 31, 2009. The analysed cases were often young adults, pregnant or postpartum, obese, had severe respiratory failure before prolonged mechanical ventilation and ECMO therapy. At the end of the observation period 48 of the 68 patients (71%) had survived to ICU discharge, of whom 32 had survived to hospital discharge and 16 remained as hospital inpatients. Fourteen patients (21%) had died and 6 remained in the ICU, 2 of whom were still receiving ECMO.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN lang=ES><A title="" href="http://ccforum.com/content/13/5/R148" target=_blank><SPAN lang=EN-GB>Intensive care adult patients with severe respiratory failure caused by Influenza A (H1N1)v in Spain</SPAN><BR></A></SPAN><SPAN lang=ES-TRAD>Rello J., Rodríguez A., Ibañez P., Socias L., Cebrian J., Marques A et. al.<BR></SPAN><SPAN>Crital Care, 2009 Sep 11;13(5):R148</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>This study presents one of the first reports of <SPAN>&nbsp;</SPAN>intensive care use during the H1N1 2009 influenza pandemic in Europe. Rello J. and his group presents the clinical and epidemiologic characteristics of the first 32 A(H1N1) 2009 laboratory confirmed cases admitted to the intensive care use (ICU)<SPAN>&nbsp; </SPAN>in Spain. In the analysed group (25% children and 75% adults) the median age was 36 (IQR=31-52) where 10 (31.2%) were obese, 2 (6.3%) pregnant and 16 (50%) had pre-existing medical complications. Twenty-nine (90.6%) had primary viral pneumonitis, 2 (6.3%) exacerbated chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (CODP) and 1 (3.1%) secondary bacterial pneumonia (with streptococcus bact.) Twenty-four patients (75.0%) developed multiorgan dysfunction, 24 (75.0%) required mechanical ventilation and 7 (21.9%) received renal replacement techniques due to renal failure. Six patients died within 28 days and there were two additional late deaths.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>All patients received presumptive antibiotic therapy. Oseltamivir administration delay ranged from 2 to 8 days after illness onset, 31.2% received double-dose (300 mg/day), the duration of treatment ranged from 5 to 10 days. The clinical data suggests that early oxygen therapy and oseltamivir treatment play important role in the treatment for severe A(H1N1)v influenza infections.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN lang=ES><A title="" href="http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/122520541/abstract" target=_blank><SPAN lang=EN-GB>Modelling the impact of an influenza A/H1N1 pandemic on critical care demand from early pathogenicity data: the case for sentinel reporting</SPAN><BR></A></SPAN><SPAN>Ercole A., Taylor., B.L., Rhodes A., Menon D.K.,<BR>Anaesthesia, </SPAN><SPAN>2009 Sep;64(9):937-41. Epub 2009 Jul 23</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>While most of the countries worldwide prepared pre-pandemic plans including modelling and forecasting work, the most accurate method for estimating real burden of pandemic is to base it on current statistics taking into account present public health approach. This study attempts to </SPAN><SPAN>quantify the potential critical care burden of influenza A/H1N1 in a European <SPAN>&nbsp;</SPAN>population (England) using the CDC FLUSURGE 2.0 model based on data on disease severity from the USA and Mexico. Estimates were presented using data from the UK Office for National Statistics; the total number of adult level 3 beds of 2030, the total paediatric intensive care beds of 265, the total number of available ventilators was assumed to be equal to the number of critical care beds. The total number of confirmed cases of influenza A/H1N1 in England at the time of writing was 6162, which number was the starting point of analysis. The duration of pandemic was assumed as 12 weeks. <SPAN>The model found that when none of the first 6162 confirmed cases had been admitted to hospital, 95% confidence limit on admission rates led to a range in predicted peak critical care bed occupancy of between 0% and 37% of total capacity, with peak ventilator usage ranging between 0% and 19% of total capacity. For hospital admission rates above 0.25% the model critical care bed availability would be exceeded. Considering the fact that only 10% of critical care beds in England are in specialist paediatric units and 30% of estimated patients requiring critical care will be children, paediatric intensive care facilities are likely to be quickly exhausted and the authors suggest that older children should be managed in adult critical care units. This study shows that data from sentinel reporting systems and up-to-date modelling allow for real-time forecasting which is critically useful in the decision-making process.</SPAN></SPAN></P><br />
<P><B><SPAN>ECDC comment (30<SUP>th</SUP> October 2009)</SPAN></B></P><br />
<P><SPAN lang=EN-US>These recent studies confirm prior observations that while healthcare services in a number of countries affected by the first pandemic (H1N1) 2009 wave coped reasonably well with the increased workload the greatest pressures were on intensive care units and specifically concerning assisted ventilation capacity. The findings from the recent WHO consultation on the clinical aspects of the pandemic support these conclusions.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>After a moderate first pandemic wave in some Western European countries, the pandemic is now establishing itself across Europe and critical care services are being put under considerable pressure. EU/ EEA Member States are adopting various strategies to effectively deal with these pressures. For example, early access to antiviral treatment has been facilitated by providing prescriptions through a telephone service, as was done in the UK or relaxing the prescriptions requirements, as was done in Norway recently. When adopting these strategies, special care is being given and should be given to differential diagnosis and identifying severe bacterial infections, including meningococcal meningitis cases.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN lang=EN-US>The published case series highlight the rapid progression of the severity of illness in a small subset of patients infected by influenza (H1N1)v. Rapid access of critically ill patients to advanced treatment is key to improving survival rates and efforts should be made to shorten time delays in triaging, assessing and referring critically ill patients. WHO has recently published revised guidelines for the clinical management of pandemic influenza patients, and these guidelines also include triaging algorithms for resource-limited settings. Identifying high-risk patients and patients with severe or progressing disease is the cornerstone of these algorithms.<A title="" href="http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%20Reviews/EditForm.aspx?ID=682&#038;Source=/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%2520Reviews/AllItems.aspx#_edn2" name=_ednref2><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>[ii]</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></A></SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN lang=EN-US>In affected countries, workload in intensive care units has been very high partly due to the fact that many pandemic influenza patients need invasive mechanical ventilation for extended periods of time. Personnel resources, equipment, supplies and medications all are affected in this situation. However, the local pandemic waves tend to be shorter in duration than when seen from the national perspective and Member States are sometimes considering the possibility to share resources across administrative borders. Recent successful examples include referrals of patients across country borders for Extra Corporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO).</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN lang=EN-US>Sharing of clinical experiences and lessons learned at the local level would greatly benefit the countries in the acceleration phase of the first pandemic wave right now.</SPAN> </P><br />
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<P><A title="" href="http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%20Reviews/EditForm.aspx?ID=682&#038;Source=/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%2520Reviews/AllItems.aspx#_ftnref1" name=_ftn1><SPAN><SPAN lang=ES><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN lang=ES>[1]</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></A><SPAN lang=ES> </SPAN><SPAN>Critical care and intensive care are used interchangeably in this document<BR></SPAN><BR clear=all><br />
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<DIV id=edn1><br />
<P><A title="" href="http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%20Reviews/EditForm.aspx?ID=682&#038;Source=/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%2520Reviews/AllItems.aspx#_ednref1" name=_edn1><SPAN><SPAN lang=ES><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN lang=ES>[i]</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></A>&nbsp;<SPAN>WHO, </SPAN><SPAN lang=ES><SPAN><A title="" href="http://www.who.int/csr/disease/swineflu/notes/h1n1_clinical_features_20091016/en/index.html" target=_blank><SPAN lang=EN-GB>Clinical features of severe cases of pandemic influenza, Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 briefing note 13</SPAN></A></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=ES><SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN></SPAN></P></DIV><br />
<DIV id=edn2><br />
<P><A title="" href="http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%20Reviews/EditForm.aspx?ID=682&#038;Source=/en/activities/sciadvice/Lists/ECDC%2520Reviews/AllItems.aspx#_ednref2" name=_edn2><SPAN><SPAN lang=ES><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN lang=ES>[ii]</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></A><SPAN lang=ES> WHO, <A title="" href="http://www.who.int/csr/resources/publications/swineflu/clinical_management_h1n1.pdf" target=_blank>Clinical management of human infection with pandemic influenza (H1N1) 2009: Revised guidance</A>, November 2009</SPAN><SPAN></SPAN></P></DIV></DIV></DIV><br />
<DIV id=articleKeywords style="DISPLAY: none">Influenza;Pandemic (H1N1) 2009;Pandemic Influenza;Scientific Advice Unit;Scientific advice</DIV></DIV></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></p>
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		<title>[돼지독감] ECDC 일일 업데이트&#8230; 전세계 사망자 6706명</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=1376</link>
		<comments>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=1376#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2009 12:41:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[식품 · 의약품]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Critical Care Services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ECDC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[돼지독감]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[신종플루]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[전세계 사망자 6706명]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[ECDC DAILY UPDATEPandemic (H1N1) 2009Update 12 November 2009, 09:00 hours CESTPublic Health Development on critical care services published; European Planning Assumptions for Pandemic 2009 published; Updates from EpiSouth [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ECDC DAILY UPDATE<BR><BR>Pandemic (H1N1) 2009<BR>Update 12 November 2009, 09:00 hours CEST<BR><BR>Public Health Development on critical care services published; European Planning <BR>Assumptions for Pandemic 2009 published; Updates from EpiSouth included; GSK vaccine approved by US FDA; Total of 429 fatal cases in Europe and EFTA countries and 6 277 in the rest of the world have been reported up to date.<BR><BR>2009년 11월 12일자 ECDC 통계 : 전세계 신종플루 사망자 6706명<BR><BR>The approaching pandemic pressures on critical care services in European hospitals &#8211; preparation is crucial<BR><BR>Countries in the southern hemisphere and the Americas have already experienced the first marked peaks of the 2009 pandemic. The greatest pressures were in hospitals and especially critical or intensive care. Already this autumn the first affected European countries are seeing the same and a few European countries are known to have made plans to significantly increase their capacity, for example for ventilating patients. Reports on epidemiological and clinical presentation of influenza pandemic in other countries provide reliable estimates of the burden of disease, the effectiveness of treatment and best use of public health resources and likely outcomes for patients. Recently ECDC attended a WHO global consultation to gather such information. This Public Health development summarises some of the findings from that meeting and seven recent publications. The main points include the need to keep primary and secondary care integrated (so that hospitals are not over burdened), to develop protocols for triaging sick patients, to increase critical care and especially ventilatory capacity and to ensure early use of antivirals as there is convincing observational evidence that this is effective in averting or mitigating severe disease.<BR>Full Public health development will be published today on the ECDC website:<BR><A href="http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Pages/Public_Health_Developments.aspx?filterItemsBy1=ECDC_Subject_what&#038;filterItemsByValue1=Pandemic+(H1N1)+2009&#038;filterItemsByChainingOperator1=AND&#038;filterItemsBy2=ECDC_SciWatchClassification&#038;filterItemsByValue2=Public+health+development&#038;uniqueID=sciadv">http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/activities/sciadvice/Pages/Public_Health_Developments.aspx?filterItemsBy1=ECDC_Subject_what&#038;filterItemsByValue1=Pandemic+(H1N1)+2009&#038;filterItemsByChainingOperator1=AND&#038;filterItemsBy2=ECDC_SciWatchClassification&#038;filterItemsByValue2=Public+health+development&#038;uniqueID=sciadv</A></p>
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		<title>[돼지독감] 호주 및 뉴질랜드의 신종플루 중증환자 관리체계</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=1297</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2009 12:47:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[식품 · 의약품]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Critical Care Services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[뉴질랜드]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[돼지독감]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[신종플루]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[호주 및 뉴질랜드의 신종플루 중증환자 관리체계호주 및 뉴질랜드에서 2009년 6월 1일~8월 31일 신종플루 바이러스(2009 H1N1 virus) 확정판정을 받은 722명( 인구 100만명 당 28.7건,&#160;95% 신뢰도&#160;[CI], 26.5건~30.8건)의 환자가 중환자실에 입원함.722명 [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><P>호주 및 뉴질랜드의 신종플루 중증환자 관리체계<BR><BR>호주 및 뉴질랜드에서 2009년 6월 1일~8월 31일 신종플루 바이러스(2009 H1N1 virus) 확정판정을 받은 722명( 인구 100만명 당 28.7건,&nbsp;95% 신뢰도&nbsp;[CI], 26.5건~30.8건)의 환자가 중환자실에 입원함.<BR><BR>722명 중 669명(92.7%)이 65세 이하였으며, 임산부는 66명(9.1%)이었음. 의료기록을 입수할 수 있었던 601명의 성인 중에서 172명(28.6%)은 체질량지수(body-mass index, 체중(kg)을 신장(m)의 제곱으로 나눈 수치로 25-29는과체중, 30이상은 비만으로 분류)가 35이상이었음.<BR><BR>조사 기간 동안 신종플루 환자는 8815 bed-days (인구 백만명당 350) 동안 중환자실에서 입원 치료를 받았음. 평균 중환자실 입원기간은 7일( 2.7일~13.4일)이었음. <BR><BR>의료기록을 입수할 수 있었던 706명의 환자 중에서&nbsp;456명(64.6%)은 평균 8일(4일~16일) 동안 기계적 인공호흡기(mechanical ventilation)를 사용함. <BR><BR>인구 100만당&nbsp;1일 최고 중환자실 병상 비율(The maximum daily occupancy of the ICU)은 7.4 침상(95% 신뢰도, 6.3침상~8.5침상)이었음.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <BR><BR>2009년 9월 7일까지 722명의 중환자실 입원 환자 중에서 103명(14.3%; 신뢰도95% , 11.7%~ 16.9%)이 사망했으며, 114명(15.8%)이 입원치료를 받고 있음.<BR><BR>================================<BR><BR>Volume 361:1925-1934&nbsp; November 12, 2009&nbsp; Number 20 <BR><BR>Critical Care Services and 2009 H1N1 Influenza in Australia and New Zealand</P><br />
<P>The ANZIC Influenza Investigators&nbsp; <BR><BR>출처 : <A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/20/1925">http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/20/1925</A><BR><BR>ABSTRACT</P><br />
<P>Background Planning for the treatment of infection with the 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus through health care systems in developed countries during winter in the Northern Hemisphere is hampered by a lack of information from similar health care systems. </P><br />
<P>Methods We conducted an inception-cohort study in all Australian and New Zealand intensive care units (ICUs) during the winter of 2009 in the Southern Hemisphere. We calculated, per million inhabitants, the numbers of ICU admissions, bed-days, and days of mechanical ventilation due to infection with the 2009 H1N1 virus. We collected data on demographic and clinical characteristics of the patients and on treatments and outcomes. </P><br />
<P>Results From June 1 through August 31, 2009, a total of 722 patients with confirmed infection with the 2009 H1N1 virus (28.7 cases per million inhabitants; 95% confidence interval [CI], 26.5 to 30.8) were admitted to an ICU in Australia or New Zealand. Of the 722 patients, 669 (92.7%) were under 65 years of age and 66 (9.1%) were pregnant women; of the 601 adults for whom data were available, 172 (28.6%) had a body-mass index (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) greater than 35. Patients infected with the 2009 H1N1 virus were in the ICU for a total of 8815 bed-days (350 per million inhabitants). The median duration of treatment in the ICU was 7.0 days (interquartile range, 2.7 to 13.4); 456 of 706 patients (64.6%) with available data underwent mechanical ventilation for a median of 8 days (interquartile range, 4 to 16). The maximum daily occupancy of the ICU was 7.4 beds (95% CI, 6.3 to 8.5) per million inhabitants. As of September 7, 2009, a total of 103 of the 722 patients (14.3%; 95% CI, 11.7 to 16.9) had died, and 114 (15.8%) remained in the hospital. </P><br />
<P>Conclusions The 2009 H1N1 virus had a substantial effect on ICUs during the winter in Australia and New Zealand. Our data can assist planning for the treatment of patients during the winter in the Northern Hemisphere. </P><br />
<P>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<BR>Infection with the 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus emerged in Mexico toward the end of the 2008–2009 influenza season in the Northern Hemisphere. As of September 6, 2009, the World Health Organization had reported over 277,607 laboratory-confirmed cases of 2009 H1N1 influenza, with at least 3205 deaths.1 From June through August 2009, Australia and New Zealand experienced the combined effect of the pandemic and winter in the Southern Hemisphere. The reported incidence of infection with the 2009 H1N1 virus during winter in Australia and New Zealand was 8 times that reported for the same period in the United States.1,2 This resulted in a substantial increase in demand for hospital services, particularly critical care services. <BR>Reports of critical illness caused by 2009 H1N1 influenza during summer in the Northern Hemisphere contain insufficient data to provide reliable estimates of the burden of critical illness to be expected during winter in the Northern Hemisphere.3,4,5,6,7,8,9 Although the successful deployment of a safe and effective vaccine may modify the burden of disease,10,11 population-based data from Australia and New Zealand can currently provide a reasonable estimate of the likely effect of 2009 H1N1 influenza during the Northern Hemisphere winter. In addition, the data can be used to identify persons who are at high risk of developing severe disease. </P><br />
<P>In this report, we describe the incidence of intensive care unit (ICU) admission, demographic characteristics, treatment, use of critical care resources, and outcome for all patients with laboratory-confirmed infection with the 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus admitted to ICUs in Australia and New Zealand during the winter of 2009 in the Southern Hemisphere. </P><br />
<P>Methods</P><br />
<P>We performed a multicenter inception-cohort study involving 187 ICUs in Australia and New Zealand — all the ICUs (adult, pediatric, or adult and pediatric) in the two countries.12 The ICUs had a total of 1879 beds, of which 1449 were equipped for mechanical ventilation. Each center obtained approval from the institutional ethics committee. The requirement for written informed consent from individual patients was waived at all sites. </P><br />
<P>From June 1 through August 31, 2009, we identified all patients admitted to the ICU with confirmed infection with the 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus. The 2009 H1N1 influenza was confirmed by means of a polymerase-chain-reaction (PCR) assay or serologic analysis. The 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus and seasonal subtypes (preexisting H1N1 and H3N2 strains) were confirmed by PCR assay. The PCR assay was conducted initially at reference laboratories in each region and later, as the pandemic evolved, at local laboratories. The performance of these laboratories was accredited by the National Association of Testing Authorities in Australia or by International Accreditation New Zealand. In addition, the 2009 H1N1 virus could be confirmed in a single reference laboratory by means of a hemagglutination-inhibition assay to detect antibodies specific for the 2009 H1N1 virus. Population data for Australia and New Zealand and their constituent regions were obtained from Australian Bureau of Statistics13 and Statistics New Zealand.14 </P><br />
<P>We collected several types of data for the patients: the dates and times of admission to the hospital and the ICU; age; race or ethnic group, including indigenous group (reported by patients or their next of kin or, for patients under 18 years of age, by a parent or guardian); sex; pregnancy or childbirth less than 28 days previously (for women); coexisting conditions, which for patients 16 years of age or older were any condition that is defined within the Chronic Health Evaluation component of the Acute Physiology, Age, and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE III, for which scores can range from 0 to 299, with higher scores indicating a greater severity of illness),15 and for patients under 16 years of age, defined as prematurity, immunodeficiency, cystic fibrosis, congenital heart disease, neuromuscular disorder, or chronic neurological impairment; history of asthma or another chronic pulmonary disease, chronic heart failure, or diabetes; measured or estimated weight and height (for calculation of the body-mass index [BMI]); date and time of first symptoms; presence and type of influenza syndrome, including viral pneumonitis or the acute respiratory distress syndrome, secondary bacterial pneumonia, exacerbation of airflow limitation due to either asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or intercurrent illness; and airway status at the time of ICU admission (presence or absence of endotracheal intubation, tracheotomy, sealed face mask, and any artificial airway). </P><br />
<P>We categorized patients according to the age groups used in a previous report: 0 to 1 year of age, 1 to 4 years, 5 to 24 years, 25 to 49 years, 50 to 64 years, and 65 years of age or older.16 Data were collected daily on the use of mechanical ventilation and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. We calculated the duration of treatment in the ICU and the hospital, as well as the rates of occupancy of the ICU, for Australia and New Zealand and their constituent regions. We recorded outcomes of patients in the ICU and whether the patients had been discharged or were still in the hospital or the ICU as of September 7, 2009. To compare data from the current year with those from previous years, we obtained the number of patients who had been admitted to Australian or New Zealand ICUs with viral pneumonitis during the winters of 2004 through 2008, from the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care (ANZIC) Society&#8217;s Adult Patient Database.17 This source of data does not categorize the cause of viral pneumonitis and may include some patients who had viral pneumonitis due to causes other than influenza A. To determine which groups were at increased risk of admission to an ICU with 2009 H1N1 influenza, we compared the proportions of patients with such an admission in each group of interest with the proportions of the general population of Australia13 and New Zealand14 that those admitted patients represented. </P><br />
<P>Data Management</P><br />
<P>We collected data by means of electronic case report forms. The study coordinating center was the ANZIC Research Centre, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.18 Infection with the 2009 H1N1 virus is subject to mandatory reporting in both Australia and New Zealand, and all diagnoses were confirmed with the relevant state or territory&#8217;s Department of Health. In addition, to confirm the completeness of case ascertainment, we contacted the 83 ICUs that had no reported cases at the end of the study period (August 31, 2009). Patients transferred between ICUs were counted as a single ICU admission. We made no assumptions regarding missing data; all proportions were calculated as percentages of the patients with available data. </P><br />
<P>Statistical Analysis</P><br />
<P>We performed statistical analysis using SAS software, version 9.1 (SAS Institute). We calculated descriptive statistics for all study variables. We report data for continuous variables as medians (with interquartile ranges) and for categorical variables as percentages (with 95% confidence intervals, where appropriate). We estimated the age-based population-admission rates.13 We performed a univariate analysis for in-hospital mortality, using the chi-square test, Fisher&#8217;s exact test, or Wilcoxon rank-sum test, as appropriate. We performed multivariate logistic-regression analysis to identify factors independently associated with in-hospital mortality, with the multivariate model constructed by using both stepwise-selection and backward-elimination techniques. We first included age, as a continuous variable. We then included in the model, as categorical variables,16 the presence or absence of pregnancy, asthma or another chronic pulmonary disease, and chronic heart failure; BMI (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) greater than 35 versus 35 or less; race or ethnic group; and the presence or absence of any coexisting condition; and the type of influenza syndrome. Goodness of fit was determined with the use of the Hosmer–Lemeshow statistic. A two-sided P value of less than 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance, except in the multivariate model, where a P value of less than 0.01 was considered to indicate statistical significance. </P><br />
<P>Results</P><br />
<P>We identified 856 patients with influenza A infection who were admitted to an ICU between June 1 and August 31, 2009. Of these, 722 (84.3%) had a confirmed infection with 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus (Figure 1). The 2009 H1N1 virus was diagnosed by means of PCR assay in 717 patients and serologic analysis in 5 patients. Among the 722 patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza, 626 were admitted to an ICU in Australia and 96 to an ICU in New Zealand. The numbers of patients with viral pneumonitis admitted to Australian or New Zealand ICUs from June 1 through August 31 were 57 in the year 2005, 33 in 2006, 69 in 2007, and 69 in 2008 (mean, 57 patients). During the winter of 2009, 37 patients were admitted to an ICU with confirmed seasonal subtypes of influenza A (H1N1) virus. The combined population of Australia and New Zealand was estimated at 25,180,770, giving an incidence of ICU admission for 2009 H1N1 influenza during winter 2009 of 28.7 (95% confidence interval [CI], 26.5 to 30.8) per million inhabitants.13,14 <BR><BR></P><br />
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<TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/20/1925/F1"><IMG height=58 alt="Figure 1" hspace=10 src="http://content.nejm.org/content/vol361/issue20/images/small/08f1.gif" width=128 vspace=5 border=2></A><BR><STRONG>View larger version</STRONG> (15K):<BR><NOBR><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/20/1925/F1">[in this window]</A><BR><A _onmouseover="window.status='View figure in a separate window'; return true" _onclick="startTarget('F1', 590, 398); this.href='/cgi/content-nw/full/361/20/1925/F1'" href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content-nw/full/361/20/1925/F1" target=F1>[in a new window]</A><BR><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/powerpoint/361/20/1925/F1"><IMG alt="Get Slide" src="http://content.nejm.org/icons/powerpoint/get_pp_slide_center.gif" vspace=8 border=0></A><BR>&nbsp;</NOBR> </TD><br />
<TD vAlign=top align=left><STRONG><B>Figure 1.</B> </STRONG>Enrollment and Follow-up of Patients with Influenza A Admitted to Intensive Care Units (ICUs) in Australia and New Zealand.<br />
<P>Follow-up data are as of September 7, 2009.</P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></P><br />
<P>The number of admissions and the age-specific incidences varied substantially according to the age group (Figure 2). The highest age-specific incidence of ICU admission was among infants (0 to 1 year of age) (Figure 2A), whereas the highest number of ICU admissions was among patients 25 to 49 years of age (Figure 2B). Additional demographic data and data on risk factors and type of critical illness among patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza are presented in Table 1. <BR><BR></P><br />
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<TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/20/1925/F2"><IMG height=128 alt="Figure 2" hspace=10 src="http://content.nejm.org/content/vol361/issue20/images/small/08f2.gif" width=80 vspace=5 border=2></A><BR><STRONG>View larger version</STRONG> (18K):<BR><NOBR><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/20/1925/F2">[in this window]</A><BR><A _onmouseover="window.status='View figure in a separate window'; return true" _onclick="startTarget('F2', 423, 640); this.href='/cgi/content-nw/full/361/20/1925/F2'" href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content-nw/full/361/20/1925/F2" target=F2>[in a new window]</A><BR><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/powerpoint/361/20/1925/F2"><IMG alt="Get Slide" src="http://content.nejm.org/icons/powerpoint/get_pp_slide_center.gif" vspace=8 border=0></A><BR>&nbsp;</NOBR> </TD><br />
<TD vAlign=top align=left><STRONG><B>Figure 2.</B> </STRONG>Incidence and Number of Admissions to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), According to Age Group.<br />
<P>The incidence of ICU admission, expressed as the number per million residents, is shown in Panel A, and the number of ICU admissions is shown in Panel B. The age-specific incidence was calculated by dividing the number of admissions in each age group by the estimated number of persons in that age group in the population of Australia and New Zealand (which was 350,346 for 0 to 1 years, 1,324,185 for 1 to 4 years, 6,938,498 for 5 to 24 years, 9,111,600 for 25 to 49 years, 4,563,709 for 50 to 64 years, and 3,377,580 for 65 years or older). I bars indicate the 95% confidence intervals.<br />
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<TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff><STRONG>View this table:</STRONG><BR><NOBR><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/20/1925/T1">[in this window]</A><BR><A _onmouseover="window.status='View figure in a separate window'; return true" _onclick="startTarget('T1', 950, 1266); this.href='/cgi/content-nw/full/361/20/1925/T1'" href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content-nw/full/361/20/1925/T1" target=T1>[in a new window]</A><BR><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/powerpoint/361/20/1925/T1"><IMG alt="Get Slide" src="http://content.nejm.org/icons/powerpoint/get_pp_slide_center.gif" vspace=8 border=0></A><BR>&nbsp;</NOBR> </TD><br />
<TD vAlign=top align=left><STRONG><B>Table 1.</B> </STRONG>Baseline Characteristics of Patients with Confirmed Critical Illness Related to 2009 H1N1 Influenza.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></P><br />
<P><BR>Pregnant women represent approximately 1% of the general population of Australia and New Zealand.13,14 A total of 66 of the 722 patients (9.1%) admitted to the ICU with 2009 H1N1 influenza were pregnant women. Of the 601 adults for whom BMI data were available, 172 (28.6%) had a BMI greater than 35. The proportion of a representative adult Australian population with a BMI greater than 35 was 5.3% in 2003.19 We estimate the proportion of patients with asthma or other chronic pulmonary disease in the general population to be around 13%.20 Data on premorbid pulmonary disease were missing for 15 of the 722 patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza in our study; of the remaining 707 patients, 231 (32.7%) had asthma or another chronic pulmonary disease. Indigenous groups were relatively overrepresented in our study: aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders account for 2.5% of the Australian population13 but made up 9.7% of our patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza who were admitted to Australian ICUs. Maori represent 13.6% of the New Zealand population14 but accounted for 25.0% of the patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza who were admitted to New Zealand ICUs. Overall, 229 patients (31.7%) had no known predisposing factor. Almost half of all patients (48.8%) had the acute respiratory distress syndrome or viral pneumonitis, and 20.3% of patients were clinically diagnosed with bacterial pneumonia (i.e., had unilateral or bilateral asymmetric lung infiltrates consistent with bacterial pneumonia, with bacterial infection proven or suspected) in association with confirmed infection with the 2009 H1N1 virus. </P><br />
<P>Data on the use of mechanical ventilation in the ICU were available for 706 patients; of these, 456 (64.6%) underwent mechanical ventilation for a median of 8 days (interquartile range, 4 to 16). The total number of days of ventilation was 5249, representing 208 days (95% CI, 203 to 214) per million inhabitants. Of the 456 patients undergoing mechanical ventilation, 53 (11.6%) were subsequently treated with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, representing 2.1 patients (95% CI, 1.5 to 2.7) per million inhabitants. Available data on other cointerventions are given in the Supplementary Appendix (available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org). </P><br />
<P>As of September 7, 2009, a total of 114 of the 722 patients (15.8%) were still in the hospital, of whom 37 (5.1%) were still in the ICU. Excluding these 114 patients still in the hospital or ICU and an additional 33 for whom data were not available (regarding duration of ICU treatment, for 3 patients, and duration of in-hospital treatment, for 30), we calculated the median duration of treatment in the ICU as 7.4 days (interquartile range, 3.0 to 16.0) (Figure 3) and the median duration of treatment in the hospital as 12.3 days (interquartile range, 6.4 to 22.1). <BR><BR></P><br />
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<TD vAlign=top align=left><STRONG><B>Figure 3.</B> </STRONG>Length of Stay in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) among Patients with 2009 H1N1 Influenza.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></P><br />
<P>The number of ICU admissions per million inhabitants varied over the study period, for Australia and New Zealand overall and for each of the main regions affected, as did the number of ICU beds occupied per million inhabitants (Figure 4). Patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza occupied the ICU for a total of 8815 ICU bed-days, representing 350 bed-days (95% CI, 342 to 357) per million inhabitants. Across Australia and New Zealand, the maximum number of ICU beds occupied per million inhabitants was 7.4 (95% CI, 6.3 to 8.5) during the week ending July 27, 2009. The maximum number of beds occupied by region in the Australian states or New Zealand ranged between 6.3 and 10.6 per million inhabitants (Figure 4). Over the 3-month study period, 5.2% of ICU bed-days were accounted for by patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza. The peak percentage of ICU beds occupied by patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza in Australian states and New Zealand ranged from 8.9 to 19.0%. <BR><BR></P><br />
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<TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/20/1925/F4"><IMG height=128 alt="Figure 4" hspace=10 src="http://content.nejm.org/content/vol361/issue20/images/small/08f4.gif" width=99 vspace=5 border=2></A><BR><STRONG>View larger version</STRONG> (43K):<BR><NOBR><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/20/1925/F4">[in this window]</A><BR><A _onmouseover="window.status='View figure in a separate window'; return true" _onclick="startTarget('F4', 489, 640); this.href='/cgi/content-nw/full/361/20/1925/F4'" href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content-nw/full/361/20/1925/F4" target=F4>[in a new window]</A><BR><A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/powerpoint/361/20/1925/F4"><IMG alt="Get Slide" src="http://content.nejm.org/icons/powerpoint/get_pp_slide_center.gif" vspace=8 border=0></A><BR>&nbsp;</NOBR> </TD><br />
<TD vAlign=top align=left><STRONG><B>Figure 4.</B> </STRONG>Numbers of Patients with 2009 H1N1 Influenza Admitted to an ICU and Numbers of ICU Beds Occupied by Those Patients, According to Study Week and Region.<br />
<P>The panels on the left show the numbers of patients admitted to an ICU, and the panels on the right show the numbers of ICU beds occupied by those patients. All data are per million inhabitants. Data are shown for the Australian states of Victoria, New South Wales, and Queensland; for New Zealand; and for all regions of Australia and New Zealand combined.</P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></P><br />
<P><BR>As of September 7, 2009, a total of 608 patients (84.2%) had been discharged from the hospital: 103 (16.9%) had died in the hospital and 505 (83.1%) had been discharged alive. For those who had died or been discharged alive, three factors were found, on multivariate logistic-regression analysis, to be independently associated with death in the hospital: requirement of invasive ventilation at ICU admission (odds ratio for in-hospital death, 5.51; 95% CI, 3.05 to 9.94; P<0.001), any coexisting condition (as defined in our study) (odds ratio, 2.56; 95% CI, 1.52 to 4.30; P<0.001), and older age (odds ratio per year of age, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.04; P=0.002). The data were well fitted by the model (P=0.79 by the Hosmer–Lemeshow test). </P><br />
<P>Discussion</P><br />
<P>This cohort study identified all patients with confirmed 2009 H1N1 influenza who were admitted to Australian or New Zealand ICUs during winter 2009 in the Southern Hemisphere. We identified 722 patients with the infection and estimated the winter population incidence of ICU admission: 28.7 per million inhabitants. The number of ICU admissions due to influenza A in 2009 was 15 times the number due to viral pneumonitis in recent years. We were able to document the use of ICU beds and patients&#8217; outcomes and estimate the number of ICU bed-days occupied: 350 per million inhabitants. We identified infants (0 to 1 year of age) and adults 25 to 64 years of age to be at particular risk. Pregnant women, adults with a BMI greater than 35, and indigenous Australian and New Zealand populations also appeared to have an increased risk. In-hospital mortality, estimated on the basis of data available at the time of this report, exceeded 16%. </P><br />
<P>Previously published reports have highlighted cases of severe viral pneumonia affecting patients younger than the expected age of patients affected during a normal influenza season8,9 and have noted that pregnant women are at increased risk.21 Our findings are consistent with these reports. The age-specific incidence rates were highest among infants and adults 25 to 64 years of age. Although the incidence of ICU admission varied across the age groups and was low for patients 65 years of age or older, the risk of death increased with increasing age. The proportion of patients who were admitted to an ICU and were pregnant, had chronic lung disease, had a BMI greater than 35, or were indigenous to Australia or New Zealand were all higher than the corresponding proportions in the general population. Finally, a third of our patients were young or middle-aged adults who neither were pregnant nor had a known coexisting condition. </P><br />
<P>Australia and New Zealand have 75 ICU beds per million inhabitants. The number of ICU beds varies greatly among developed countries,22 and the capacity of countries to cope with a surge in demand for critical care services owing to infection with the 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus will depend on the current numbers of ICU beds and the countries&#8217; ability to expand that capacity or restrain other demands on it. </P><br />
<P>Our data indicate that the greatest effect on ICU resources in a given region occurs approximately 4 to 6 weeks after the first confirmed winter ICU admission and that the extra workload lasts several weeks. Current recommendations are that patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza should receive treatment in isolation.23 The requirement to treat many patients in isolation, combined with the need for interhospital transfer for optimal care, may further increase the strain on critical care resources. </P><br />
<P>The proportion of patients who died in the hospital in our study is no higher than that previously reported among patients with seasonal influenza A who were admitted to an ICU.24 Patients admitted to an ICU with seasonal influenza A predominantly are elderly and have coexisting conditions.24 Among patients admitted to ICU, older age, the presence of coexisting conditions, and a requirement for invasive ventilation were independently associated with increased risk of death, but because there were greater numbers of younger patients in our cohort, the majority of deaths occurred in younger patients. </P><br />
<P>The inferences that can be drawn from our data are subject to some limitations. First, to make this report available in time to assist planning in the Northern Hemisphere, we censored the hospital-outcome data, which may have introduced bias. Second, our data were gathered early during the pandemic in Australia and New Zealand. The findings may be different during future waves, owing to the timely deployment of an effective vaccine, to viral mutation, and to resistance to antiviral drugs. Third, the data regarding previous winters come not from an inception-cohort study but from our Australia–New Zealand database; therefore, they are not directly comparable to the data in the current study for winter 2009. Fourth, ascertainment of patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza who were admitted to an ICU may not have been complete, and we cannot rule out the possibility that a small number of cases were not reported to the registry. Finally, false negative diagnostic tests may well have led us to underestimate the true burden of 2009 H1N1 influenza in our patients. Among the patients with confirmed influenza A, there were 97 in whom the influenza virus was not subtyped, some of whom may have had false negative tests for the 2009 H1N1 virus. Nonetheless, with these caveats, knowledge of the rate of ICU admission and occupancy due to 2009 H1N1 influenza during the winter in Australia and New Zealand can inform the planning and assessment of critical care needs in countries yet to face the 2009 winter. </P><br />
<P>&nbsp;</P><br />
<P><BR>Supported by the Department of Health and Ageing, Commonwealth Government of Australia; New South Wales Health, Government of New South Wales; Department of Health, Government of Victoria; the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Research Centre; the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society; and an unrestricted grant from CSL Limited, Melbourne, Victoria. </P><br />
<P>Dr. Webb reports receiving consulting fees from AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson; Dr. Paterson, consulting fees, lecture fees, or grant support from Pfizer, Merck, Sanofi-Aventis, AstraZeneca, Johnson &#038; Johnson, and Leo Pharmaceuticals; and Dr. Iredell, grant support from Wyeth. Dr. Hart reports owning shares in Biota. No other potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported. </P><br />
<P>We thank Dr. Martin Lum from the Department of Human Services in Victoria for his assistance; and the research coordinators, clinicians, and nursing staff in ICUs throughout Australia and New Zealand who collected data often while also caring for patients during the pandemic. </P><br />
<P>* Affiliations of the members of the writing committee, and the other study investigators, are listed in the Appendix. </P><br />
<P><BR>Source Information</P><br />
<P>The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care (ANZIC) study is a collaboration of the ANZIC Society Clinical Trials Group (CTG), the ANZIC Research Centre, the Australasian Society of Infectious Diseases CTG, the Paediatric Study Group of the ANZIC Society, and the ANZIC Society Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation. The writing committee (Steven A.R. Webb [chair], M.P.H., Ph.D., F.R.A.C.P., F.J.F.I.C.M., Ville Pettilä, M.D., Ph.D., Ian Seppelt, F.A.N.Z.C.A., F.J.F.I.C.M., Rinaldo Bellomo, M.D., F.R.A.C.P., F.J.F.I.C.M., Michael Bailey, Ph.D., David J. Cooper, M.D., F.R.A.C.P., F.J.F.I.C.M., Michelle Cretikos, M.P.H., Ph.D., Andrew R. Davies, F.R.A.C.P., F.J.F.I.C.M., Simon Finfer, F.R.C.P., F.J.F.I.C.M., Peter W.J. Harrigan, F.J.F.I.C.M., Graeme K. Hart, F.A.N.Z.C.A., F.J.F.I.C.M., Belinda Howe, R.N., Jonathan R. Iredell, Ph.D., F.R.A.C.P., F.R.C.P.A., Colin McArthur, F.J.F.I.C.M., Imogen Mitchell, F.R.A.C.P., F.J.F.I.C.M., Siouxzy Morrison, R.N., M.P.H., Alistair D. Nichol, Ph.D., F.C.A.R.C.S.I., David L. Paterson, Ph.D., F.R.A.C.P., F.R.C.P.A., Sandra Peake, F.J.F.I.C.M., Ph.D., Brent Richards, F.R.A.C.P., F.J.F.I.C.M., Dianne Stephens, F.A.N.Z.C.A., F.J.F.I.C.M., Andrew Turner, F.R.A.C.P., F.J.I.C.M., and Michael Yung, M.D.) takes responsibility for the content and integrity of this article. </P><br />
<P>This article (10.1056/NEJMoa0908481) was published on October 8, 2009, at NEJM.org. </P><br />
<P>Address reprint requests to Dr. Webb at the Intensive Care Unit, Royal Perth Hospital, Wellington St., Perth, WA 6000, Australia, or at <A href="mailto:sarwebb@cyllene.uwa.edu.au">sarwebb@cyllene.uwa.edu.au</A>.</P><br />
<OL><br />
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<P><BR>Appendix<BR>The affiliations of the members of the writing committee of the ANZIC Influenza Investigators (all in Australia, unless otherwise specified) are as follows: Royal Perth Hospital and School of Population Health and School of Medicine and Pharmacology, University of Western Australia, WA (S.A.R.W.); ANZIC Research Centre, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC (V.P., R.B., M.B., D.J.C., A.R.D., B.H., S.M., A.D.N.); Nepean Hospital, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW (I.S.); the Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC (D.J.C., A.R.D., A.D.N.); New South Wales Department of Health (M.C.) and School of Public Health (M.C.) and the George Institute for International Health (S.F.), University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW; John Hunter Hospital, Newcastle, NSW (P.W.J.H.): ANZIC Society Centre for Outcome and Resources Evaluation, Melbourne, VIC (G.K.H.); Centre for Infectious Diseases and Microbiology, University of Sydney and Westmead Hospital, Sydney, NSW (J.R.I.); Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand (C.M.); Canberra Hospital, Canberra and Australian National University, Canberra, ACT (I.M.); University of Queensland Centre for Clinical Research, Royal Brisbane and Women&#8217;s Hospital Campus, Brisbane, QLD (D.L.P.); Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Adelaide, SA (S.P.); Gold Coast Hospital, Southport, QLD (B.R.); Royal Darwin Hospital, Darwin, NT (D.S.); Intensive Care Unit, Royal Hobart Hospital, Hobart, Tasmania, (A.T.); and Women&#8217;s and Children&#8217;s Hospital Adelaide, SA (M.Y.). </P><br />
<P>The ANZIC Influenza Investigators are as follows, according to study site (in alphabetical order, with all in Australia unless specified as New Zealand [NZ]): Albury Base Hospital, Albury: C. Mashonganyika, H. McKee; Alfred Hospital, Melbourne: J. Board, A. Davies, S. Vallance; Alice Springs Hospital, Alice Springs: F. Hatch, P. Stewart; Auckland City Hospital Cardiovascular Intensive Care Unit, Auckland, NZ: A. McKee, S. McGuinness, R. Parke, A. Whitley; Auckland City Hospital Department of Critical Care Medicine, Auckland, NZ: C. McArthur, L. Newby, C. Simmonds; Starship Children&#8217;s Hospital, Auckland, NZ: J. Beca, L. Whelan; Austin Health, Melbourne: R. Bellomo, G. Eastwood, L. Peck; Ballarat Health Services, Ballarat: T. Sutherland; Bankstown Hospital, Sydney: G. Bennett, L. Ong; Bendigo Hospital, Bendigo: J. Fletcher, C. Boschert, J. Smith; Blacktown Hospital, Sydney: K. Nand, G. Reece, T. Sara; Box Hill Hospital, Melbourne: D. Ernest, S. Eliott, J. Sidhu;. Bundaberg Base Hospital, Bundaberg: L. Abraham, M. Terbanche; Cairns Base Hospital, Cairns: A. Carroll, S. Richmond, D. Wenck; Calvary Mater Newcastle Hospital, Newcastle: K. Ellem; Campbelltown Hospital, Sydney: G. Bishop; Canberra Hospital, Canberra: R. Ashley, E. Crowfoot, I. Mitchell; Canterbury Hospital, Sydney: J. Sammut; Central Gippsland Health Service, Sale: T. Coles, H. Connor; Children&#8217;s Hospital Westmead, Sydney: M. Festa, F. Li; Christchurch Hospital, Christchurch, NZ: S. Henderson, J. Mehrtens; Coffs Harbour Hospital, Coffs Harbour: M. Sutherland; Concord Hospital, Concord: W. Cheung, D. Milliss, G. Thanakrishnan, H. Wong; Dandenong Hospital, Dandenong: S. Arora, B. O&#8217;Bree, K. Shepherd; Department of Health, New South Wales: M. Cretikos, J. Fizzell, S. Faithfull; Dubbo Base Hospital, Dubbo: R. Greenberg, N. Pilon; Dunedin Hospital, Dunedin, NZ: M. Bailey, M. Hunter; Epworth Freemasons Hospital, Melbourne: M. Robertson; Fairfield Hospital, Sydney: G. Bennett, C. Izon; Flinders Medical Centre, Bedford: T. Baynes, A. Bersten, E. Ryan; Frankston Hospital, Melbourne: J. Botha, D. Lewis, J. Vuat; Fremantle Hospital, Fremantle: D. Blythe, A. Palermo; Geelong Hospital, Geelong: T. Elderkin, M. Fraser, N. Orford; Gisborne Hospital, Gisborne, NZ: I. Elson, J. Patterson; Gold Coast Hospital, Southport: B. Richards, M. Tallott, R. Whitbread; Gold Coast Robina Hospital, Robina: B. Bhaskar, M. Tallott, R. Whitbread; Gosford Hospital, Gosford: R. Cameron, S. Kelly; Goulburn Valley Base Hospital, Shepparton: M. Piercy; Griffith Base Hospital, Griffith: P. Bortz, K. Lodding, M. Mott, S. Vagg; Hawke&#8217;s Bay Hospital, Hastings, NZ: R. Freebairn, A. Anderson; Health Waikato, Waikato, NZ: R. Frengley, M. La Pine; the Hills Private Hospital, Sydney: D. Ghelani; Holy Spirit Northside Hospital, Brisbane: R. Barnett, C. Dillon; Hornsby and Ku-ring-gai Hospital, Hornsby: J. Fratzia, T. Solano, H. Pearce; Hutt Hospital, Lower Hutt, NZ: K. O&#8217;Connor, A. Julian; Ipswich Hospital, Ipswich: K. Ryan, J. Walsham; John Hunter Hospital, Newcastle: P. Harrigan; Joondalup Health Campus, Joondalup: D. Hawkins, B. Power; Launceston General Hospital, Launceston: M. Anderson, J. Lehner; Lismore Base Hospital, Lismore: M. Kilminster; Liverpool Hospital. Liverpool: M. Parr, S. Micallef; Logan and Beaudesert District Hospital, Loganlea: H. White; Lyell McEwin Hospital, Elisabeth Vale: J. Wood, C. Wareham; Mackay Base Hospital, Mackay: T. Frase;. Manly Hospital, Sydney: S. Abel, S. Coulson, K. Leach; Maroondah Hospital, Melbourne: P. Cranswick; Mater Adult Hospital, Brisbane: K. Gregory, J. Morgan, J.J. Presneill, J. Sutton; Mater Children&#8217;s Hospital, Brisbane: A. Barlow; Middlemore Hospital, Auckland, NZ: C. Horsley, J. Tai, A. Tilsley; Mater Private Hospital, Brisbane: K. Gregory, J.J. Presneill, J. Sutton; Monash Medical Centre, Melbourne: T. Crozier, P. Galt, M. Reilly; Mount Isa Base Hospital, Mount Isa: J. Rockell; Nambour General Hospital, Nambour: P. Garrett, C. Scott, S. McDonald; Nelson Hospital, Nelson, NZ: B. King, R. Price, J. Tomlinson; Nepean Hospital, Penrith: L. Hoyling, I. Seppelt, L. Weisbrodt; North Shore Hospital, Auckland, NZ: J. Bell, A. Flanagan, J. Laing; The Northern Hospital, Melbourne: G. Duke, M. Parkes; Orange Base Hospital, Orange: J. Carr, J. Lambert; Palmerston North Hospital, Palmerston, NZ: G. McHugh, A. Spears, N. Waters; Peter MacCallum Cancer Institute, Melbourne: D. Charlesworth, J. Pickford; Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane: N. Blackwell, R. Bushell, D. Mullany, L. Munck, R. Seddon; Prince of Wales Hospital, Randwick: Y. Shehabi, M. Campbell, V. Stockdale; Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane: A. Hughes, M. Harward, P. Kruger; Princess Margaret Hospital for Children, Perth: S. Erikson; Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Adelaide: S. Peake, P. Williams; Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Hospital, Brisbane: R. Devere, M. Wright; Rockhampton Hospital, Rockhampton: K. Smith; Rotorua Hospital, Rotorua, NZ: S. Scothern; Royal Adelaide Hospital, Adelaide: M. Chapman, S. O&#8217;Connor, J. Rivett; Royal Brisbane and Women&#8217;s Hospital, Brisbane: R. Boots, M. Lassig-Smith; Royal Children&#8217;s Hospital, Brisbane: A. Slater, D. Long; Royal Children&#8217;s Hospital, Melbourne: L. Shekerdeman, C. Delzoppo, C. Daffey, S. Embleton, L. Wilson; Royal Darwin Hospital, Darwin: D. Stephens, J. Thomas; Royal Hobart Hospital, Hobart: R. McAllister, A. Turner; Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne: D. Barge, T. Caf, N. Harley, C. MacIsaac; Royal North Shore Hospital, Sydney: S. Finfer, R. Raper, S. Bird; Royal Perth Hospital, Perth: J. Chamberlain, A. Gould, G. McEntaggart, S.A.R. Webb; Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney: D. Gattas, D. Rajbhandari, C. Rees; Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Nedlands: S. Baker, A. Bicknell, B. Roberts; St. Andrew&#8217;s Hospital, Adelaide: N. Edwards, S. Reay, M. White; St. Andrew&#8217;s Hospital, Toowoomba: M. Chinthamuneedi, S. Reay; St. George Hospital, Sydney: D. Inskip, D. Lamb, J. Myburgh, R. Sidoli; St. John of God Health Care, Murdoch, Perth: D. Blythe; St. John of God Health Care, Subiaco, Perth: S. Webb; St. Vincent&#8217;s Hospital, Melbourne: J. Santamaria, R. Smith; St. Vincent&#8217;s Hospital, Sydney: P. Nair, C. Reynolds: St. Vincent&#8217;s Hospital, Toowoomba: M. Chinthamuneedi: Southland Hospital, Invercargill, NZ: C. Schneider, A. Robertson: Sydney Adventist Hospital, Sydney: C. Bradford: Sydney Children&#8217;s Hospital, Sydney: A. Numa, G. Williams, J. Young: Tamworth Base Hospital, Tamworth: C. Trewethy: Tauranga Hospital, Tauranga, NZ: T. Browne, J. Goodson: Timaru Hospital, South Canterbury, NZ: R. Whitticase: The Valley Private Hospital, Melbourne: O. Monteiro: Toowoomba Base Hospital, Toowoomba: J. Evans: Townsville Hospital, Townsville: G. Gordon, L. Jones, S. Radtke: Wagga Wagga Base Hospital, Wagga Wagga: C. Early, P. McDonald, S. Mcgilvery: Warringal Private, Heidelberg: G. Hart, G. Eastwood: Wellington Hospital, Wellington, NZ: L. Andrews, P. Hicks, D. Mackle: Western Hospital, Melbourne: C. French, L. Keen, F. McGain: Westmead Hospital, Sydney: R. Boyd, V. Nayyar, C. Skelly, E. Stachowski: Whangarei Area Hospital, Northland, NZ: D. Austin, M. Kalkoff: Wollongong Hospital, Wollongong: M. Sterba, B. Johnson. </P></p>
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