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	<title>건강과 대안 &#187; 흡연</title>
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		<title>담배갑 상단 흡연 경고 그림 부착 의무화 방안은 원안대로 규제돼야 한다.</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=column&#038;p=89339</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Apr 2016 04:56:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[기업감시]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[담배기업]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FCTC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[규개위]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[&#160; 규제개혁위원들은 ‘국민 살해자’라는 오명을 뒤집어 쓸 것인가? 보건복지부가 추진하던 담뱃갑 상단 흡연 경고 그림 부착 의무화 방안이 규제개혁위원회(이하 규개위)에 의해 제동이 걸렸다. 규개위는 지난 4월 22일 관련 [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h1 style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.chsc.or.kr/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/20160422002811_0.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-89333" alt="20160422002811_0" src="http://www.chsc.or.kr/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/20160422002811_0.jpg" width="500" height="299" /></a></h1>
<h1 style="text-align: center;">규제개혁위원들은 ‘국민 살해자’라는 오명을 뒤집어 쓸 것인가?</h1>
<p>보건복지부가 추진하던 담뱃갑 상단 흡연 경고 그림 부착 의무화 방안이 규제개혁위원회(이하 규개위)에 의해 제동이 걸렸다. 규개위는 지난 4월 22일 관련 방안을 심의해 올해 12월23일부터 담뱃갑에 부착될 경고그림을 담뱃갑의 상단에 배치하지 못하도록 결정하고 이 조항을 철회할 것을 보건복지부에 권고했다. 규개위는 경고 그림을 상단에 표기하도록 강제할 근거가 부족하다는 이유를 들었다. 그러나 이는 핑계일 뿐이다. 국민 건강을 외면한 이번 규개위의 불합리한 결정은 규개위원들이 제대로 된 ‘규제’를 외면할 수 없는 담배기업들과의 관계에서 비롯된 것이다. 우리는 국민 건강보다 담배업계의 이익을 우선시하는 규개위 결정은 정당성을 가질 수 없다는 점을 분명히 하며, 담배의 건강 위해성과 관련된 경고 그림 배치의 기업 자율 결정을 철회할 것을 다음과 같이 요구한다.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>담배는 전세계적으로 가장 큰 건강 유해 물질이기에 세계보건기구는 담배규제기본협약(FCTC)를 만들었고, 한국도 2005년에 이를 비준했다. 이 협약에 비준하면 해당 국가 정부는 담배규제기본협약에 맞게 국내법을 수정, 보완해야 할 의무를 가진다. 협약 제11조 1항에는 담배제품의 포장 및 라벨에 대한 규제 내용이 명시돼 있다. 이에 따르면 담배갑에 포함될 경고문구 및 그림과 관련하여 ‘넓은 면적, 명시성, 가시성 및 판독성’을 충족할 것을 요구하고 있다. 다시 말해 담배를 구매하고자 하는 사람들이 잘 보이는 곳에, 쉽게 위험성을 인식하도록 눈에 띄게 경고 문구 및 그림을 배치해야 한다는 것이다. 경고문구란 그 위험성을 인식하는 것이 가장 중요한 원칙이므로 이는 당연한 지침이다. 또한 원칙적으로는 담배의 주요 표시면들의 50% 이상의 크기 요건을 충족할 것도 요구하고 있다. 2014년 4월 유럽의회와 유럽연합정상회의는 담배규제지침을 채택하여 담배갑 앞면과 뒷면의 65% 이상에 경고문구 혹은 경고그림을 그 상단에 넣을 것을 각국에서 법제화할 것을 의무화 하였다. 이처럼 경고문구 및 그림을 상단에 넣도록 의무화 한 것은 그 만큼 상단표시가 세계보건기구 담배규제기본협약에서 말하는 &#8216;넓은 면적과 명시성 및 가시성 및 판독성&#8217;에 중요하기 때문이다. 그런데 한국은 표시면의 30%에 정도밖에 안 되는 경고 그림을 표시하면서 위치마저 눈에 보이는 상단이 아닌 방식으로 기업 자율에 맡긴다면 그 어떤 조항도 충족하지 못하게 될 가능성이 높다. 따라서 담배가 유해물질임을 자각할 수 있도록 한 담배갑 상단 흡연 경고문구 및 그림 배치는 반드시 지켜져야 한다.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>우리는 2014년에는 반드시 필요하다고 결정했던 경고 그림 규제가 규개위에서 ‘불필요한 규제’ 로 변화된 것에는 그에 따른 이유가 있다고 판단한다. 규개위는 관련 정책 심의 시에 담배업계 관계자를 불러 의견을 들었다. 담배제조회사가 모인 단체인 한국담배협회와 한국담배판매인회 중앙회 대표가 심의과정에 참여한 것이다. 혹자는 이해관계 당사자의 의견을 듣는 게 무슨 문제냐고 되물을 수 있다. 하지만 담배 규제 정책 입안 및 결정시 담배업계를 참여시켜서는 안 된다는 것은 국제사회가 강제하는 철칙에 가깝다. 이는 앞서 언급한 담배규제기본협약 제5조 3항에 명시되어 있는 내용이기도 하다. 담배업계의 로비로 인해 정부가 국민 건강에 해로운 불합리한 결정을 하게 되는 어이없는 역사를 반복하지 않기 위한 국제 사회의 약속인 것이다. 그런데 한국의 규개위는 이러한 원칙을 정면으로 위반했다. 뿐만 아니라 규개위원들의 이해상충의 문제도 있다. 담배소송에서 필립모리스를 변호하고 있는 로펌과 관련된 위원이나 담배기업 사장에 공모한 경력이 있는 위원도 규개위원에 포함돼 있다. 이는 규개위의 이번 결정이 그 절차적 정당성마저 결여되어 있다는 반증이다. 이러한 결정 과정이 국제사회에 알려진다면 한국 정부는 국제사회의 비난과 조롱을 면치 못할 것이다.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>규개위가 규제 완화라는 정책 목표를 달성하기 위해 국민 건강과 안전과 관련된 필수적 사회 규제 도입의 장애물로 기능한 것은 어제오늘의 일이 아니다. 하지만 이번 사안은 그 정도가 심하다. 누가 보더라도 합리적인 이유 없이 기업 이익을 위해 국민 건강을 내팽겨쳤다고 볼 수밖에 없는 결정을 내렸다. 이러한 결정에 대해 보건복지부는 재심을 요청했고, 규개위는 오는 5월 13일 경 관련 사안을 재심의할 예정이라고 한다. 보건복지부는 이번 규개위의 불합리한 결정에 대해 국민 건강을 대변하는 단호한 입장을 대변해야 한다. 그렇지 않으면 담배가격 인상으로 세수를 늘릴 때는 국민 건강을 제 1순위로 떠들던 보건복지부가 정작 실효성 있는 담배 규제 방안은 내팽개쳤다는 비판을 면하기 어려울 것이다. 또한 재심에서 그 결과가 바뀌지 않는다면 이러한 후안무치한 결정을 내린 규개위원 한 명 한 명은 국민 살해자라는 오명을 뒤집어 쓸 수밖에 없다.(끝)</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">
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		<title>[통계] 한국의료패널 기초분석보고서</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=5896</link>
		<comments>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=5896#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Aug 2013 03:25:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[미분류]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[고혈압]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[관절염]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[구강건강]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[노인장기요양]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[뇌혈관질환]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[당뇨병]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[만성지로한]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[민간 의료보험 가입 실태]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[신체활동량]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[심장질환]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[암]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[음주]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[의료비 지출]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[조사]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[중증질환]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[통계]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[한국의료패널]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[ 출처 : 한국의료패널 www.khp.re.kr/ 번호 제목 글쓴이 조회 첨부파일 4 제4회 학술대회 보고서 관리자 1367 3 제3회 학술대회 보고서 관리자 408 2 제2회 학술대회 보고서 관리자 130 1 [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> 출처 : 한국의료패널 <span style="color: #009933;">www.khp.re.kr/<br />
</span></p>
<table summary="의료패널데이터활용리스트" width="700" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>번호</th>
<th>제목</th>
<th>글쓴이</th>
<th>조회</th>
<th>첨부파일</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="middle">4</td>
<td><a href="http://www.khp.re.kr/ver_2/06_bbs/bbs01_view.jsp?bbsid=51&amp;seq=734&amp;location=/ver_2/04_study/study03&amp;currPage=1&amp;keyfield=&amp;key=">제4회 학술대회 보고서</a></td>
<td align="middle">관리자</td>
<td align="middle">1367</td>
<td align="middle"><a title="제4회 학술대회 보고서.pdf 파일 다운로드" href="http://www.khp.re.kr/ver_2/share/download2.jsp?seq=734"><img alt="파일다운로드" src="http://www.khp.re.kr/imgs/board/btn_pdf.gif" border="0" /> </a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="middle">3</td>
<td><a href="http://www.khp.re.kr/ver_2/06_bbs/bbs01_view.jsp?bbsid=51&amp;seq=536&amp;location=/ver_2/04_study/study03&amp;currPage=1&amp;keyfield=&amp;key=">제3회 학술대회 보고서</a></td>
<td align="middle">관리자</td>
<td align="middle">408</td>
<td align="middle"><a title="제3회 한국의료패널 학술대회 자료집.pdf 파일 다운로드" href="http://www.khp.re.kr/ver_2/share/download2.jsp?seq=536"><img alt="파일다운로드" src="http://www.khp.re.kr/imgs/board/btn_pdf.gif" border="0" /> </a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="middle">2</td>
<td><a href="http://www.khp.re.kr/ver_2/06_bbs/bbs01_view.jsp?bbsid=51&amp;seq=535&amp;location=/ver_2/04_study/study03&amp;currPage=1&amp;keyfield=&amp;key=">제2회 학술대회 보고서</a></td>
<td align="middle">관리자</td>
<td align="middle">130</td>
<td align="middle"><a title="01_한국의료패널_제2회_학술세미나자료집.pdf 파일 다운로드" href="http://www.khp.re.kr/ver_2/share/download2.jsp?seq=535"><img alt="파일다운로드" src="http://www.khp.re.kr/imgs/board/btn_pdf.gif" border="0" /> </a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="middle">1</td>
<td><a href="http://www.khp.re.kr/ver_2/06_bbs/bbs01_view.jsp?bbsid=51&amp;seq=534&amp;location=/ver_2/04_study/study03&amp;currPage=1&amp;keyfield=&amp;key=">제1회 학술대회 보고서</a></td>
<td align="middle">관리자</td>
<td align="middle">139</td>
<td align="middle"><a title="01_한국의료패널_제1회_학술세미나자료집.pdf 파일 다운로드" href="http://www.khp.re.kr/ver_2/share/download2.jsp?seq=534"><img alt="파일다운로드" src="http://www.khp.re.kr/imgs/board/btn_pdf.gif" border="0" /> </a></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>============</p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">2010년 한국의료패널 기초분석보고서(II)<br />
</span><span style="color: #000000;"><span>출처 : 국민건강보험공단 건강보험정책연구원<br />
발행일 : 2012-12-31<br />
연구자 : 서남규 외<br />
</span><br />
Abstract</span></p>
<p>요약</p>
<p>I. 한국의료패널 개요<br />
1. 한국의료패널의 필요성 및 목적<br />
2. 한국의료패널 설문항목 기본방향 및 설문내용<br />
3. 조사 표본 유지율<br />
4. 조사 대상 가구의 특성<br />
5. 이탈가구의 특성</p>
<p>II. 민간 의료보험 가입 실태<br />
1. 가구의 민간의료보험 가입 실태<br />
2. 가구원의 민간의료보험 가입 실태<br />
3. 가구의 민간의료보험 급여 수령 현황<br />
4. 가구원의 민간의료보험 급여 수령 현황</p>
<p>III. 중증질환과 의료비 지출<br />
1. 암<br />
2. 뇌혈관질환<br />
3. 심장질환</p>
<p>IV. 건강상태 : 삶의 질과 활동제한<br />
1. 건강관련 삶의 질<br />
2. 활동제한(1) &#8211; 만 18세 이상<br />
3. 활동제한(2) &#8211; 만 65세 이상</p>
<p>V. 정신건강<br />
1. 정신건강<br />
2. 수면 시간</p>
<p>VI. 건강행태<br />
1. 흡연<br />
2. 음주<br />
3. 신체활동량</p>
<p>VII. 구강 건강<br />
1. 양치습관<br />
2. 양치제품<br />
3. 무자격자 치과시술</p>
<p>VIII. 노인장기요양<br />
1. 노인장기요양</p>
<p>IX. 결론</p>
<p>부록. 2010년 하반기 한국의료패널 설문지</p>
<p>============</p>
<p>2009년 한국의료패널 기초분석보고서(III)<br />
<span>출처 : 국민건강보험공단 건강보험정책연구원<br />
발행일 : 2012-12-31<br />
연구자 : 서남규 외<br />
</span><br />
Abstract</p>
<p>요약</p>
<p>Ⅰ. 한국의료패널 개요<br />
1. 한국의료패널의 필요성 및 목적<br />
2. 한국의료패널 설문항목 기본방향 및 설문내용<br />
3. 조사 표본 유지율<br />
4. 2009년 한국의료패널 기초분석보고서(III) 작성데이터 구조</p>
<p>Ⅱ. 건강행태<br />
1. 흡연<br />
2. 음주<br />
3. 신체활동량</p>
<p>Ⅲ. 만성질환자의 약제비 및 의료비 지출<br />
1. 고혈압<br />
2. 당뇨병<br />
3. 관절염</p>
<p>Ⅳ. 중증질환과 의료비 지출<br />
1. 암<br />
2. 뇌혈관질환<br />
3. 심장질환</p>
<p>V. 일자리, 계층인지도와 건강수준<br />
1. 경제활동 인구의 특성 및 의료이용<br />
2. 종사상 지위별 특성 및 의료이용<br />
3. 가구소득 분위 및 종사상 지위에 따른 의료이용<br />
4. 종사상 지위 및 계층인지도에 따른 의료이용<br />
5. 근무시간 및 형태에 따른 의료이용</p>
<p>Ⅵ. 임신 및 출산과 의료비 지출<br />
1. 출산관련 의료이용 행태<br />
2. 출산으로 인한 본인부담 의료비 지출</p>
<p>Ⅶ. 노인의 건강상태 및 의료이용<br />
1. 노인 가구의 일반사항<br />
2. 노인의 의료이용 및 본인부담 의료비 지출<br />
3. 노인의 건강상태 및 건강행태<br />
4. 노인장기요양</p>
<p>Ⅷ. 결론</p>
<p>부록. 2009년 한국의료패널 설문지</p>
<p>====================</p>
<p>2012년 한국의료패널을 활용한 의료이용 심층연구<br />
<span>출처 : 한국보건사회연구원<br />
발행일 : 2012-12-31<br />
연구자 : 김대중 외<br />
</span><br />
Abstract</p>
<p>요 약</p>
<p>제1장 서론<br />
제1절 연구의 필요성 및 배경<br />
제2절 활용 데이터의 구성과 특성</p>
<p>제2장 의료이용의 결정요인<br />
2.1 우리나라 국민의 건강수준 및 의료이용 결정요인 분석<br />
2.2. 거리접근성의 관점에서 본 의료이용 행태 분석 &#8211; 당뇨병, 고혈압을 중심으로 -<br />
2.3 부모의 사회경제적 특성이 미성년 자녀의 의료이용에 미치는 영향<br />
2.4 독거노인의 주관적 건강에 미치는 기능제한 영향 분석<br />
2.5 한국의료패널을 활용한 노년기 외래의료서비스 예측요인 분석 &#8211; 스트레스취약 요인의 매개효과를 중심으로 -<br />
제3장 급성기 환자의 의료이용<br />
3.1 산재보험적용 및 자동차보험적용 환자 특성 분석<br />
3.2 응급실 이용 관련 요인</p>
<p>제4장 만성질환자의 의료이용<br />
4.1 복합만성질환자 유병률 및 의료이용: 치료 지속성이 피할 수 있는 입원에 미치는 영향 중심으로<br />
4.2 상용치료원과 건강성과</p>
<p>제5장 임신 및 출산관련 의료이용<br />
5.1 출산결과(Birth Outcome)에 따른 영아기 의료이용 및 의료비지출 실태<br />
5.2 사회경제적 특성별 임신‧출산 관련 의료이용 분석</p>
<p>제6장 처방의약품 이용<br />
6.1 의료기관종별 처방의약품 비용 및 순응도<br />
6.2 만성질환자의 복약순응도가 의료이용 및 의료비 지출에 미치는 영향</p>
<p>제7장 기타 의료이용<br />
7.1 운동자와 비운동자간 의료이용 차이의 계량적 분석<br />
7.2 은퇴가 건강에 미치는 영향<br />
7.3 소득계층별 의료이용에 따른 과부담 의료비 발생 차이 분석</p>
<p>=========================</p>
<p>2010년 한국의료패널 기초분석보고서(I)<br />
<span>출처 : 한국보건사회연구원<br />
발행일 : 2012-12-31<br />
연구자 : 정영호 외<br />
</span><br />
Abstract</p>
<p>요 약</p>
<p>제1장 한국의료패널 개요<br />
제1절 한국의료패널의 필요성 및 목적<br />
제2절 한국의료패널 설문항목 기본방향 및 설문내용<br />
제3절 조사 표본 유지율<br />
제4절 이탈가구의 특성</p>
<p>제2장 조사가구의 특성</p>
<p>제3장 입원 및 외래서비스 이용과 본인부담 의료비<br />
제1절 응급 서비스 이용 및 본인부담 의료비 현황<br />
제2절 입원서비스 이용 및 본인부담 의료비 현황<br />
제3절 외래 서비스 이용 및 본인부담 의료비 현황<br />
제4절 간병현황과 간병비</p>
<p>제4장 만성질환관리와 본인부담 의료비<br />
제1절 고혈압 관리 현황 및 연간 본인부담 의료비<br />
제2절 당뇨병 관리 및 연간 본인부담 의료비</p>
<p>제5장 임신 및 출산을 위한 가구의 의료비 지출<br />
제1절 출산에 따른 가구의 본인부담 의료비<br />
제2절 산전후 관리를 위한 본인부담 의료비<br />
제3절 임신 및 출산으로 인한 가구의 의료비 지출 규모</p>
<p>제6장 신생아의 생후 2년간 본인부담 의료비<br />
제1절 신생아의 생후 2년간 의료이용<br />
제2절 신생아의 생후 2년간 본인부담 의료비</p>
<p>제7장 고령자의 건강수준과 본인부담 의료비<br />
제1절 고령자의 만성질환 현황과 본인부담 의료비<br />
제2절 고령자의 건강행태별 본인부담 의료비</p>
<p>제8장 질병예방 및 건강관리비<br />
제1절 건강검진과 본인부담 의료비<br />
제2절 예방접종과 본인부담 의료비</p>
<p>제9장 결론</p>
<p>참고문헌</p>
<p>부록<br />
부록 1. 추가샘플링<br />
부록 2. 2010년 하반기 한국의료패널 설문지</p>
<p>=====================</p>
<p>2009년 한국의료패널 기초분석보고서(II)<br />
<span>출처 : 한국보건사회연구원<br />
발행일 : 2011-12-31<br />
연구자 : 정영호 외<br />
</span><br />
Abstract 1</p>
<p>요약3</p>
<p>제1장 한국의료패널의 개요 19<br />
제1절 한국의료패널 조사의 필요성 및 목적 19<br />
제2절 한국의료패널 설문 및 조사현황 22<br />
제3절 표본설계 및 가중치 30<br />
제4절 연구 내용 37</p>
<p>제2장 건강관련 삶의 질 41<br />
제1절 건강관련 삶의 질 척도 41<br />
제2절 건강관련 삶의 질 프로파일 48<br />
제3절 건강관련 삶의 질 : EQ-5D index 60</p>
<p>제3장 상용치료원 보유별 의료이용의 차이 71<br />
제1절 선행연구 및 분석 대상 71<br />
제2절 상용치료원 보유와 의료이용과의 관계 73<br />
제3절 고혈압 환자의 상용치료원 보유 유무와 의료이용 86</p>
<p>제4장 활동제한과 미충족 의료 91<br />
제1절 활동제한 91<br />
제2절 미충족 의료 97</p>
<p>제5장 만성질환으로 인한 의료이용 및 의료비: 우울증을 중심으로 107<br />
제1절 서론 107<br />
제2절 우리나라 성인의 만성질환 분포 108<br />
제3절 65세 이상 노인의 우울증으로 인한 의료이용과 의료비 차이 비교 110<br />
제4절 정책적 함의 116</p>
<p>제6장 베이비 부머의 가구특성 및 건강상태 121<br />
제1절 서론 121<br />
제2절 분석 데이터 개요 122<br />
제3절 베이비 부머 가구의 노후 준비 124<br />
제4절 베이비 부머의 소득과 경제활동 126<br />
제5절 베이비 부머의 건강상태 130</p>
<p>제7장 결론 145<br />
제1절 우리나라 성인의 건강관련 삶의 질 145<br />
제2절 상용치료원, 활동제한 및 미충족 의료 146<br />
제3절 65세 이상 노인의 우울증과 의료이용 및 의료비 147<br />
제4절 베이비 부머의 건강상태와 만성질환 관리 148</p>
<p>참고문헌 151</p>
<p>부록: 2009년 한국의료패널 설문지 157</p>
<p>================</p>
<p>2009년 한국의료패널 기초분석보고서(I)<br />
<span>출처 : 한국보건사회연구원<br />
발행일 : 2010-12-31<br />
연구자 : 정영호 외<br />
</span><br />
1. 한국의료패널 개요<br />
2. 조사가구의 특성<br />
3. 응급서비스 이용과 본인부담 의료비<br />
4. 입원서비스 이용과 본인부담<br />
5. 외래이용과 본인부담<br />
6. 의약품 복용 행태와 의약품비 지출<br />
7. 만성질환과 의료비 지출<br />
8. 출산과 의료비 지출<br />
9. 가구경제와 의료비 지출<br />
10 민간의료보험 가입 실태<br />
11. 주요 기대효과 및 향후 연구계획</p>
<p>===================</p>
<p>2008년 한국의료패널 기초분석보고서(II)<br />
<span>출처 : 한국보건사회연구원<br />
발행일 : 2010-12-31<br />
연구자 : 정영호 외<br />
</span><br />
1. 한국의료패널 개요<br />
2. 조사가구의 특성<br />
3. 응급서비스 이용과 본인부담 의료비<br />
4. 입원서비스 이용과 본인부담<br />
5. 외래이용과 본인부담<br />
6. 의약품 복용 행태와 의약품비 지출<br />
7. 만성질환과 의료비 지출<br />
8. 출산과 의료비 지출<br />
9. 가구경제와 의료비 지출<br />
10 민간의료보험 가입 실태<br />
11. 주요 기대효과 및 향후 연구계획</p>
<p>=================</p>
<p>2008년 한국의료패널 기초분석보고서 (I)<br />
<span>출처 : 한국보건사회연구원<br />
발행일 : 2009-12-31<br />
연구자 : 정영호 외<br />
</span><br />
Ⅰ.한국의료패널 개요<br />
1. 한국의료패널 조사의 필요성 및 목적<br />
2. 한국의료패널 설문항목 기본방향 및 설문내용<br />
3. 한국의료패널 조사의 추진체계 및 조사방법<br />
4. 조사 완료율 및 자료 입력<br />
5. 표본설계</p>
<p>Ⅱ. 조사가구의 특성<br />
1. 가구 특성 및 가족 구성<br />
2. 가구주 및 가구원 특성<br />
3. 사망 가구원의 특성</p>
<p>Ⅲ. 가구 경제<br />
1. 가구 소득 및 소비<br />
2. 주거 유형 및 관련 비용<br />
3. 개인의 경제활동상태</p>
<p>Ⅳ. 만성질환 및 의약품 복용 행태<br />
1. 만성질환자의 의약품 복용 행태<br />
2. 주요 만성질환자의 의약품 복용 행태<br />
3. 일반의약품 복용 행태</p>
<p>Ⅴ. 개인의 의료이용<br />
1. 응급서비스 이용<br />
2. 입원서비스 이용<br />
3. 외래서비스 이용<br />
4. 출산관련 의료이용</p>
<p>Ⅵ. 의료비 지출<br />
1. 가구의 의료비 지출<br />
2. 개인별 의료비 지출<br />
3. 의료서비스 이용 유형별 의료비 지출<br />
4. 의료비 재원</p>
<p>Ⅶ. 민간의료보험 가입 실태<br />
1. 가구의 민간의료보험 가입 실태<br />
2. 가구원별 민간의료보험 가입 실태<br />
3. 민간의료보험 급여 실태</p>
<p>Ⅷ. 정책적 시사점 및 활용 방안<br />
1. 가구 및 개인단위의 본인부담 의료비 지출 규모 제공<br />
2. OECD 보건계정체계 및 한국의료패널의 자료 생산<br />
3. 민간의료보험 가입 실태 및 민간재원조달<br />
4. 의료서비스 이용 실태<br />
5. 동태적 의료비 지출 변화<br />
6. 개인의 건강결정요인 분석을 위한 기초자료<br />
7. 향후 연구과제</p>
<p>참고문헌</p>
<p>==================</p>
<p>한국 의료패널 예비조사 결과 보고서<br />
<span>출처 : 한국보건사회연구원<br />
발행일 : 2008-12-31<br />
연구자 : 정영호 외<br />
</span>제1장 조사 개요<br />
제1절 한국의료패널의 필요성 및 목적<br />
제2절 한국의료패널 예비조사 개요</p>
<p>제2장 1차 예비조사 진행 및 결과 분석<br />
제1절 1차 예비조사의 목적 및 설계<br />
제2절 1차 예비조사의 설문 내용<br />
제3절 1차 예비조사의 실사 과정 및 결과 분석<br />
제4절 향후 본 조사를 위한 개선사항</p>
<p>제3장 2차 예비조사 진행 및 결과 분석<br />
제1절 2차 예비조사 목적 및 조사 개요<br />
제2절 2차 예비조사 내용 및 실사과정<br />
제3절 2차 예비조사 결과<br />
제4절 향후 본 조사를 위한 개선사항</p>
<p>제4장 향후 개선 방향<br />
제1절 조사 및 패널관리 개선사항<br />
제2절 설문내용관련 개선사항<br />
제3절 데이터관리관련</p>
<p>================</p>
<p>2008년 한국의료패널 조사 진행 보고서<br />
<span>출처 : 한국보건사회연구원<br />
발행일 : 2008-12-31<br />
연구자 : 정영호 외<br />
</span>제1장 조사 개요<br />
제1절 한국의료패널 조사의 필요성 및 목적<br />
제2절 한국의료패널 조사의 추진체계 및 수행절차<br />
제3절 표본설계</p>
<p>제2장 설문지 및 건강가계부 설계<br />
제1절 설문지 설계<br />
제2절 건강가계부 설계</p>
<p>제3장 예비조사 및 가구유치조사<br />
제1절 예비조사<br />
제2절 가구유치조사</p>
<p>제4장 2008년 한국의료패널 조사 진행<br />
제1절 인지조사 및 자문회의를 통한 개선사항<br />
제2절 2008년 한국의료패널 실사 과정<br />
제3절 조사 완료율 및 자료입력</p>
<p>제5장 한국의료패널 가구 관리<br />
제1절 패널가구 관리의 중요성<br />
제2절 패널 관리 및 운영</p>
<p>제6장 한국의료패널 향후계획 및 기대효과<br />
제1절 한국의료패널 향후 계획<br />
제2절 기대효과</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>[건강수명] 술 11개월, 담배 9.4개월 장애보정수명 감소시켜</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=4169</link>
		<comments>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=4169#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Jun 2013 12:06:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[노동 · 환경]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[건강수명]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[건강측정평가연구소(IHME)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[고혈압]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[당뇨]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[비만]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[스트레스]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[운동부족]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[음주]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[잘못된 식습관]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[장애보정수명(DALY)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[환경오염]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation: IHME (건강영향측정평가연구소) www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/ 시애틀 소재 워싱턴대학교 부설 연구소. 2011년 건강영향측정평가연구소(IHME)에서 펴낸 보고서에서 &#8220;미국은 1인당 보건의료에 투자하는 비용이 어느 나라보다도 높지만 평균 예상 [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><A href="http://www.google.co.kr/url?q=http://www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/&#038;sa=U&#038;ei=FWTCUdbUFseOlQX46oCIBQ&#038;ved=0CBsQFjAA&#038;sig2=QcR-_JLDSXZ4g_kOTH-FSw&#038;usg=AFQjCNGQKPnHIUKvYnE_1ENSO50UmheClw" target=_blank><FONT size=3><FONT color=#6611cc><B>Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation</B>: <B>IHME</B></FONT></FONT></A> (건강영향측정평가연구소)<br />
<DIV class=s><br />
<DIV class=kv style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 2px"><CITE><FONT color=#009933>www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/</FONT></CITE><SPAN class=flc> <BR><BR>시애틀 소재 워싱턴대학교 부설 연구소. 2011년 건강영향측정평가연구소(IHME)에서 펴낸 보고서에서 &#8220;<FONT size=2>미국은 1인당 보건의료에 투자하는 비용이 어느 나라보다도 높지만 평균 예상 수명은 30위권 이하인 것&#8221;으로 나타났으며, &nbsp;2008년 기준으로 미국의 보건의료 지출은 2조3000억달러 이상이며 1인당 7681달러를 쓴 것으로 조사된 바 있다. <BR></FONT><BR>*&nbsp;Disability-Adjusted Life Year (DALY) 장애보정수명<BR><A href="http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/metrics_daly/en/">http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/metrics_daly/en/</A><BR><BR>[참고] Life, Not Death, is Focus of New Health Metrics<BR><A href="http://discovermagazine.com/2013/julyaug/18-international-health-metric-measures-years-lost">http://discovermagazine.com/2013/julyaug/18-international-health-metric-measures-years-lost</A><BR><BR>Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990—2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010<BR><BR>The Lancet, <A class=article-hdr-link href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/issue/vol380no9859/PIIS0140-6736(12)X6053-7" cmImpressionSent="1">Volume 380, Issue 9859</A>, Pages 2197 &#8211; 2223, 15 December 2012<BR><A href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract">http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract</A><BR><BR><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Christopher J L Murray'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Christopher J L+Murray" cmImpressionSent="1">Christopher J L Murray</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn2" name=back-fn2 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>†</SPAN></A><A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn3" name=back-fn3 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>‡</SPAN></A><A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#cor1" name=back-cor1 cmImpressionSent="1"><IMG alt="Corresponding Author" src="http://www.thelancet.com/images/article_notepad.gif" border=0></IMG></A><A class=ja50-ce-e-address href="mailto:cjlm@uw.edu" cmImpressionSent="1"><IMG alt="Email Address" src="http://www.thelancet.com/images/article_email.gif" border=0></IMG></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Theo Vos'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Theo+Vos" cmImpressionSent="1">Theo Vos</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff2" name=back-aff2 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>b</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rafael Lozano'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rafael+Lozano" cmImpressionSent="1">Rafael Lozano</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Mohsen Naghavi'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Mohsen+Naghavi" cmImpressionSent="1">Mohsen Naghavi</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Abraham D Flaxman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Abraham D+Flaxman" cmImpressionSent="1">Abraham D Flaxman</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Catherine Michaud'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Catherine+Michaud" cmImpressionSent="1">Catherine Michaud</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff10" name=back-aff10 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>j</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Majid Ezzati'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Majid+Ezzati" cmImpressionSent="1">Majid Ezzati</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff11" name=back-aff11 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>k</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kenji Shibuya'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kenji+Shibuya" cmImpressionSent="1">Kenji Shibuya</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff13" name=back-aff13 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>m</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Joshua A Salomon'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Joshua A+Salomon" cmImpressionSent="1">Joshua A Salomon</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff16" name=back-aff16 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>p</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Safa Abdalla'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Safa+Abdalla" cmImpressionSent="1">Safa Abdalla</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff22" name=back-aff22 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>v</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Victor Aboyans'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Victor+Aboyans" cmImpressionSent="1">Victor Aboyans</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff23" name=back-aff23 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>w</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jerry Abraham'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jerry+Abraham" cmImpressionSent="1">Jerry Abraham</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff24" name=back-aff24 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>x</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ilana Ackerman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ilana+Ackerman" cmImpressionSent="1">Ilana Ackerman</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff29" name=back-aff29 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ac</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rakesh Aggarwal'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rakesh+Aggarwal" cmImpressionSent="1">Rakesh Aggarwal</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff30" name=back-aff30 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ad</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Stephanie Y Ahn'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Stephanie Y+Ahn" cmImpressionSent="1">Stephanie Y Ahn</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Mohammed K Ali'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Mohammed K+Ali" cmImpressionSent="1">Mohammed K Ali</A> MBChB <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff32" name=back-aff32 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>af</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Mohammad A AlMazroa'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Mohammad A+AlMazroa" cmImpressionSent="1">Mohammad A AlMazroa</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff33" name=back-aff33 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ag</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Miriam Alvarado'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Miriam+Alvarado" cmImpressionSent="1">Miriam Alvarado</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','H Ross Anderson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=H Ross+Anderson" cmImpressionSent="1">H Ross Anderson</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff34" name=back-aff34 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ah</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Laurie M Anderson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Laurie M+Anderson" cmImpressionSent="1">Laurie M Anderson</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff7" name=back-aff7 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>g</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kathryn G Andrews'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kathryn G+Andrews" cmImpressionSent="1">Kathryn G Andrews</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Charles Atkinson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Charles+Atkinson" cmImpressionSent="1">Charles Atkinson</A> BS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Larry M Baddour'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Larry M+Baddour" cmImpressionSent="1">Larry M Baddour</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff35" name=back-aff35 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ai</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Adil N Bahalim'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Adil N+Bahalim" cmImpressionSent="1">Adil N Bahalim</A> MEng <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff36" name=back-aff36 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>aj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Suzanne Barker-Collo'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Suzanne+Barker-Collo" cmImpressionSent="1">Suzanne Barker-Collo</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff37" name=back-aff37 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ak</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Lope H Barrero'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Lope H+Barrero" cmImpressionSent="1">Lope H Barrero</A> ScD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff38" name=back-aff38 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>al</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David H Bartels'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David H+Bartels" cmImpressionSent="1">David H Bartels</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff21" name=back-aff21 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>u</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Maria-Gloria Basáñez'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Maria-Gloria+Bas%C3%A1%C3%B1ez" cmImpressionSent="1">Maria-Gloria Basáñez</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff12" name=back-aff12 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>l</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Amanda Baxter'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Amanda+Baxter" cmImpressionSent="1">Amanda Baxter</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff1" name=back-aff1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>a</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michelle L Bell'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michelle L+Bell" cmImpressionSent="1">Michelle L Bell</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff40" name=back-aff40 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>an</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Emelia J Benjamin'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Emelia J+Benjamin" cmImpressionSent="1">Emelia J Benjamin</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff42" name=back-aff42 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ap</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Derrick Bennett'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Derrick+Bennett" cmImpressionSent="1">Derrick Bennett</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff43" name=back-aff43 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>aq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Eduardo Bernabé'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Eduardo+Bernab%C3%A9" cmImpressionSent="1">Eduardo Bernabé</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff45" name=back-aff45 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>as</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kavi Bhalla'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kavi+Bhalla" cmImpressionSent="1">Kavi Bhalla</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff21" name=back-aff21 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>u</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Bishal Bhandari'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Bishal+Bhandari" cmImpressionSent="1">Bishal Bhandari</A> MSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff49" name=back-aff49 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>aw</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Boris Bikbov'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Boris+Bikbov" cmImpressionSent="1">Boris Bikbov</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff50" name=back-aff50 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ax</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Aref Bin Abdulhak'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Aref Bin+Abdulhak" cmImpressionSent="1">Aref Bin Abdulhak</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff51" name=back-aff51 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ay</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Gretchen Birbeck'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Gretchen+Birbeck" cmImpressionSent="1">Gretchen Birbeck</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff52" name=back-aff52 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>az</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','James A Black'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=James A+Black" cmImpressionSent="1">James A Black</A> MPhil <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff53" name=back-aff53 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ba</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Hannah Blencowe'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Hannah+Blencowe" cmImpressionSent="1">Hannah Blencowe</A> MBChB <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff54" name=back-aff54 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jed D Blore'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jed D+Blore" cmImpressionSent="1">Jed D Blore</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff2" name=back-aff2 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>b</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Fiona Blyth'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Fiona+Blyth" cmImpressionSent="1">Fiona Blyth</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff59" name=back-aff59 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ian Bolliger'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ian+Bolliger" cmImpressionSent="1">Ian Bolliger</A> AB <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Audrey Bonaventure'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Audrey+Bonaventure" cmImpressionSent="1">Audrey Bonaventure</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff60" name=back-aff60 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bh</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Soufiane Boufous'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Soufiane+Boufous" cmImpressionSent="1">Soufiane Boufous</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff61" name=back-aff61 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bi</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rupert Bourne'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rupert+Bourne" cmImpressionSent="1">Rupert Bourne</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff64" name=back-aff64 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bl</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michel Boussinesq'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michel+Boussinesq" cmImpressionSent="1">Michel Boussinesq</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff65" name=back-aff65 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bm</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Tasanee Braithwaite'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Tasanee+Braithwaite" cmImpressionSent="1">Tasanee Braithwaite</A> BMBCh <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff66" name=back-aff66 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bn</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Carol Brayne'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Carol+Brayne" cmImpressionSent="1">Carol Brayne</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff67" name=back-aff67 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bo</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Lisa Bridgett'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Lisa+Bridgett" cmImpressionSent="1">Lisa Bridgett</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff59" name=back-aff59 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Simon Brooker'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Simon+Brooker" cmImpressionSent="1">Simon Brooker</A> DPhil <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff54" name=back-aff54 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Peter Brooks'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Peter+Brooks" cmImpressionSent="1">Peter Brooks</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff29" name=back-aff29 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ac</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Traolach S Brugha'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Traolach S+Brugha" cmImpressionSent="1">Traolach S Brugha</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff68" name=back-aff68 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bp</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Claire Bryan-Hancock'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Claire+Bryan-Hancock" cmImpressionSent="1">Claire Bryan-Hancock</A> BPsych <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff69" name=back-aff69 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Chiara Bucello'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Chiara+Bucello" cmImpressionSent="1">Chiara Bucello</A> BPsyc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff63" name=back-aff63 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bk</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rachelle Buchbinder'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rachelle+Buchbinder" cmImpressionSent="1">Rachelle Buchbinder</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff70" name=back-aff70 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>br</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Geoffrey Buckle'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Geoffrey+Buckle" cmImpressionSent="1">Geoffrey Buckle</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff73" name=back-aff73 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bu</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Christine M Budke'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Christine M+Budke" cmImpressionSent="1">Christine M Budke</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff75" name=back-aff75 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bw</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michael Burch'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michael+Burch" cmImpressionSent="1">Michael Burch</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff76" name=back-aff76 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bx</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Peter Burney'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Peter+Burney" cmImpressionSent="1">Peter Burney</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff12" name=back-aff12 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>l</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Roy Burstein'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Roy+Burstein" cmImpressionSent="1">Roy Burstein</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Bianca Calabria'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Bianca+Calabria" cmImpressionSent="1">Bianca Calabria</A> BPsych <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff62" name=back-aff62 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Benjamin Campbell'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Benjamin+Campbell" cmImpressionSent="1">Benjamin Campbell</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Charles E Canter'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Charles E+Canter" cmImpressionSent="1">Charles E Canter</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff77" name=back-aff77 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>by</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Hélène Carabin'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=H%C3%A9l%C3%A8ne+Carabin" cmImpressionSent="1">Hélène Carabin</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff78" name=back-aff78 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bz</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jonathan Carapetis'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jonathan+Carapetis" cmImpressionSent="1">Jonathan Carapetis</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff79" name=back-aff79 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ca</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Loreto Carmona'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Loreto+Carmona" cmImpressionSent="1">Loreto Carmona</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff81" name=back-aff81 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cc</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Claudia Cella'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Claudia+Cella" cmImpressionSent="1">Claudia Cella</A> PharmChemD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff82" name=back-aff82 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Fiona Charlson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Fiona+Charlson" cmImpressionSent="1">Fiona Charlson</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff2" name=back-aff2 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>b</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Honglei Chen'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Honglei+Chen" cmImpressionSent="1">Honglei Chen</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff83" name=back-aff83 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ce</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Andrew Tai-Ann Cheng'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Andrew Tai-Ann+Cheng" cmImpressionSent="1">Andrew Tai-Ann Cheng</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff84" name=back-aff84 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cf</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David Chou'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David+Chou" cmImpressionSent="1">David Chou</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sumeet S Chugh'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sumeet S+Chugh" cmImpressionSent="1">Sumeet S Chugh</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff86" name=back-aff86 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ch</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Luc E Coffeng'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Luc E+Coffeng" cmImpressionSent="1">Luc E Coffeng</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff88" name=back-aff88 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Steven D Colan'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Steven D+Colan" cmImpressionSent="1">Steven D Colan</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff19" name=back-aff19 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>s</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Samantha Colquhoun'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Samantha+Colquhoun" cmImpressionSent="1">Samantha Colquhoun</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff89" name=back-aff89 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ck</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','K Ellicott Colson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=K Ellicott+Colson" cmImpressionSent="1">K Ellicott Colson</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','John Condon'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=John+Condon" cmImpressionSent="1">John Condon</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff89" name=back-aff89 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ck</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Myles D Connor'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Myles D+Connor" cmImpressionSent="1">Myles D Connor</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff92" name=back-aff92 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cn</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff90" name=back-aff90 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cl</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff91" name=back-aff91 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cm</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Leslie T Cooper'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Leslie T+Cooper" cmImpressionSent="1">Leslie T Cooper</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff93" name=back-aff93 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>co</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Matthew Corriere'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Matthew+Corriere" cmImpressionSent="1">Matthew Corriere</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff94" name=back-aff94 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cp</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Monica Cortinovis'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Monica+Cortinovis" cmImpressionSent="1">Monica Cortinovis</A> BiotechD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff82" name=back-aff82 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Karen Courville de Vaccaro'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Karen Courville+de Vaccaro" cmImpressionSent="1">Karen Courville de Vaccaro</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff95" name=back-aff95 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','William Couser'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=William+Couser" cmImpressionSent="1">William Couser</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff9" name=back-aff9 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>i</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Benjamin C Cowie'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Benjamin C+Cowie" cmImpressionSent="1">Benjamin C Cowie</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff96" name=back-aff96 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cr</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michael H Criqui'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michael H+Criqui" cmImpressionSent="1">Michael H Criqui</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff97" name=back-aff97 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cs</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Marita Cross'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Marita+Cross" cmImpressionSent="1">Marita Cross</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff59" name=back-aff59 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kaustubh C Dabhadkar'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kaustubh C+Dabhadkar" cmImpressionSent="1">Kaustubh C Dabhadkar</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff32" name=back-aff32 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>af</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Manu Dahiya'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Manu+Dahiya" cmImpressionSent="1">Manu Dahiya</A> BDS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff48" name=back-aff48 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>av</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Nabila Dahodwala'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Nabila+Dahodwala" cmImpressionSent="1">Nabila Dahodwala</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff98" name=back-aff98 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ct</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','James Damsere-Derry'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=James+Damsere-Derry" cmImpressionSent="1">James Damsere-Derry</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff99" name=back-aff99 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cu</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Goodarz Danaei'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Goodarz+Danaei" cmImpressionSent="1">Goodarz Danaei</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff16" name=back-aff16 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>p</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Adrian Davis'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Adrian+Davis" cmImpressionSent="1">Adrian Davis</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff100" name=back-aff100 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cv</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Diego De Leo'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Diego De+Leo" cmImpressionSent="1">Diego De Leo</A> DSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff103" name=back-aff103 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cy</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Louisa Degenhardt'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Louisa+Degenhardt" cmImpressionSent="1">Louisa Degenhardt</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff27" name=back-aff27 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>aa</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff62" name=back-aff62 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Robert Dellavalle'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Robert+Dellavalle" cmImpressionSent="1">Robert Dellavalle</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff104" name=back-aff104 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cz</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Allyne Delossantos'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Allyne+Delossantos" cmImpressionSent="1">Allyne Delossantos</A> BS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Julie Denenberg'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Julie+Denenberg" cmImpressionSent="1">Julie Denenberg</A> MA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff97" name=back-aff97 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cs</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sarah Derrett'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sarah+Derrett" cmImpressionSent="1">Sarah Derrett</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff105" name=back-aff105 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>da</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Don C Des Jarlais'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Don C+Des Jarlais" cmImpressionSent="1">Don C Des Jarlais</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff106" name=back-aff106 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>db</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Samath D Dharmaratne'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Samath D+Dharmaratne" cmImpressionSent="1">Samath D Dharmaratne</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff107" name=back-aff107 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dc</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Mukesh Dherani'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Mukesh+Dherani" cmImpressionSent="1">Mukesh Dherani</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff108" name=back-aff108 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Cesar Diaz-Torne'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Cesar+Diaz-Torne" cmImpressionSent="1">Cesar Diaz-Torne</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff109" name=back-aff109 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>de</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Helen Dolk'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Helen+Dolk" cmImpressionSent="1">Helen Dolk</A> DrPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff110" name=back-aff110 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>df</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','E Ray Dorsey'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=E Ray+Dorsey" cmImpressionSent="1">E Ray Dorsey</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff74" name=back-aff74 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bv</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Tim Driscoll'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Tim+Driscoll" cmImpressionSent="1">Tim Driscoll</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff58" name=back-aff58 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bf</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Herbert Duber'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Herbert+Duber" cmImpressionSent="1">Herbert Duber</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff9" name=back-aff9 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>i</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Beth Ebel'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Beth+Ebel" cmImpressionSent="1">Beth Ebel</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff9" name=back-aff9 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>i</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Karen Edmond'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Karen+Edmond" cmImpressionSent="1">Karen Edmond</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff54" name=back-aff54 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Alexis Elbaz'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Alexis+Elbaz" cmImpressionSent="1">Alexis Elbaz</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff60" name=back-aff60 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bh</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Suad Eltahir Ali'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Suad Eltahir+Ali" cmImpressionSent="1">Suad Eltahir Ali</A> Mcs <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff111" name=back-aff111 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Holly Erskine'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Holly+Erskine" cmImpressionSent="1">Holly Erskine</A> BPsySc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff1" name=back-aff1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>a</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Patricia J Erwin'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Patricia J+Erwin" cmImpressionSent="1">Patricia J Erwin</A> MLS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff35" name=back-aff35 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ai</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Patricia Espindola'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Patricia+Espindola" cmImpressionSent="1">Patricia Espindola</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff112" name=back-aff112 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dh</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Stalin E Ewoigbokhan'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Stalin E+Ewoigbokhan" cmImpressionSent="1">Stalin E Ewoigbokhan</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff113" name=back-aff113 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>di</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Farshad Farzadfar'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Farshad+Farzadfar" cmImpressionSent="1">Farshad Farzadfar</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff115" name=back-aff115 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dk</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Valery Feigin'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Valery+Feigin" cmImpressionSent="1">Valery Feigin</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff116" name=back-aff116 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dl</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David T Felson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David T+Felson" cmImpressionSent="1">David T Felson</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff41" name=back-aff41 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ao</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Alize Ferrari'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Alize+Ferrari" cmImpressionSent="1">Alize Ferrari</A> BPsySc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff1" name=back-aff1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>a</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Cleusa P Ferri'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Cleusa P+Ferri" cmImpressionSent="1">Cleusa P Ferri</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff119" name=back-aff119 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>do</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Eric M Fèvre'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Eric M+F%C3%A8vre" cmImpressionSent="1">Eric M Fèvre</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff91" name=back-aff91 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cm</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Mariel M Finucane'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Mariel M+Finucane" cmImpressionSent="1">Mariel M Finucane</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff15" name=back-aff15 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>o</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Seth Flaxman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Seth+Flaxman" cmImpressionSent="1">Seth Flaxman</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff120" name=back-aff120 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dp</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Louise Flood'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Louise+Flood" cmImpressionSent="1">Louise Flood</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff69" name=back-aff69 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kyle Foreman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kyle+Foreman" cmImpressionSent="1">Kyle Foreman</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff12" name=back-aff12 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>l</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Mohammad H Forouzanfar'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Mohammad H+Forouzanfar" cmImpressionSent="1">Mohammad H Forouzanfar</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Francis Gerry R Fowkes'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Francis Gerry R+Fowkes" cmImpressionSent="1">Francis Gerry R Fowkes</A> FRCPE <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff91" name=back-aff91 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cm</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Marlene Fransen'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Marlene+Fransen" cmImpressionSent="1">Marlene Fransen</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff56" name=back-aff56 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michael K Freeman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michael K+Freeman" cmImpressionSent="1">Michael K Freeman</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Belinda J Gabbe'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Belinda J+Gabbe" cmImpressionSent="1">Belinda J Gabbe</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff71" name=back-aff71 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bs</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sherine E Gabriel'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sherine E+Gabriel" cmImpressionSent="1">Sherine E Gabriel</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff35" name=back-aff35 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ai</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Emmanuela Gakidou'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Emmanuela+Gakidou" cmImpressionSent="1">Emmanuela Gakidou</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Hammad A Ganatra'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Hammad A+Ganatra" cmImpressionSent="1">Hammad A Ganatra</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff32" name=back-aff32 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>af</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Bianca Garcia'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Bianca+Garcia" cmImpressionSent="1">Bianca Garcia</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff5" name=back-aff5 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>e</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Flavio Gaspari'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Flavio+Gaspari" cmImpressionSent="1">Flavio Gaspari</A> ChemD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff82" name=back-aff82 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Richard F Gillum'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Richard F+Gillum" cmImpressionSent="1">Richard F Gillum</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff122" name=back-aff122 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dr</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Gerhard Gmel'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Gerhard+Gmel" cmImpressionSent="1">Gerhard Gmel</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff123" name=back-aff123 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ds</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Diego Gonzalez-Medina'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Diego+Gonzalez-Medina" cmImpressionSent="1">Diego Gonzalez-Medina</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Richard Gosselin'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Richard+Gosselin" cmImpressionSent="1">Richard Gosselin</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff125" name=back-aff125 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>du</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rebecca Grainger'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rebecca+Grainger" cmImpressionSent="1">Rebecca Grainger</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff105" name=back-aff105 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>da</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Bridget Grant'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Bridget+Grant" cmImpressionSent="1">Bridget Grant</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff140" name=back-aff140 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ej</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Justina Groeger'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Justina+Groeger" cmImpressionSent="1">Justina Groeger</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff126" name=back-aff126 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dv</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Francis Guillemin'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Francis+Guillemin" cmImpressionSent="1">Francis Guillemin</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff129" name=back-aff129 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dy</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David Gunnell'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David+Gunnell" cmImpressionSent="1">David Gunnell</A> DSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff130" name=back-aff130 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dz</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ramyani Gupta'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ramyani+Gupta" cmImpressionSent="1">Ramyani Gupta</A> MSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff34" name=back-aff34 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ah</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Juanita Haagsma'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Juanita+Haagsma" cmImpressionSent="1">Juanita Haagsma</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff88" name=back-aff88 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Holly Hagan'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Holly+Hagan" cmImpressionSent="1">Holly Hagan</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff131" name=back-aff131 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ea</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Yara A Halasa'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Yara A+Halasa" cmImpressionSent="1">Yara A Halasa</A> DDS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff132" name=back-aff132 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>eb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Wayne Hall'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Wayne+Hall" cmImpressionSent="1">Wayne Hall</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff5" name=back-aff5 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>e</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Diana Haring'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Diana+Haring" cmImpressionSent="1">Diana Haring</A> BS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Josep Maria Haro'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Josep Maria+Haro" cmImpressionSent="1">Josep Maria Haro</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff133" name=back-aff133 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ec</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','James E Harrison'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=James E+Harrison" cmImpressionSent="1">James E Harrison</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff69" name=back-aff69 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rasmus Havmoeller'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rasmus+Havmoeller" cmImpressionSent="1">Rasmus Havmoeller</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff85" name=back-aff85 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff134" name=back-aff134 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ed</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Roderick J Hay'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Roderick J+Hay" cmImpressionSent="1">Roderick J Hay</A> DM <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff46" name=back-aff46 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>at</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Hideki Higashi'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Hideki+Higashi" cmImpressionSent="1">Hideki Higashi</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff2" name=back-aff2 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>b</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Catherine Hill'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Catherine+Hill" cmImpressionSent="1">Catherine Hill</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff135" name=back-aff135 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ee</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Bruno Hoen'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Bruno+Hoen" cmImpressionSent="1">Bruno Hoen</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff136" name=back-aff136 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ef</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff137" name=back-aff137 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>eg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Howard Hoffman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Howard+Hoffman" cmImpressionSent="1">Howard Hoffman</A> MA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff138" name=back-aff138 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>eh</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Peter J Hotez'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Peter J+Hotez" cmImpressionSent="1">Peter J Hotez</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff141" name=back-aff141 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ek</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Damian Hoy'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Damian+Hoy" cmImpressionSent="1">Damian Hoy</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff72" name=back-aff72 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bt</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','John J Huang'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=John J+Huang" cmImpressionSent="1">John J Huang</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff40" name=back-aff40 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>an</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sydney E Ibeanusi'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sydney E+Ibeanusi" cmImpressionSent="1">Sydney E Ibeanusi</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff142" name=back-aff142 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>el</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kathryn H Jacobsen'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kathryn H+Jacobsen" cmImpressionSent="1">Kathryn H Jacobsen</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff143" name=back-aff143 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>em</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Spencer L James'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Spencer L+James" cmImpressionSent="1">Spencer L James</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Deborah Jarvis'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Deborah+Jarvis" cmImpressionSent="1">Deborah Jarvis</A> FFPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff12" name=back-aff12 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>l</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rashmi Jasrasaria'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rashmi+Jasrasaria" cmImpressionSent="1">Rashmi Jasrasaria</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sudha Jayaraman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sudha+Jayaraman" cmImpressionSent="1">Sudha Jayaraman</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff20" name=back-aff20 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>t</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Nicole Johns'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Nicole+Johns" cmImpressionSent="1">Nicole Johns</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jost B Jonas'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jost B+Jonas" cmImpressionSent="1">Jost B Jonas</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff144" name=back-aff144 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>en</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ganesan Karthikeyan'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ganesan+Karthikeyan" cmImpressionSent="1">Ganesan Karthikeyan</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff145" name=back-aff145 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>eo</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Nicholas Kassebaum'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Nicholas+Kassebaum" cmImpressionSent="1">Nicholas Kassebaum</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff8" name=back-aff8 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>h</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Norito Kawakami'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Norito+Kawakami" cmImpressionSent="1">Norito Kawakami</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff14" name=back-aff14 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>n</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Andre Keren'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Andre+Keren" cmImpressionSent="1">Andre Keren</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff146" name=back-aff146 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ep</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jon-Paul Khoo'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jon-Paul+Khoo" cmImpressionSent="1">Jon-Paul Khoo</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff1" name=back-aff1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>a</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Charles H King'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Charles H+King" cmImpressionSent="1">Charles H King</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff147" name=back-aff147 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>eq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Lisa Marie Knowlton'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Lisa Marie+Knowlton" cmImpressionSent="1">Lisa Marie Knowlton</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff18" name=back-aff18 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>r</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Olive Kobusingye'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Olive+Kobusingye" cmImpressionSent="1">Olive Kobusingye</A> MMed <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff148" name=back-aff148 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>er</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff149" name=back-aff149 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>es</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Adofo Koranteng'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Adofo+Koranteng" cmImpressionSent="1">Adofo Koranteng</A> MSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff150" name=back-aff150 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>et</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rita Krishnamurthi'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rita+Krishnamurthi" cmImpressionSent="1">Rita Krishnamurthi</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff117" name=back-aff117 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dm</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Francine Laden'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Francine+Laden" cmImpressionSent="1">Francine Laden</A> ScD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff16" name=back-aff16 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>p</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ratilal Lalloo'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ratilal+Lalloo" cmImpressionSent="1">Ratilal Lalloo</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff101" name=back-aff101 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cw</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff102" name=back-aff102 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cx</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Laura L Laslett'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Laura L+Laslett" cmImpressionSent="1">Laura L Laslett</A> MMedSci <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff151" name=back-aff151 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>eu</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Tim Lathlean'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Tim+Lathlean" cmImpressionSent="1">Tim Lathlean</A> MA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff69" name=back-aff69 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Janet L Leasher'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Janet L+Leasher" cmImpressionSent="1">Janet L Leasher</A> OD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff152" name=back-aff152 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ev</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Yong Yi Lee'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Yong Yi+Lee" cmImpressionSent="1">Yong Yi Lee</A> MHEcon <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff2" name=back-aff2 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>b</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','James Leigh'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=James+Leigh" cmImpressionSent="1">James Leigh</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff58" name=back-aff58 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bf</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Daphna Levinson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Daphna+Levinson" cmImpressionSent="1">Daphna Levinson</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff153" name=back-aff153 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ew</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Stephen S Lim'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Stephen S+Lim" cmImpressionSent="1">Stephen S Lim</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Elizabeth Limb'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Elizabeth+Limb" cmImpressionSent="1">Elizabeth Limb</A> MSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff34" name=back-aff34 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ah</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','John Kent Lin'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=John Kent+Lin" cmImpressionSent="1">John Kent Lin</A> AB <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff16" name=back-aff16 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>p</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michael Lipnick'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michael+Lipnick" cmImpressionSent="1">Michael Lipnick</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff125" name=back-aff125 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>du</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Steven E Lipshultz'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Steven E+Lipshultz" cmImpressionSent="1">Steven E Lipshultz</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff154" name=back-aff154 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ex</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Wei Liu'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Wei+Liu" cmImpressionSent="1">Wei Liu</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff17" name=back-aff17 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>q</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Maria Loane'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Maria+Loane" cmImpressionSent="1">Maria Loane</A> MSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff110" name=back-aff110 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>df</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Summer Lockett Ohno'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Summer Lockett+Ohno" cmImpressionSent="1">Summer Lockett Ohno</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ronan Lyons'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ronan+Lyons" cmImpressionSent="1">Ronan Lyons</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff155" name=back-aff155 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ey</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jacqueline Mabweijano'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jacqueline+Mabweijano" cmImpressionSent="1">Jacqueline Mabweijano</A> MMed <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff156" name=back-aff156 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ez</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michael F MacIntyre'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michael F+MacIntyre" cmImpressionSent="1">Michael F MacIntyre</A> EdM <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Reza Malekzadeh'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Reza+Malekzadeh" cmImpressionSent="1">Reza Malekzadeh</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff114" name=back-aff114 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Leslie Mallinger'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Leslie+Mallinger" cmImpressionSent="1">Leslie Mallinger</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sivabalan Manivannan'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sivabalan+Manivannan" cmImpressionSent="1">Sivabalan Manivannan</A> ScM <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff73" name=back-aff73 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bu</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Wagner Marcenes'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Wagner+Marcenes" cmImpressionSent="1">Wagner Marcenes</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff49" name=back-aff49 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>aw</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Lyn March'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Lyn+March" cmImpressionSent="1">Lyn March</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff57" name=back-aff57 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>be</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David J Margolis'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David J+Margolis" cmImpressionSent="1">David J Margolis</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff98" name=back-aff98 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ct</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Guy B Marks'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Guy B+Marks" cmImpressionSent="1">Guy B Marks</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff59" name=back-aff59 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Robin Marks'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Robin+Marks" cmImpressionSent="1">Robin Marks</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff29" name=back-aff29 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ac</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Akira Matsumori'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Akira+Matsumori" cmImpressionSent="1">Akira Matsumori</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff157" name=back-aff157 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fa</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Richard Matzopoulos'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Richard+Matzopoulos" cmImpressionSent="1">Richard Matzopoulos</A> MPhil <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff158" name=back-aff158 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff161" name=back-aff161 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fe</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Bongani M Mayosi'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Bongani M+Mayosi" cmImpressionSent="1">Bongani M Mayosi</A> DPhil <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff161" name=back-aff161 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fe</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','John H McAnulty'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=John H+McAnulty" cmImpressionSent="1">John H McAnulty</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff162" name=back-aff162 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ff</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Mary M McDermott'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Mary M+McDermott" cmImpressionSent="1">Mary M McDermott</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff163" name=back-aff163 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Neil McGill'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Neil+McGill" cmImpressionSent="1">Neil McGill</A> FRACP <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff59" name=back-aff59 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','John McGrath'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=John+McGrath" cmImpressionSent="1">John McGrath</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff4" name=back-aff4 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>d</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Maria Elena Medina-Mora'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Maria Elena+Medina-Mora" cmImpressionSent="1">Maria Elena Medina-Mora</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff164" name=back-aff164 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fh</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michele Meltzer'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michele+Meltzer" cmImpressionSent="1">Michele Meltzer</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff165" name=back-aff165 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fi</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ziad A Memish'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ziad A+Memish" cmImpressionSent="1">Ziad A Memish</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff33" name=back-aff33 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ag</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff166" name=back-aff166 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','George A Mensah'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=George A+Mensah" cmImpressionSent="1">George A Mensah</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff160" name=back-aff160 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Tony R Merriman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Tony R+Merriman" cmImpressionSent="1">Tony R Merriman</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff105" name=back-aff105 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>da</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ana-Claire Meyer'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ana-Claire+Meyer" cmImpressionSent="1">Ana-Claire Meyer</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff125" name=back-aff125 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>du</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Valeria Miglioli'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Valeria+Miglioli" cmImpressionSent="1">Valeria Miglioli</A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff82" name=back-aff82 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Matthew Miller'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Matthew+Miller" cmImpressionSent="1">Matthew Miller</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff16" name=back-aff16 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>p</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ted R Miller'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ted R+Miller" cmImpressionSent="1">Ted R Miller</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff167" name=back-aff167 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fk</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Philip B Mitchell'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Philip B+Mitchell" cmImpressionSent="1">Philip B Mitchell</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff63" name=back-aff63 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bk</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Charles Mock'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Charles+Mock" cmImpressionSent="1">Charles Mock</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff9" name=back-aff9 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>i</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ana Olga Mocumbi'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ana Olga+Mocumbi" cmImpressionSent="1">Ana Olga Mocumbi</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff168" name=back-aff168 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fl</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff169" name=back-aff169 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fm</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Terrie E Moffitt'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Terrie E+Moffitt" cmImpressionSent="1">Terrie E Moffitt</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff170" name=back-aff170 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fn</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ali A Mokdad'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ali A+Mokdad" cmImpressionSent="1">Ali A Mokdad</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Lorenzo Monasta'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Lorenzo+Monasta" cmImpressionSent="1">Lorenzo Monasta</A> DSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff171" name=back-aff171 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fo</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Marcella Montico'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Marcella+Montico" cmImpressionSent="1">Marcella Montico</A> Msc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff171" name=back-aff171 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fo</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Maziar Moradi-Lakeh'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Maziar+Moradi-Lakeh" cmImpressionSent="1">Maziar Moradi-Lakeh</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff115" name=back-aff115 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dk</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Andrew Moran'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Andrew+Moran" cmImpressionSent="1">Andrew Moran</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff173" name=back-aff173 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Lidia Morawska'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Lidia+Morawska" cmImpressionSent="1">Lidia Morawska</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff174" name=back-aff174 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fr</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rintaro Mori'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rintaro+Mori" cmImpressionSent="1">Rintaro Mori</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff175" name=back-aff175 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fs</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michele E Murdoch'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michele E+Murdoch" cmImpressionSent="1">Michele E Murdoch</A> FRCP <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff176" name=back-aff176 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ft</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michael K Mwaniki'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michael K+Mwaniki" cmImpressionSent="1">Michael K Mwaniki</A> MBChB <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff177" name=back-aff177 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fu</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kovin Naidoo'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kovin+Naidoo" cmImpressionSent="1">Kovin Naidoo</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff178" name=back-aff178 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fv</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','M Nathan Nair'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=M Nathan+Nair" cmImpressionSent="1">M Nathan Nair</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Luigi Naldi'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Luigi+Naldi" cmImpressionSent="1">Luigi Naldi</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff179" name=back-aff179 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fw</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','K M Venkat Narayan'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=K M Venkat+Narayan" cmImpressionSent="1">K M Venkat Narayan</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff32" name=back-aff32 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>af</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Paul K Nelson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Paul K+Nelson" cmImpressionSent="1">Paul K Nelson</A> MHSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff62" name=back-aff62 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Robert G Nelson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Robert G+Nelson" cmImpressionSent="1">Robert G Nelson</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff139" name=back-aff139 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ei</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michael C Nevitt'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michael C+Nevitt" cmImpressionSent="1">Michael C Nevitt</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff124" name=back-aff124 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dt</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Charles R Newton'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Charles R+Newton" cmImpressionSent="1">Charles R Newton</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff44" name=back-aff44 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ar</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sandra Nolte'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sandra+Nolte" cmImpressionSent="1">Sandra Nolte</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff180" name=back-aff180 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fx</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Paul Norman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Paul+Norman" cmImpressionSent="1">Paul Norman</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff80" name=back-aff80 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rosana Norman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rosana+Norman" cmImpressionSent="1">Rosana Norman</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff2" name=back-aff2 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>b</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Martin O\Donnell'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Martin+O'Donnell" cmImpressionSent="1">Martin O&#8217;Donnell</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff181" name=back-aff181 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fy</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Simon O\Hanlon'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Simon+O'Hanlon" cmImpressionSent="1">Simon O&#8217;Hanlon</A> MSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff12" name=back-aff12 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>l</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Casey Olives'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Casey+Olives" cmImpressionSent="1">Casey Olives</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff9" name=back-aff9 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>i</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Saad B Omer'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Saad B+Omer" cmImpressionSent="1">Saad B Omer</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff31" name=back-aff31 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ae</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Katrina Ortblad'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Katrina+Ortblad" cmImpressionSent="1">Katrina Ortblad</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Richard Osborne'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Richard+Osborne" cmImpressionSent="1">Richard Osborne</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff182" name=back-aff182 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fz</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Doruk Ozgediz'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Doruk+Ozgediz" cmImpressionSent="1">Doruk Ozgediz</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff39" name=back-aff39 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>am</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Andrew Page'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Andrew+Page" cmImpressionSent="1">Andrew Page</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff2" name=back-aff2 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>b</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Bishnu Pahari'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Bishnu+Pahari" cmImpressionSent="1">Bishnu Pahari</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff183" name=back-aff183 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ga</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jeyaraj Durai Pandian'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jeyaraj Durai+Pandian" cmImpressionSent="1">Jeyaraj Durai Pandian</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff184" name=back-aff184 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Andrea Panozo Rivero'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Andrea Panozo+Rivero" cmImpressionSent="1">Andrea Panozo Rivero</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff185" name=back-aff185 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gc</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Scott B Patten'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Scott B+Patten" cmImpressionSent="1">Scott B Patten</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff186" name=back-aff186 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Neil Pearce'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Neil+Pearce" cmImpressionSent="1">Neil Pearce</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff54" name=back-aff54 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rogelio Perez Padilla'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rogelio Perez+Padilla" cmImpressionSent="1">Rogelio Perez Padilla</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff187" name=back-aff187 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ge</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Fernando Perez-Ruiz'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Fernando+Perez-Ruiz" cmImpressionSent="1">Fernando Perez-Ruiz</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff188" name=back-aff188 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gf</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Norberto Perico'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Norberto+Perico" cmImpressionSent="1">Norberto Perico</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff82" name=back-aff82 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Konrad Pesudovs'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Konrad+Pesudovs" cmImpressionSent="1">Konrad Pesudovs</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff69" name=back-aff69 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David Phillips'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David+Phillips" cmImpressionSent="1">David Phillips</A> BS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Michael R Phillips'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Michael R+Phillips" cmImpressionSent="1">Michael R Phillips</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff189" name=back-aff189 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kelsey Pierce'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kelsey+Pierce" cmImpressionSent="1">Kelsey Pierce</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sébastien Pion'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=S%C3%A9bastien+Pion" cmImpressionSent="1">Sébastien Pion</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff65" name=back-aff65 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bm</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Guilherme V Polanczyk'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Guilherme V+Polanczyk" cmImpressionSent="1">Guilherme V Polanczyk</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff118" name=back-aff118 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dn</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Suzanne Polinder'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Suzanne+Polinder" cmImpressionSent="1">Suzanne Polinder</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff87" name=back-aff87 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ci</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','C Arden Pope'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=C Arden+Pope" cmImpressionSent="1">C Arden Pope</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff191" name=back-aff191 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gi</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Svetlana Popova'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Svetlana+Popova" cmImpressionSent="1">Svetlana Popova</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff192" name=back-aff192 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Esteban Porrini'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Esteban+Porrini" cmImpressionSent="1">Esteban Porrini</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff193" name=back-aff193 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gk</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Farshad Pourmalek'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Farshad+Pourmalek" cmImpressionSent="1">Farshad Pourmalek</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff194" name=back-aff194 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gl</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Martin Prince'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Martin+Prince" cmImpressionSent="1">Martin Prince</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff47" name=back-aff47 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>au</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rachel L Pullan'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rachel L+Pullan" cmImpressionSent="1">Rachel L Pullan</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff54" name=back-aff54 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kapa D Ramaiah'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kapa D+Ramaiah" cmImpressionSent="1">Kapa D Ramaiah</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff195" name=back-aff195 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gm</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Dharani Ranganathan'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Dharani+Ranganathan" cmImpressionSent="1">Dharani Ranganathan</A> BS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Homie Razavi'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Homie+Razavi" cmImpressionSent="1">Homie Razavi</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff196" name=back-aff196 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gn</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Mathilda Regan'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Mathilda+Regan" cmImpressionSent="1">Mathilda Regan</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff197" name=back-aff197 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>go</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jürgen T Rehm'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=J%C3%BCrgen T+Rehm" cmImpressionSent="1">Jürgen T Rehm</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff192" name=back-aff192 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David B Rein'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David B+Rein" cmImpressionSent="1">David B Rein</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff198" name=back-aff198 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gp</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Guiseppe Remuzzi'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Guiseppe+Remuzzi" cmImpressionSent="1">Guiseppe Remuzzi</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff82" name=back-aff82 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kathryn Richardson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kathryn+Richardson" cmImpressionSent="1">Kathryn Richardson</A> MSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff67" name=back-aff67 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bo</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Frederick P Rivara'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Frederick P+Rivara" cmImpressionSent="1">Frederick P Rivara</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff9" name=back-aff9 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>i</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Thomas Roberts'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Thomas+Roberts" cmImpressionSent="1">Thomas Roberts</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Carolyn Robinson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Carolyn+Robinson" cmImpressionSent="1">Carolyn Robinson</A> BS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff125" name=back-aff125 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>du</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Felipe Rodriguez De Leòn'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Felipe Rodriguez+De Le%C3%B2n" cmImpressionSent="1">Felipe Rodriguez De Leòn</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff199" name=back-aff199 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Luca Ronfani'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Luca+Ronfani" cmImpressionSent="1">Luca Ronfani</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff171" name=back-aff171 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fo</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Robin Room'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Robin+Room" cmImpressionSent="1">Robin Room</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff28" name=back-aff28 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ab</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff200" name=back-aff200 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gr</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Lisa C Rosenfeld'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Lisa C+Rosenfeld" cmImpressionSent="1">Lisa C Rosenfeld</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Lesley Rushton'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Lesley+Rushton" cmImpressionSent="1">Lesley Rushton</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff12" name=back-aff12 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>l</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ralph L Sacco'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ralph L+Sacco" cmImpressionSent="1">Ralph L Sacco</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff154" name=back-aff154 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ex</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sukanta Saha'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sukanta+Saha" cmImpressionSent="1">Sukanta Saha</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff1" name=back-aff1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>a</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Uchechukwu Sampson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Uchechukwu+Sampson" cmImpressionSent="1">Uchechukwu Sampson</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff201" name=back-aff201 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gs</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Lidia Sanchez-Riera'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Lidia+Sanchez-Riera" cmImpressionSent="1">Lidia Sanchez-Riera</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff57" name=back-aff57 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>be</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Ella Sanman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Ella+Sanman" cmImpressionSent="1">Ella Sanman</A> BS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David C Schwebel'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David C+Schwebel" cmImpressionSent="1">David C Schwebel</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff202" name=back-aff202 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gt</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','James Graham Scott'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=James Graham+Scott" cmImpressionSent="1">James Graham Scott</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff3" name=back-aff3 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>c</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Maria Segui-Gomez'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Maria+Segui-Gomez" cmImpressionSent="1">Maria Segui-Gomez</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff203" name=back-aff203 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gu</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Saeid Shahraz'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Saeid+Shahraz" cmImpressionSent="1">Saeid Shahraz</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff132" name=back-aff132 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>eb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Donald S Shepard'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Donald S+Shepard" cmImpressionSent="1">Donald S Shepard</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff132" name=back-aff132 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>eb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Hwashin Shin'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Hwashin+Shin" cmImpressionSent="1">Hwashin Shin</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff204" name=back-aff204 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gv</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Rupak Shivakoti'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Rupak+Shivakoti" cmImpressionSent="1">Rupak Shivakoti</A> BA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff74" name=back-aff74 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bv</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David Singh'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David+Singh" cmImpressionSent="1">David Singh</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff205" name=back-aff205 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gw</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Gitanjali M Singh'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Gitanjali M+Singh" cmImpressionSent="1">Gitanjali M Singh</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff16" name=back-aff16 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>p</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jasvinder A Singh'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jasvinder A+Singh" cmImpressionSent="1">Jasvinder A Singh</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff202" name=back-aff202 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gt</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jessica Singleton'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jessica+Singleton" cmImpressionSent="1">Jessica Singleton</A> MIPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff62" name=back-aff62 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David A Sleet'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David A+Sleet" cmImpressionSent="1">David A Sleet</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff127" name=back-aff127 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dw</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Karen Sliwa'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Karen+Sliwa" cmImpressionSent="1">Karen Sliwa</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff159" name=back-aff159 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fc</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Emma Smith'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Emma+Smith" cmImpressionSent="1">Emma Smith</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff55" name=back-aff55 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bc</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jennifer L Smith'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jennifer L+Smith" cmImpressionSent="1">Jennifer L Smith</A> MSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff54" name=back-aff54 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>bb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Nicolas JC Stapelberg'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Nicolas JC+Stapelberg" cmImpressionSent="1">Nicolas JC Stapelberg</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff103" name=back-aff103 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cy</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Andrew Steer'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Andrew+Steer" cmImpressionSent="1">Andrew Steer</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff25" name=back-aff25 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>y</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Timothy Steiner'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Timothy+Steiner" cmImpressionSent="1">Timothy Steiner</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff207" name=back-aff207 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gy</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Wilma A Stolk'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Wilma A+Stolk" cmImpressionSent="1">Wilma A Stolk</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff88" name=back-aff88 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>cj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Lars Jacob Stovner'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Lars Jacob+Stovner" cmImpressionSent="1">Lars Jacob Stovner</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff206" name=back-aff206 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gx</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Christopher Sudfeld'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Christopher+Sudfeld" cmImpressionSent="1">Christopher Sudfeld</A> ScM <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff16" name=back-aff16 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>p</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sana Syed'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sana+Syed" cmImpressionSent="1">Sana Syed</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff208" name=back-aff208 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gz</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Giorgio Tamburlini'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Giorgio+Tamburlini" cmImpressionSent="1">Giorgio Tamburlini</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff171" name=back-aff171 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fo</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Mohammad Tavakkoli'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Mohammad+Tavakkoli" cmImpressionSent="1">Mohammad Tavakkoli</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff16" name=back-aff16 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>p</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Hugh R Taylor'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Hugh R+Taylor" cmImpressionSent="1">Hugh R Taylor</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff29" name=back-aff29 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ac</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jennifer A Taylor'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jennifer A+Taylor" cmImpressionSent="1">Jennifer A Taylor</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff209" name=back-aff209 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ha</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','William J Taylor'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=William J+Taylor" cmImpressionSent="1">William J Taylor</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff105" name=back-aff105 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>da</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Bernadette Thomas'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Bernadette+Thomas" cmImpressionSent="1">Bernadette Thomas</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff9" name=back-aff9 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>i</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','W Murray Thomson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=W Murray+Thomson" cmImpressionSent="1">W Murray Thomson</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff105" name=back-aff105 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>da</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','George D Thurston'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=George D+Thurston" cmImpressionSent="1">George D Thurston</A> ScD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff131" name=back-aff131 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ea</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Imad M Tleyjeh'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Imad M+Tleyjeh" cmImpressionSent="1">Imad M Tleyjeh</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff51" name=back-aff51 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ay</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Marcello Tonelli'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Marcello+Tonelli" cmImpressionSent="1">Marcello Tonelli</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff210" name=back-aff210 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jeffrey A Towbin'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jeffrey A+Towbin" cmImpressionSent="1">Jeffrey A Towbin</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff212" name=back-aff212 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hd</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Thomas Truelsen'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Thomas+Truelsen" cmImpressionSent="1">Thomas Truelsen</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff213" name=back-aff213 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>he</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Miltiadis K Tsilimbaris'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Miltiadis K+Tsilimbaris" cmImpressionSent="1">Miltiadis K Tsilimbaris</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff214" name=back-aff214 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hf</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Clotilde Ubeda'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Clotilde+Ubeda" cmImpressionSent="1">Clotilde Ubeda</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff215" name=back-aff215 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hg</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Eduardo A Undurraga'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Eduardo A+Undurraga" cmImpressionSent="1">Eduardo A Undurraga</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff132" name=back-aff132 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>eb</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Marieke J van der Werf'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Marieke J+van der Werf" cmImpressionSent="1">Marieke J van der Werf</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff216" name=back-aff216 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hh</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Jim van Os'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Jim+van Os" cmImpressionSent="1">Jim van Os</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff217" name=back-aff217 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hi</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Monica S Vavilala'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Monica S+Vavilala" cmImpressionSent="1">Monica S Vavilala</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff9" name=back-aff9 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>i</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','N Venketasubramanian'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=N+Venketasubramanian" cmImpressionSent="1">N Venketasubramanian</A> FRCP <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff218" name=back-aff218 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hj</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Mengru Wang'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Mengru+Wang" cmImpressionSent="1">Mengru Wang</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Wenzhi Wang'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Wenzhi+Wang" cmImpressionSent="1">Wenzhi Wang</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff219" name=back-aff219 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hk</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Kerrianne Watt'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Kerrianne+Watt" cmImpressionSent="1">Kerrianne Watt</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff121" name=back-aff121 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David J Weatherall'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David J+Weatherall" cmImpressionSent="1">David J Weatherall</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff44" name=back-aff44 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ar</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Martin A Weinstock'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Martin A+Weinstock" cmImpressionSent="1">Martin A Weinstock</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff220" name=back-aff220 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hl</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Robert Weintraub'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Robert+Weintraub" cmImpressionSent="1">Robert Weintraub</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff26" name=back-aff26 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>z</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff221" name=back-aff221 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hm</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Marc G Weisskopf'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Marc G+Weisskopf" cmImpressionSent="1">Marc G Weisskopf</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff16" name=back-aff16 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>p</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Myrna M Weissman'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Myrna M+Weissman" cmImpressionSent="1">Myrna M Weissman</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff172" name=back-aff172 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>fp</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Richard A White'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Richard A+White" cmImpressionSent="1">Richard A White</A> MA <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff16" name=back-aff16 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>p</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Harvey Whiteford'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Harvey+Whiteford" cmImpressionSent="1">Harvey Whiteford</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff1" name=back-aff1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>a</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Natasha Wiebe'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Natasha+Wiebe" cmImpressionSent="1">Natasha Wiebe</A> BMath <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff211" name=back-aff211 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hc</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Steven T Wiersma'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Steven T+Wiersma" cmImpressionSent="1">Steven T Wiersma</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff128" name=back-aff128 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dx</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','James D Wilkinson'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=James D+Wilkinson" cmImpressionSent="1">James D Wilkinson</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff154" name=back-aff154 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ex</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Hywel C Williams'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Hywel C+Williams" cmImpressionSent="1">Hywel C Williams</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff222" name=back-aff222 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hn</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sean RM Williams'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sean RM+Williams" cmImpressionSent="1">Sean RM Williams</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff223" name=back-aff223 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>ho</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Emma Witt'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Emma+Witt" cmImpressionSent="1">Emma Witt</A> MSc <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff117" name=back-aff117 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>dm</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Frederick Wolfe'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Frederick+Wolfe" cmImpressionSent="1">Frederick Wolfe</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff224" name=back-aff224 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hp</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Anthony D Woolf'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Anthony D+Woolf" cmImpressionSent="1">Anthony D Woolf</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff225" name=back-aff225 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hq</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Sarah Wulf'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Sarah+Wulf" cmImpressionSent="1">Sarah Wulf</A> MPH <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff6" name=back-aff6 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>f</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Pon-Hsiu Yeh'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Pon-Hsiu+Yeh" cmImpressionSent="1">Pon-Hsiu Yeh</A> MS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff226" name=back-aff226 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hr</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Anita KM Zaidi'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Anita KM+Zaidi" cmImpressionSent="1">Anita KM Zaidi</A> MBBS <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff208" name=back-aff208 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gz</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Zhi-Jie Zheng'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Zhi-Jie+Zheng" cmImpressionSent="1">Zhi-Jie Zheng</A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff190" name=back-aff190 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>gh</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author><A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','David Zonies'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=David+Zonies" cmImpressionSent="1">David Zonies</A> MD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff227" name=back-aff227 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>hs</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn1" name=back-fn1 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>*</SPAN></A>, </SPAN><SPAN class=ja50-ce-author>Prof <A class=ja50-ce-author _onclick="javascript:getListOfAuthorArticles('The Lancet','Alan D Lopez'); return false;" href="http://www.thelancet.com/search/results?fieldName=Authors&#038;searchTerm=Alan D+Lopez" cmImpressionSent="1">Alan D Lopez</A> PhD <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#aff2" name=back-aff2 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>b</SPAN></A> <A class=ja50-ce-cross-ref title="" href="http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61689-4/abstract#fn2" name=back-fn2 cmImpressionSent="1"><SPAN class=ja50-ce-sup>†</SPAN></A></SPAN><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-abstract><br />
<H2 class=ja50-ce-section-title>Summary</H2><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-abstract-section><br />
<H3 class=ja50-ce-section-title>Background</H3><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-simple-para>Measuring disease and injury burden in populations requires a composite metric that captures both premature mortality and the prevalence and severity of ill-health. The 1990 Global Burden of Disease study proposed disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) to measure disease burden. No comprehensive update of disease burden worldwide incorporating a systematic reassessment of disease and injury-specific epidemiology has been done since the 1990 study. We aimed to calculate disease burden worldwide and for 21 regions for 1990, 2005, and 2010 with methods to enable meaningful comparisons over time.</DIV></DIV><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-abstract-section><br />
<H3 class=ja50-ce-section-title>Methods</H3><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-simple-para>We calculated DALYs as the sum of years of life lost (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs). DALYs were calculated for 291 causes, 20 age groups, both sexes, and for 187 countries, and aggregated to regional and global estimates of disease burden for three points in time with strictly comparable definitions and methods. YLLs were calculated from age-sex-country-time-specific estimates of mortality by cause, with death by standardised lost life expectancy at each age. YLDs were calculated as prevalence of 1160 disabling sequelae, by age, sex, and cause, and weighted by new disability weights for each health state. Neither YLLs nor YLDs were age-weighted or discounted. Uncertainty around cause-specific DALYs was calculated incorporating uncertainty in levels of all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, prevalence, and disability weights.</DIV></DIV><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-abstract-section><br />
<H3 class=ja50-ce-section-title>Findings</H3><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-simple-para>Global DALYs remained stable from 1990 (2·503 billion) to 2010 (2·490 billion). Crude DALYs per 1000 decreased by 23% (472 per 1000 to 361 per 1000). An important shift has occurred in DALY composition with the contribution of deaths and disability among children (younger than 5 years of age) declining from 41% of global DALYs in 1990 to 25% in 2010. YLLs typically account for about half of disease burden in more developed regions (high-income Asia Pacific, western Europe, high-income North America, and Australasia), rising to over 80% of DALYs in sub-Saharan Africa. In 1990, 47% of DALYs worldwide were from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders, 43% from non-communicable diseases, and 10% from injuries. By 2010, this had shifted to 35%, 54%, and 11%, respectively. Ischaemic heart disease was the leading cause of DALYs worldwide in 2010 (up from fourth rank in 1990, increasing by 29%), followed by lower respiratory infections (top rank in 1990; 44% decline in DALYs), stroke (fifth in 1990; 19% increase), diarrhoeal diseases (second in 1990; 51% decrease), and HIV/AIDS (33rd in 1990; 351% increase). Major depressive disorder increased from 15th to 11th rank (37% increase) and road injury from 12th to 10th rank (34% increase). Substantial heterogeneity exists in rankings of leading causes of disease burden among regions.</DIV></DIV><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-abstract-section><br />
<H3 class=ja50-ce-section-title>Interpretation</H3><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-simple-para>Global disease burden has continued to shift away from communicable to non-communicable diseases and from premature death to years lived with disability. In sub-Saharan Africa, however, many communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders remain the dominant causes of disease burden. The rising burden from mental and behavioural disorders, musculoskeletal disorders, and diabetes will impose new challenges on health systems. Regional heterogeneity highlights the importance of understanding local burden of disease and setting goals and targets for the post-2015 agenda taking such patterns into account. Because of improved definitions, methods, and data, these results for 1990 and 2010 supersede all previously published Global Burden of Disease results.</DIV></DIV><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-abstract-section><br />
<H3 class=ja50-ce-section-title>Funding</H3><br />
<DIV class=ja50-ce-simple-para>Bill &#038; Melinda Gates Foundation.<BR><BR>==================================</SPAN><BR></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV><br />
<H3 class=tit_subject>술로 11개월, 담배로 9.4개월.. 건강壽命(수명) 축낸다</H3><SPAN class=tit_subtit>美 건강측정평가硏 조사</SPAN> <BR><SPAN class=info_data><SPAN class=data><FONT color=#999999 size=2><BR>조선일보</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=reporter><SPAN class=txt_bar><FONT color=#d2d2d2 size=2>|</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=data><FONT color=#999999 size=2>김철중 의학전문기자</FONT></SPAN> </SPAN><SPAN class=txt_bar><FONT color=#d2d2d2 size=2>|</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=data><FONT color=#999999 size=2>입력</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class="num ff_tahoma"><FONT color=#999999 size=2>2013.06.20 03:18</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=modify_date><SPAN class=txt_bar><FONT color=#d2d2d2 size=2>|</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=data><FONT color=#999999 size=2>수정</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class="num ff_tahoma"><FONT color=#999999 size=2>2013.06.20 10:03<BR></FONT></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><A href="http://media.daum.net/society/welfare/newsview?newsid=20130620031803159&#038;RIGHT_COMM=R11">http://media.daum.net/society/welfare/newsview?newsid=20130620031803159&#038;RIGHT_COMM=R11</A><BR><BR>오래 산다고 다 축복은 아니다. 병든 삶이 오래 지속되는 건 본인에게도, 가족들에게도 고통이다. 사람들은 오랫동안 건강한 삶을 유지해야 장수의 의미가 있다고 말한다. 건강한 삶의 질은 무병 기간과 사망 나이의 격차를 최대한 줄이는 데서 나온다. 이 때문에 세계보건기구(WHO)에서도 국가 간 건강 상황을 비교할 때 단순히 평균수명만을 따지는 것이 아니라, 건강수명 지표를 중요하게 보고 있다. 이런 상황에서 건강측정평가연구소(IHME)가 최근 공개한 장애보정수명 조사 결과(2010년 기준)는 시사점이 크다. 이에 따르면, 한국인의 건강한 삶을 갉아먹는 최대 주범은 건전하지 못한 식습관, 그리고 술·담배였다. 술 때문에 약 11.1개월, 담배 때문에 약 9.4개월의 건강수명이 단축되는 것으로 나타났다.<BR><BR><br />
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<P class=img sizset="0" sizcache="2"><IMG height=1056 alt="" src="http://i2.media.daumcdn.net/photo-media/201306/20/chosun/20130620100306011.jpeg" width=540></P><br />
<P class=txt>↑ [조선일보]건강수명(장애보정수명)을 줄이는 위험 요소들. 지난 20년간 한국인의 수명을 단축시킨 요인 변화. 한국·일본·중국·미국의 기대수명과 건강수명 비교.&lt;br&gt; /그래픽=박상훈 기자</P></DIV><BR>◇<B>한국인, 술 때문에 건강수명 왕창 까먹는다</B><BR><BR>이번 조사에서 &#8216;음주&#8217;와 &#8216;흡연&#8217;이란 요소는 한국인의 건강수명을 줄이는 또 다른 요인인 고혈압(7.1개월 단축), 고혈당(6.5개월), 비만(5.5개월), 운동 부족(5.3개월) 등과 비교해도 압도적으로 큰 비중을 차지했다. &#8216;건전하지 못한 식습관&#8217;이 건강수명을 크게 줄이는 첫째 요인이긴 했지만, 이 안에 나트륨 과다 섭취나 불규칙한 식사 습관 등 세부 요소가 많이 포함됐기 때문에 단일 요소로는 술·담배 탓이 제일 컸다.<BR><BR>외국과 비교하면 건전하지 못한 음주 습관이 얼마나 한국인의 건강한 삶을 줄이는지 더 명확해진다. 이웃 일본과 중국은 모두 술이 건강수명을 줄이는 단일 요소로 여섯째 순위였다. 술 때문에 건강수명이 단축되는 기간도 일본과 중국은 각각 4개월과 4.3개월 정도였다. 미국에서도 술은 건강수명을 5.7개월 정도 단축시키는 데 그쳤다. 우리나라에서 술 때문에 줄어드는 건강수명(11.1개월)은 주요 국가와 비교해봐도 2~3배 길다.<BR><BR>고려대의대 윤석준 예방의학과 교수는 &#8220;장수 국가인 일본은 &#8216;고혈압&#8217;이 건강수명에 가장 큰 영향을 끼쳤고, 중국은 대기오염과 같은 &#8216;굴뚝 연기&#8217;가, 미국은 &#8216;비만&#8217;과 같은 요소가 건강한 삶에 악영향을 끼쳤다&#8221;며 &#8220;이에 비해 잦은 음주 등으로 인한 건강수명 단축이 우리나라의 특징&#8221;이라고 말했다. 울산의대 예방의학교실 강영호 교수는 &#8220;술로 인해 건강수명이 단축됐다고 명시되는 연구는 드물어 중요한 메시지를 주고 있다&#8221;며 &#8220;현재 우리 정부는 알코올중독자 등을 제외하고 음주 관련 정책이 거의 전무(全無)한데 국민 건강을 위해서는 하루빨리 술 판매나 마케팅에 대한 규제 등 구체적인 정부 대책을 내놓아야 할 것&#8221;이라고 말했다.<BR><BR>◇<B>사회가 역동적인 만큼, 위험 요인도 요동쳐</B><BR><BR>1990년과 2010년 한국의 건강수명에 미친 질병이나 위험 요인을 비교해 보면, 지난 20년간 한국 사회가 얼마나 급속히 변화했는지가 고스란히 드러난다. 우리나라 사람의 건강한 삶에 악영향을 주는 위험 요인으로 지난 20년 만에 새롭게 떠오른 것은 자살, 폐암, 당뇨병, 대장암, 치매 등이다. 청소년과 노년층 자살이 크게 늘어난 탓에, 자살은 20년 전 위험 요인 7위였다가 이제 2위가 됐다. 1980년대에 우리나라 흡연율이 세계 1위라는 기록을 갖고 있는데, 그것이 이제 폐암 환자가 대거 등장한 현상으로 나타났다. 가난한 환경에서 자라난 장년 세대들이 경제 형편이 좋아지면서 과식을 하고, 고기를 즐기는 바람에 당뇨병과 대장암에 시달리는 이들도 늘었다. 보릿고개를 해결하자 과잉의 질병이 생긴 것이다.반대로 위험 요인이 줄어든 부분도 있다. 안전에 대한 의식이 높아진 덕에 교통사고나 익사사고 등이 줄었고, 선천성 기형, 결핵 등도 감소했다. 장기간 질병 후유증을 낳는 뇌졸중은 예나 지금이나 활기찬 삶을 가로막는 위험 요인 1위다. 다만 절대 숫자는 줄고 있다</p>
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		<title>[술/담배] 술·담배 규제강화 사실상 올스톱..방치된 국민건강</title>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Jun 2013 13:20:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[노동 · 환경]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[건강 정책]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[규제강화]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[담배]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[술]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[음주]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[술·담배 규제강화 사실상 올스톱..방치된 국민건강연합뉴스 2013/06/03 06:49 http://www.yonhapnews.co.kr/society/2013/06/01/0706000000AKR20130601052600017.HTML 대학내음주금지·흡연경고그림 등 건강증진법 개정안 8개월째 &#8216;낮잠&#8217; 금연 정책 수준 OECD 25개국 중 24위, 음주도 30개국 중 15위 불과 (서울=연합뉴스) 신호경 [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><P>술·담배 규제강화 사실상 올스톱..방치된 국민건강<BR><BR>연합뉴스 2013/06/03 06:49 <BR><A href="http://www.yonhapnews.co.kr/society/2013/06/01/0706000000AKR20130601052600017.HTML">http://www.yonhapnews.co.kr/society/2013/06/01/0706000000AKR20130601052600017.HTML</A></P><br />
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<P>대학내음주금지·흡연경고그림 등 건강증진법 개정안 8개월째 &#8216;낮잠&#8217; </P><br />
<P>금연 정책 수준 OECD 25개국 중 24위, 음주도 30개국 중 15위 불과</P><br />
<P>(서울=연합뉴스) 신호경 기자 = &#8220;대학 축제 기간에 술을 판매하려는데 교내에서 주류를 팔거나 음주하는 것이 법으로 금지되지 않았나요&#8221; </P><br />
<P>3일 보건복지부에 따르면 대학 축제 시즌을 맞아 복지부에는 최근 대학 학생회로 부터 이 같은 문의가 이어지고 있다. 그러나 일단 현 시점에서 복지부의 공식 답변은 &#8220;아직 금지되지 않았습니다&#8221;이다.</P><br />
<P>이런 문의가 쇄도하는 것은 지난해 9월 복지부가 초·중·고등학교는 물론이고 대학교에서도 주류 판매와 음주를 금지하는 등의 내용을 담은 국민건강증진법 개정안을 입법예고했기 때문이다.</P><br />
<P>이 개정안에 따르면 청소년수련시설(유스호스텔 제외)·의료기관(장례식장 제외)도 주류 판매 및 음주 금지 장소로 규정되고, 지방자치단체장은 해수욕장·공원 등 많은 대중이 이용하는 특정 장소를 조례를 통해 음주 금지구역으로 지정할 수 있다.</P><br />
<P>주류 광고 규제도 엄격해져 지상파·유선방송 TV·라디오 뿐 아니라 DMB·IPTV·인터넷까지 모두 규제 대상 매체에 추가되고, 이들 매체에서는 오전7시부터 오후10시까지 술 광고를 할 수 없다. 이외 시간대라도 미성년자(19세미만) 관람등급의 프로그램 전후나 중간에 주류 광고를 내보낼 수 없다. 또 주류 광고에는 임산부나 미성년자가 등장할 수 없을 뿐 아니라 술을 마시는 행위를 묘사한 장면도 허용되지 않는다.</P><br />
<P>입법예고 당시 복지부는 입법 절차가 순조롭게 진행될 경우 올해 4월께면 충분히 시행에 들어갈 것으로 예상했었다.</P><br />
<P>그러나 실제로 개정안은 올해 상반기가 거의 다 지난 지금까지 국회에 제출조차 되지 못한 상태다. 8개월째 정부 안에서 부처간 이견과 정권 교체 일정 등에 밀려 답보 상태로, 지금은 국무조정실 규제개혁위원회 심사 단계에서 사실상 논의가 진전되지 않고 있다.</P><br />
<P>구체적으로 개정안의 발목을 잡고 있는 것은 음주 보다는 흡연(담배) 쪽이다.</P><br />
<P>개정안은 아울러 담뱃갑에 흡연의 신체적 피해를 경고하는 그림을 앞·뒷·옆면 면적의 50%이상 크기로 넣고, &#8216;저(低) 타르&#8217;, &#8216;라이트&#8217;, &#8216;마일드&#8217; 등 흡연을 유도하는 문구는 사용할 수 없게 했다. 아울러 담배 한 개비 연기에 포함된 타르·니코틴·일산화탄소 등 성분을 주기적(반기)으로 측정하고, 담배 제조에 사용된 재료 및 첨가물 이름과 함량을 품목별로 누구나 쉽게 볼 수 있도록 공개해야 한다. 지정된 담배 판매장소를 제외한 다른 곳에서의 담배 판촉 활동도 금지했다.</P><br />
<P>그러나 기획재정부는 담배사업법과의 중복 규제 문제 등을 들어 복지부의 건강증진법 개정안 원안 시행을 반대하고 있다. 특히 흡연 경고그림에 대해서는 실효성 등에 의문을 제기하고 있는 것으로 알려졌다. 이에 비해 음주 규제 강화의 경우 특별히 입법예고 과정에서 다른 부처로부터 문제가 제기된 부분은 없었다. </P><br />
<P>결국 정부가 담배 규제에 관한 부처간 이해관계 및 시각 차이를 조율하지 못하고 시간 낭비하는 동안, 술과 담배로 인한 사회적 폐해만 늘어나고 있는 셈이다. 더구나 진영 복지부 장관은 최근 &#8220;(서민 생활도 어렵고) 여러 여건상 올해 안에 담배값 인상은 힘들다&#8221;고 밝혀 술·담배 비가격 규제 뿐 아니라 담배 가격 규제까지 사실상 올해 안에 어느 것하나 제대로 성과를 기대하기 어려운 상황이다. </P><br />
<P>복지부 관계자는 &#8220;연초 대통령 업무 보고 등에서도 국민의 건강한 삶을 보장하는 보건의료체제 개혁 차원에서 술·담배 규제 강화안을 보고했지만, 계획대로 추진되지 못하고 있어 안타깝다&#8221;며 &#8220;일부 국회의원들이 흡연경고그림 삽입 등 비슷한 내용의 개정안을 발의한 만큼, 정부안 추진 일정이 불투명한 상태에서 의원안이라도 6월 임시국회에서 논의가 시작되길 기대하고 있다&#8221;고 말했다. </P><br />
<P>보건사회연구원의 분석에 따르면, 우리나라 정부의 금연 정책 수준은 가격·금연장소·광고 등의 측면에서 경제협력개발기구(OECD) 25개 나라 가운데 최하위권인 24위였다.</P><br />
<P>음주 규제 정책 역시 사회환경·가격·개인·시장·생산·유통 등을 기준으로 통합 지표를 산출한 결과 OECD 30개국 가운데 15위에 머물렀다.</P><br />
<P></P><br />
<P><br />
<P class=rmail><A href="mailto:shk999@yna.co.kr">shk999@yna.co.kr</A></P></DIV></p>
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		<title>[담배] 우리나라 하드코어 흡연 현황 및 관련 요인(조경숙)</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=4094</link>
		<comments>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=4094#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 May 2013 13:29:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[노동 · 환경]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[금연]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[니코틴 의존]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[담배]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[보건사회연구]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[조경숙]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[하드코어 흡연자]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=4094</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[보건사회연구 33권 1 호https://www.kihasa.re.kr/html/jsp/publication/periodical/research/list.jsp 우리나라 하드코어 흡연 현황 및 관련 요인 영문제목 : Prevalence of Hardcore Smoking and Its Associated Factors in Korea 저자 : 조경숙 호 : [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>보건사회연구 33권 1 호<A href="https://www.kihasa.re.kr/html/jsp/publication/periodical/research/list.jsp"><BR>https://www.kihasa.re.kr/html/jsp/publication/periodical/research/list.jsp</A><BR><BR><br />
<TABLE class=boardview cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 summary="보건사회연구 게시글 내용 보기"><br />
<THEAD><br />
<TR><br />
<TH colSpan=4>우리나라 하드코어 흡연 현황 및 관련 요인</TH></TR></THEAD><br />
<TBODY><br />
<TR><br />
<TH>영문제목 :</TH><br />
<TD colSpan=3>Prevalence of Hardcore Smoking and Its Associated Factors in Korea</TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TH>저자 :</TH><br />
<TD>조경숙</TD><br />
<TH>호 :</TH><br />
<TD>33권 1 호</TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TH>발행일 :</TH><br />
<TD>2013 . 03</TD><br />
<TH>면수 :</TH><br />
<TD>603-628</TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TH>국문요약</TH><br />
<TD class=contxt colSpan=3><br />
<P align=justify>본 연구는 2010년 국민건강영양조사 원시자료를 이용하여 26세 이상 현재 흡연자 1,241명을 대상으로 하드코어 흡연자 비율을 산출하고, 하드코어 흡연에 관련된 요인을 파악한 것이다. 하드코어 흡연자는 만 26세 이상의 5년 이상 매일흡연자로서, 일 15개비 이상을 흡연하고, 지난 1년간 금연시도 경험이 없고, 향후 6개월 내 금연계획이 없는 자로 정의하였다. 연구 결과, 2010년 우리나라 하드코어 흡연자 비율은 25.5%(남자 27.7%, 여자 10.7%)이었다. 하드코어 흡연자에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석한 단순 로지스틱 회귀분석(모형 1)에서는 성(남 vs. 여 OR=3.20), 고용상태(유 vs. 무 OR=1.45), 고위험음주(유 vs. 무 OR=1.47), 흡연시작연령(<19세 vs. ≧26세 OR=2.40, 19~25세 vs. ≧26세 OR=1.72), 흡연기간(10~29년 vs. <10년 OR=2.03, ≧30년 vs. <10년 OR=2.62), 흡연량(20~29개비/일 vs. ≦19개비/일 OR=6.49, ≧30개비/일 vs. ≦19개비 /일 OR=9.22), 금연교육(무 vs. 유 OR=1.67)이 통계적으로 유의한 요인이었다. 반면, 다중 로지스틱 회귀분석(모형 2)에서는 흡연량(20~29개비/일 vs. ≦19개비/일 OR=6.26, ≧30개비/일 vs. ≦19개비/일 OR=8.50)과 금연교육(무 vs. 유 OR=1.89)이 통계적으로 유의한 요인으로 나타났다. 결론적으로, 흡연시작 연령이 어릴수록, 흡연기간이 길수록, 흡연량이 많을수록, 그리고 금연교육을 받지 않을수록 하드코어 흡연자가 될 확률이 증가하므로, 흡연율을 낮추기 위해서는 흡연시작 자체를 예방하는 정책과 더불어 하드코어 흡연자를 대상으로 차별화된 금연정책을 강구할 필요가 있다. </P><br />
<P align=justify>주요용어: 하드코어 흡연자, 흡연, 금연, 니코틴 의존</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TH>영문요약</TH><br />
<TD class=contxt colSpan=3><br />
<P align=justify>Data from 1,241 Korean current smokers aged over 26 from the sample used in the 2010 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were used in this study. Among the current smokers, 25.5% were hard core smokers (male 27.7%, female 10.7%). A simple logistic regression analysis showed the following factors to be significantly related to hardcore smoking: gender (male vs. female OR=3.20), employment status (yes vs. no OR=1.45), alcohol problem (yes vs. no OR=1.47), age of smoking initiation (<19 vs. ≧26 OR=2.40, 19~25 vs. ≧26 OR=1.72), duration of smoking (10~29 years vs. <10 OR=2.03, ≧30 vs. <10 OR=2.62), amount of smoking (20~29 cigarettes/day vs. ≦19 OR=6.49, ≧30 vs. ≦19 OR=9.22), and anti-smoking education (no vs. yes OR=1.67). However, a multiple logistic regression analysis showed that only the amount of smoking (20~29 cigarettes/day vs. ≦19 OR=6.26, ≧30 vs. ≦19 OR=8.50) and anti-smoking education (no vs. yes OR=1.89) were significantly associated with hardcore smoking. In conclusion, hardcore smokers are more likely to be male, be employed, and have alcohol problems. They also are more likely to have started smoking at a younger age, have smoked for a longer time, and smoke more, and are less likely to report receiving anti-smoking education. Therefore, to reduce the smoking rate, the Korean government should not only prevent adolescents from smoking but also focus on policies for hardcore smokers.</P><br />
<P align=justify>Keywords: Hardcore Smoker(HCS), Quit Smoking, Nicotine Dependence</P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></p>
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		<title>[담배] 흡연경고그림, 캐나다·브라질 흡연율 낮췄다</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=3953</link>
		<comments>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=3953#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Apr 2013 10:41:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[노동 · 환경]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FCTC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[경고문구 면적확대]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[금연]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[담배]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[담뱃값 인상]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연 경고그림]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연율 인화]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=3953</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[복지부, 실효성 근거로 제시..한국 경고문구 면적기준도 &#8216;후진국&#8217;&#160;연합뉴스 &#124; 입력 2013.04.22 06:32 &#124; 수정 2013.04.22 07:38복지부, 실효성 근거로 제시..한국 경고문구 면적기준도 &#8216;후진국&#8217;(서울=연합뉴스) 신호경 기자 = 담뱃갑에 흡연경고 그림을 도입한 [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><H3 class=tit_subject><"흡연경고그림, 캐나다·브라질 흡연율 낮췄다"></H3><SPAN class=tit_subtit>복지부, 실효성 근거로 제시..한국 경고문구 면적기준도 &#8216;후진국&#8217;<BR></SPAN>&nbsp;<SPAN class=info_data><SPAN class=data><FONT color=#999999 size=2>연합뉴스</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=txt_bar><FONT color=#d2d2d2 size=2>|</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=data><FONT color=#999999 size=2>입력</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class="num ff_tahoma"><FONT color=#999999 size=2>2013.04.22 06:32</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=modify_date><SPAN class=txt_bar><FONT color=#d2d2d2 size=2>|</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=data><FONT color=#999999 size=2>수정</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class="num ff_tahoma"><FONT color=#999999 size=2>2013.04.22 07:38<BR><BR><A class=keyword title="검색하기" href="http://search.daum.net/search?w=tot&#038;rtupcoll=NNS&#038;q=%EB%B3%B5%EC%A7%80%EB%B6%80&#038;nil_profile=newskwd&#038;nil_id=v20130422063207485" target=new><FONT color=#000000>복지부</FONT></A><FONT color=#000000>, 실효성 근거로 제시..한국 경고문구 면적기준도 &#8216;후진국&#8217;<BR><BR>(서울=연합뉴스) 신호경 기자 = 담뱃갑에 흡연경고 그림을 도입한 국가들에서 흡연율이 하락한 것으로 조사돼 우리나라도 이의 도입을 서둘러야 한다는 목소리가 커지고 잇다.<BR><BR>22일 보건복지부에 따르면 지난해 9월 복지부가 담뱃갑 경고 그림 삽입, 경고 문구 면적 </FONT><FONT color=#000000>확대(30%→50%), 담배 성분 공개 등의 내용을 담아 발표한 국민건강증진법 개정안은 현재 국무조정실 </FONT><A class=keyword title="검색하기" href="http://search.daum.net/search?w=tot&#038;rtupcoll=NNS&#038;q=%EA%B7%9C%EC%A0%9C%EA%B0%9C%ED%98%81%EC%9C%84%EC%9B%90%ED%9A%8C&#038;nil_profile=newskwd&#038;nil_id=v20130422063207485" target=new><FONT color=#000000>규제개혁위원회</FONT></A><FONT color=#000000> 심사 단계에서 사실상 추진이 보류된 상태다.<BR><BR></FONT><br />
<DIV class=image style="WIDTH: 500px" sizcache="2" sizset="0"><br />
<P class=img sizcache="2" sizset="0"><FONT color=#000000><IMG height=127 alt="" src="http://i2.media.daumcdn.net/photo-media/201304/22/yonhap/20130422073808333.jpg" width=500></FONT></P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=image style="WIDTH: 500px" sizcache="2" sizset="1"><br />
<P class=img sizcache="2" sizset="1"><FONT color=#000000><IMG height=165 alt="" src="http://i2.media.daumcdn.net/photo-media/201304/22/yonhap/20130422073808385.jpg" width=500></FONT></P></DIV><FONT color=#000000>기획재정부가 담배사업법과의 중복 규제 문제 등을 들어 개정안 원안 시행을 반대하고 있고, 특히 흡연 경고그림에 대해서는 실효성에 의문을 제기하고 있는 것으로 알려졌다.<BR><BR>그러나 복지부가 제시한 각 정부와 세계보건기구(WHO) 자료에 따르면 2000년 24%였던 </FONT><A class=keyword title="검색하기" href="http://search.daum.net/search?w=tot&#038;rtupcoll=NNS&#038;q=%EC%BA%90%EB%82%98%EB%8B%A4&#038;nil_profile=newskwd&#038;nil_id=v20130422063207485" target=new><FONT color=#000000>캐나다</FONT></A><FONT color=#000000>의 전체 흡연율은 2001년 세계에서 처음 흡연경고그림을 도입한 뒤 2002년 21%로 떨어졌고, 이후에도 2004년 20%, 2006년 18% 등으로 꾸준히 하락하고 있다. 15~19세 청소년 흡연율 역시 경고그림 도입 전인 2000년 25%에서 2002년 22%로 하락했다.<BR><BR>2002년부터 경고그림을 넣기 시작한 </FONT><A class=keyword title="검색하기" href="http://search.daum.net/search?w=tot&#038;rtupcoll=NNS&#038;q=%EB%B8%8C%EB%9D%BC%EC%A7%88&#038;nil_profile=newskwd&#038;nil_id=v20130422063207485" target=new><FONT color=#000000>브라질</FONT></A><FONT color=#000000> 역시 2000년 31.0%였던 성인흡연율이 도입 1년 뒤인 2003년에 22.4%까지 낮아졌다. 남성 흡연율은 35.4%에서 27.1%로, 여성 흡연율도 26.9%에서 18.4%로 각각 떨어졌다.<BR><BR>15% 수준이던 </FONT><A class=keyword title="검색하기" href="http://search.daum.net/search?w=tot&#038;rtupcoll=NNS&#038;q=%EC%8B%B1%EA%B0%80%ED%8F%AC%EB%A5%B4&#038;nil_profile=newskwd&#038;nil_id=v20130422063207485" target=new><FONT color=#000000>싱가포르</FONT></A><FONT color=#000000>의 성인흡연율도 경고그림이 도입된 2004년말에는 12.6%로 하락했다.</FONT><BR><BR><FONT color=#000000>복지부 관계자는 &#8220;일각에서 경고그림 삽입 정책이 너무 급진적이라거나 흡연율 하락 효과가 불분명하다는 등의 의견이 있지만, 이미 세계 60개국 이상이 흡연경고그림 제도를 시행하고 있고 여러 나라에서 실제 효과도 확인된 바 있다&#8221;고 지적했다.<BR><BR>그림보다 한 단계 낮은 경고 수단인 흡연경고문구 기준에서도 우리나라는 사실상 금연정책 후진국이나 다름없다는 지적도 있다.<BR><BR>세계보건기구(WHO) </FONT><A class=keyword title="검색하기" href="http://search.daum.net/search?w=tot&#038;rtupcoll=NNS&#038;q=%EB%8B%B4%EB%B0%B0%EA%B7%9C%EC%A0%9C%EA%B8%B0%EB%B3%B8%ED%98%91%EC%95%BD&#038;nil_profile=newskwd&#038;nil_id=v20130422063207485" target=new><FONT color=#000000>담배규제기본협약</FONT></A><FONT color=#000000>(FCTC) 제11조는 &#8220;모든 담배제품의 포장에 흡연의 위험성을 알리는 경고메시지를 반드시 부착해야하고, 경고메시지 크기는 담뱃갑 전체 면적의 50%이상을 차지해야한다&#8221;고 규정하고, 경고문구 대신 경고이미지 삽입을 권하고 있다.<BR><BR>그러나 건강증진법 개정안 시행이 보류된 현재 우리나라의 경고문구 면적 기준은 30%에 불과하다.<BR><BR>이성규 </FONT><A class=keyword title="검색하기" href="http://search.daum.net/search?w=tot&#038;rtupcoll=NNS&#038;q=%EC%BA%98%EB%A6%AC%ED%8F%AC%EB%8B%88%EC%95%84%EB%8C%80&#038;nil_profile=newskwd&#038;nil_id=v20130422063207485" target=new><FONT color=#000000>캘리포니아대</FONT></A><FONT color=#000000> 담배 연구·교육센터 박사후 연구원은 &#8220;우리나라는 이미 2005년에 FCTC 당사국이 됐지만 8년이 지난 지금까지 제11조를 제대로 이행하지 않고 있다&#8221;며 &#8220;경제규모와 위상에 걸맞게 금연 정책도 발전해야한다&#8221;고 강조했다.<BR><BR>복지부 관계자는 &#8220;작년 11월 세계최대 규모의 담배·흡연 규제 회의인 FCTC 당사국 총회까지 유치하고도 흡연경고그림, 경고문구 등의 측면에서 FCTC가 제시하는 세계 기준에 미치지 못하고 있다&#8221;며 &#8220;가장 효과적 금연 정책인 담배가격 인상 논의가 여의치않은 상황에서 이같은 비가격 규제조차 제대로 시행되지 못하는 현실이 안타깝다&#8221;고 말했다.<BR><BR>보건사회연구원의 최근 분석에 따르면 남성 5명 가운데 1명은 85세 이전에 결국 담배 때문에 목숨을 잃을 정도로 흡연의 사회적 부담과 손실이 방치하기엔 너무 막대하다는 게 당국과 보건의료계의 공통된 시각이다.<BR><BR>< 캐나다 흡연경고그림 도입(2001년) 전후 흡연율 ><BR><BR>< 브라질 흡연경고그림 도입(2002년) 전후 흡연율 ><BR><BR>shk999@yna.co.kr<BR><BR>(끝)</FONT></FONT></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></p>
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		<title>[담배]  청소년 흡연으로 인한 질병부담 (보건사회연구원)</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=3939</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Apr 2013 11:13:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[노동 · 환경]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[고숙자]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[금연]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[담배]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[보건사회연구원]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[질병 부담]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[청소년 흡연]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;고3부터 85세까지 남성 22%는 담배로 사망 추정&#8221;성인남성 흡연자 절반은 19세이전 담배 배워 연합뉴스 &#124; 입력 2013.04.18 07:02 &#124; 수정 2013.04.18 07:20성인남성 흡연자 절반은 19세이전 담배 배워(서울=연합뉴스) 신호경 기자 [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><H3 class=tit_subject>&#8220;고3부터 85세까지 남성 22%는 담배로 사망 추정&#8221;</H3><SPAN class=tit_subtit>성인남성 흡연자 절반은 19세이전 담배 배워</SPAN> <BR><SPAN class=info_data><SPAN class=data><FONT color=#999999 size=2><BR><FONT color=#000000>연합뉴스</FONT></FONT></SPAN><FONT color=#000000> <SPAN class=txt_bar><FONT size=2>|</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=data><FONT size=2>입력</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class="num ff_tahoma"><FONT size=2>2013.04.18 07:02</FONT></SPAN> </FONT><SPAN class=modify_date><FONT color=#000000><SPAN class=txt_bar><FONT size=2>|</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=data><FONT size=2>수정</FONT></SPAN> </FONT><SPAN class="num ff_tahoma"><FONT color=#999999 size=2><FONT color=#000000>2013.04.18 07:20<BR><BR>성인남성 흡연자 절반은 19세이전 담배 배워<BR><BR>(서울=연합뉴스) 신호경 기자 = 보건당국이 흡연율을 낮추기 위해 담배가격 인상을 추진하는 가운데, 남성 5명 가운데 1명은 85세 이전에 결국 담배 때문에 목숨을 잃는 것으로 분석됐다.<BR><BR>이처럼 흡연에 따른 장기적 사회 손실이 막대한 만큼, 청소년 시절부터 담배를 피지 않도록 이 시기 흡연율에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 담뱃값을 올릴 필요가 있다는 지적이다.<BR><BR></FONT><br />
<DIV class=image style="WIDTH: 500px" sizcache="2" sizset="0"><br />
<P class=img sizcache="2" sizset="0"><FONT color=#000000><IMG height=225 alt="" src="http://i2.media.daumcdn.net/photo-media/201304/18/yonhap/20130418072006064.jpg" width=500></FONT></P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=image style="WIDTH: 500px" sizcache="2" sizset="1"><br />
<P class=img sizcache="2" sizset="1"><FONT color=#000000><IMG height=182 alt="" src="http://i2.media.daumcdn.net/photo-media/201304/18/yonhap/20130418072006121.jpg" width=500></FONT></P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=image style="WIDTH: 500px" sizcache="2" sizset="2"><br />
<P class=img sizcache="2" sizset="2"><FONT color=#000000><IMG height=310 alt="" src="http://i2.media.daumcdn.net/photo-media/201304/18/yonhap/20130418072006174.jpg" width=500></FONT></P></DIV><FONT color=#000000><BR>18일 보건사회연구원의 &#8216;청소년 흡연으로 인한 질병부담&#8217; 보고서에 따르면 2010년 당시 고등학교 3학년(18세)이었던 남학생 37만명을 대상으로 연령별 흡연에 따른 사망자 수를 추정한 결과, 85세까지 전체의 21.6%(7만9천917명)가 담배 때문에 사망에 이르는 것으로 분석됐다.<BR><BR>더구나 같은 기간(18~85세) 누적 사망자(28만3천856명) 가운데 담배가 요인이 된 경우의 비중은 28.2%에 달했다.<BR><BR>전체 분석대상 37만명 중 담배 원인 사망자의 비율은 생존기간이 늘어남에따라 ▲ 18~55세 1.1% ▲ 18~65세 3.8% ▲ 18~75세 11.0% ▲ 18~85세 21.6% 등으로 빠르게 높아졌고, 55세까지 13.4% 정도였던 사망자 중 담배 요인의 비중도 75세에 27.0%를 거쳐 85세에는 28%를 넘어섰다.<BR><BR>이번 코호트(특정인구집단) 분석은 2010년 현재 37만명인 고3 남학생 가운데 실제 흡연율에 해당하는 26.6%가 이후 계속 담배를 피우는 경우를 가정했고, 흡연과의 관련성이 큰 구강인두암·식도암·위암·폐암·췌장암 등 18개 질환별 상대위험도(비흡연자 대비 흡연자의 질환 발생률 차이), 연령별 흡연의 인구기여위험도(PAR) 등이 적용됐다.<BR><BR>인구기여위험도란 흡연 등 건강위험 요인에 대한 노출이 100% 제거된다면 각 질병 때문에 치료를 받거나 사망에 이르는 것을 얼마나 예방할 수 있는지 그 정도(분율)를 나타낸 것이다.<BR><BR>아울러 2010년 국민건강영양조사 원자료를 분석한 결과, 19세이상 남성 흡연자 2천139명의 흡연 시작 시기를 보면 50.1%가 19세 이전부터 흡연을 시작했고, 24세까지 절대 다수인 89.5%가 담배를 배운 것으로 나타났다. 대부분의 성인 흡연자들이 중고등학교·대학교·군대 등 청소년기부터 담배에 익숙해진다는 얘기다.<BR><BR>이에 비해 여성 흡연자의 경우 31.2%만 흡연시작 연령이 19세 보다 낮았고, 24세 전에 담배를 배운 비율도 60.8%에 그쳤다.<BR><BR>고숙자 보건사회연구원 부연구위원은 &#8220;미국의 비슷한 연구에서는 18세 청소년 남성 203만4천351명 중 85세까지 흡연으로 사망하는 비율이 약 14.0%였다&#8221;며 &#8220;우리나라의 비율이 21.6%로 심각한 것은 미국에 비해 흡연율이 전반적으로 높기 때문&#8221;이라고 설명했다.<BR><BR>고 위원은 &#8220;담배가격 인상에 대한 청소년의 가격 탄력도(민감도)는 성인의 3~7배에 이르는만큼, 적극적 담배가격 정책으로 청소년들의 흡연 진입을 예방해야한다&#8221;고 강조했다.<BR><BR>shk999@yna.co.kr<BR><BR>======================<BR><BR><br />
<H3 class=tit_subject><그래픽> 연령별 흡연에 따른 사망자 비율</H3><SPAN class=tit_subtit></SPAN><SPAN class=info_data><SPAN class=data><FONT color=#999999>연합뉴스</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=txt_bar><FONT color=#d2d2d2>|</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class=data><FONT color=#999999>입력</FONT></SPAN> <SPAN class="num ff_tahoma"><FONT color=#999999>2013.04.18 09:23</FONT></SPAN></SPAN><BR><BR>(서울=연합뉴스) 이재윤 기자 = 18일 보건사회연구원의 &#8216;청소년 흡연으로 인한 질병부담&#8217; 보고서에 따르면 2010년 당시 고등학교 3학년(18세)이었던 남학생 37만명을 대상으로 연령별 흡연에 따른 사망자 수를 추정한 결과, 85세까지 전체의 21.6%(7만9천917명)가 담배 때문에 사망에 이르는 것으로 분석됐다.<BR><BR>yoon2@yna.co.kr<BR><BR><br />
<DIV class=image style="WIDTH: 271px" sizcache="2" sizset="0"><br />
<P class=img sizcache="2" sizset="0"><IMG height=391 alt="" src="http://i2.media.daumcdn.net/photo-media/201304/18/yonhap/20130418092308469.jpg" width=271></P></DIV>@yonhap_graphics(트위터)<BR><BR>(끝)<BR><BR></FONT></FONT></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></p>
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		<title>[담배] Smoking &amp; Tobacco Use (미국 질병관리본부)</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=3843</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Mar 2013 11:59:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[노동 · 환경]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CDC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MORBIDITY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[smoking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tobacco Use]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[금연]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[담배]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[미국 질병관리본부]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[사망률]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연율]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Smoking &#038; Tobacco Use http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/fact_sheets/fast_facts/Fast Facts Morbidity and Mortality Tobacco use leads to disease and disability. Smoking causes cancer, heart disease, stroke, and lung diseases (including emphysema, bronchitis, [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><H2><A href="http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/index.htm" jQuery16208907705141952742="9">Smoking &#038; Tobacco Use</A></H2><br />
<P><BR><A href="http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/fact_sheets/fast_facts/">http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/fact_sheets/fast_facts/</A><BR><BR>Fast Facts<BR><BR></P><br />
<H3 class=stu_section id=toll>Morbidity and Mortality</H3><br />
<H4 class=stu>Tobacco use leads to disease and disability.</H4><br />
<UL><br />
<LI>Smoking causes cancer, heart disease, stroke, and lung diseases (including emphysema, bronchitis, and chronic airway obstruction).<SUP>1</SUP><br />
<LI>For every person who dies from a smoking-related disease, 20 more people suffer with at least one serious illness from smoking.<SUP>2</SUP> </LI></UL><br />
<P><BR>&nbsp;</P><br />
<H4 class=stu>Tobacco use is the leading preventable cause of death.</H4><br />
<UL><br />
<LI>Worldwide, tobacco use causes more than 5 million deaths per year, and current trends show that tobacco use will cause more than 8 million deaths annually by 2030.<SUP>3</SUP><br />
<LI>In the United States, smoking is responsible for about one in five deaths annually (i.e., about 443,000 deaths per year, and an estimated 49,000 of these smoking-related deaths are the result of secondhand smoke exposure).<SUP>1</SUP><br />
<LI>On average, smokers die 13 to 14 years earlier than nonsmokers.<SUP>4</SUP> </LI></UL><br />
<H3 class=stu_section id=cost>Costs and Expenditures</H3><br />
<H4 class=stu>The cigarette industry spends billions each year on advertising and promotions.<SUP>5</SUP></H4><br />
<UL><br />
<LI>$8.05 billion total spent in 2010<br />
<LI>$22 million spent a day in 2010 </LI></UL><br />
<P><BR>&nbsp;</P><br />
<H4 class=stu>Tobacco use costs the United States billions of dollars each year.</H4><br />
<UL><br />
<LI>Cigarette smoking costs more than $193 billion (i.e., $97 billion in lost productivity plus $96 billion in health care expenditures).<SUP>1</SUP><br />
<LI>Secondhand smoke costs more than $10 billion (i.e., health care expenditures, morbidity, and mortality).<SUP>6</SUP> </LI></UL><br />
<P><BR>&nbsp;</P><br />
<H4 class=stu>State spending on tobacco control does not meet CDC-recommended levels.<SUP>7,8</SUP></H4><br />
<UL><br />
<LI>Collectively, states have billions of dollars available to them—from tobacco excise taxes and tobacco industry legal settlements—for preventing and controlling tobacco use. States currently use a very small percentage of these funds for tobacco control programs.<br />
<LI>In 2013, states will collect $25.7 billion from tobacco taxes and legal settlements, but states are spending less than 2% of the $25.7 billion on tobacco control programs.<br />
<LI>Investing only about 15% (i.e., $3.7 billion) of the $25.7 billion would fund every state tobacco control program at CDC-recommended levels.<BR><BR></LI></UL><!--<br />
	<img id="topic_img" class="center" src="/tobacco/data_statistics/fact_sheets/fast_facts/images/pie_chart08.jpg" width="544" alt="Pie chart of funds available to states in 2008 ($24.4 billion), what states spent (less than 3%), what states needed to spend to reach CDC-recommended levels (15%)" height="310" /><br />
&#8211;><br />
<H3 class=stu_section id=use>Tobacco Use in the United States</H3><br />
<H4 class=stu>Percentage of U.S. adults who were current smokers in 2010:<SUP>9</SUP></H4><br />
<UL><br />
<LI>19.0% of all adults (43.8 million people)<br />
<LI>31.5% non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native<br />
<LI>27.4% non-Hispanic multiple race<br />
<LI>20.6% non-Hispanic white<br />
<LI>19.4% non-Hispanic black<br />
<LI>12.9% Hispanic<br />
<LI>9.9% non-Hispanic Asian </LI></UL><br />
<P class=psmall>NOTES:<BR>–Adult is defined as 18 years of age or older.<BR>–Current smokers are defined as persons who reported smoking at least 100 cigarettes during their lifetime and who, at the time of interview, reported smoking every day or some days.<BR>–Percentage for Asian American adults does not include Native Hawaiians and other Pacific Islanders.</P><br />
<P><BR>&nbsp;</P><br />
<H4 class=stu>Thousands of young people begin smoking every day.<SUP>10</SUP></H4><br />
<UL><br />
<LI>Each day, more than 3,800 persons younger than 18 years of age smoke their first cigarette.<br />
<LI>Each day, about 1,000 persons younger than 18 years of age begin smoking on a daily basis. </LI></UL><br />
<P><BR>&nbsp;</P><br />
<H4 class=stu>Many adult smokers want to quit smoking.<SUP>11</SUP></H4><br />
<UL><br />
<LI>Approximately 69% of smokers want to quit completely.<br />
<LI>Approximately 52% of smokers attempted to quit in 2010. </LI></UL><br />
<P class=psmall>NOTES:<BR>–See CDC&#8217;s <A href="http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/fact_sheets/cessation/quitting/index.htm" jQuery16208907705141952742="146">Smoking Cessation</A> fact sheet for more information.<BR>–&#8221;Attempted to quit&#8221; is defined as smokers who reported that they stopped smoking for more than 1 day in the past 12 months because they were trying to quit smoking. ﻿<br />
<H3 class=stu_section id=ref>References</H3><br />
<OL><br />
<LI class=number>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. <SPAN class=ref_title><A href="http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5745a3.htm" jQuery16208907705141952742="147">Smoking-Attributable Mortality, Years of Potential Life Lost, and Productivity Losses—United States, 2000–2004</A></SPAN>. <SPAN class=ref_pub>Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report</SPAN> 2008;57(45):1226–8 [accessed 2012 Jun 7].<br />
<LI class=number>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. <SPAN class=ref_title><A href="http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5235a4.htm" jQuery16208907705141952742="148">Cigarette Smoking-Attributable Morbidity—United States, 2000</A></SPAN>. <SPAN class=ref_pub>Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report</SPAN> 2003;52(35):842–4 [accessed 2012 Jun 7].<br />
<LI class=number>World Health Organization. <SPAN class=ref_title><A href="http://www.who.int/tobacco/mpower/2009/en/index.html" jQuery16208907705141952742="149">WHO Report on the Global Tobacco Epidemic, 2009</A></SPAN>. <IMG class=noborder alt="Exit Notification" src="http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/images/exit_disclaimer.png"> <SPAN class=ref_pub>Geneva: World Health Organization</SPAN>, 2008 [accessed 2012 Jun 7].<br />
<LI class=number>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. <SPAN class=ref_title><A href="http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5114a2.htm" jQuery16208907705141952742="150">Annual Smoking-Attributable Mortality, Years of Potential Life Lost, and Productivity Losses—United States, 1995–1999</A></SPAN>. <SPAN class=ref_pub>Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report</SPAN> 2002;51(14):300–3 [accessed 2012 Jun 7].<br />
<LI class=number>Federal Trade Commission. <SPAN class=ref_title><A title="Link to PDF file; link to non-CDC Web site; link opens in new window" href="http://www.ftc.gov/os/2012/09/120921cigarettereport.pdf" target=_blank jQuery16208907705141952742="151">Cigarette Report for 2009 and 2010</A></SPAN>. <IMG class=noborder alt="Exit Notification" src="http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/images/exit_disclaimer.png"> <SPAN class=adobelink></SPAN>(<ACRONYM title="Portable Document Format">PDF</ACRONYM>–151.7 KB) Washington: Federal Trade Commission, 2012 [accessed 2012 December 18].<br />
<LI class=number><SPAN class=ref_author>Behan DF, Eriksen MP, Lin Y</SPAN>. <SPAN class=ref_title><A title="Link to non-CDC Web site; link opens in new window" href="http://www.soa.org/research/research-projects/life-insurance/research-economic-effect.aspx" target=_blank jQuery16208907705141952742="152">Economic Effects of Environmental Tobacco Smoke Report</A></SPAN>. <IMG class=noborder alt="Exit Notification" src="http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/images/exit_disclaimer.png"> Schaumburg, IL: Society of Actuaries; 2005 [accessed 2012 Jun 7].<br />
<LI class=number>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. <SPAN class=ref_title><A href="http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/stateandcommunity/best_practices/index.htm" jQuery16208907705141952742="153">Best Practices for Comprehensive Tobacco Control Programs—2007</A></SPAN>. Atlanta: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Office on Smoking and Health, 2007. [accessed 2012 Jun 7].<br />
<LI class=number>Campaign for Tobacco Free Kids. <SPAN class=ref_title><A title="Link to PDF file; link to non-CDC Web site; link opens in new window" href="http://www.tobaccofreekids.org/content/what_we_do/state_local_issues/settlement/FY2013/1.%202012%20State%20Report%20-%20Full.pdf" target=_blank jQuery16208907705141952742="154">Broken Promises to Our Children: The 1998 State Tobacco Settlement Fourteen Years Later. </A></SPAN>. <IMG class=noborder alt="Exit Notification" src="http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/images/exit_disclaimer.png"> <SPAN class=adobelink>(<ACRONYM title="Portable Document Format">PDF</ACRONYM>–1.34 MB)</SPAN>. Washington: Campaign for Tobacco Free Kids, 2012 [accessed 2012 Dec 18].<br />
<LI class=number>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.<SPAN class=ref_title><A href="http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm6144a2.htm?s_cid=%20mm6144a2.htm_w" jQuery16208907705141952742="155"> Current Cigarette Smoking Among Adults—United States, 2011</A></SPAN>. <SPAN class=ref_pub>Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report</SPAN> 2012;61(44):889–894 [accessed 2012 Dec 18].<br />
<LI class=number>Substance Abuse and Mental Health Administration. <SPAN class=ref_title><A title="Link to non-CDC site; link opens in new window" href="http://www.samhsa.gov/data/NSDUH/2k10Results/Web/HTML/2k10Results.htm#Ch4" jQuery16208907705141952742="156">Results from the 2010 National Survey on Drug Use and Health: National Findings</A></SPAN>. <IMG class=noborder alt="Exit Notification" src="http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/images/exit_disclaimer.png"> Rockville (MD): Office of Applied Studies [accessed 2012 Jun 7].<br />
<LI class=number>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. <SPAN class=ref_title><A href="http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/mmwrs/byyear/2011/mm6044a2/intro.htm" jQuery16208907705141952742="157">Quitting Smoking Among Adults—United States, 2001–2010</A></SPAN>. <SPAN class=ref_pub>Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report</SPAN> [serial online] 2011;60(44):1513–19 [accessed 2012 Jun 7]. </LI></OL><br />
<H3 class=stu_section id=info>For Further Information</H3><br />
<P>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention<BR>National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion<BR>Office on Smoking and Health<BR>E-mail: <A href="mailto:tobaccoinfo@cdc.gov" jQuery16208907705141952742="158">tobaccoinfo@cdc.gov</A><BR>Phone: 1-800-CDC-INFO</P><br />
<P>Media Inquiries: Contact CDC&#8217;s Office on Smoking and Health press line at 770-488-5493. <BR><BR></P></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>[담배] 담배에 관한 사실 (WHO)</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=3842</link>
		<comments>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=3842#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Mar 2013 11:56:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[노동 · 환경]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tobacco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[금연]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[담배]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[사실]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[세계보건기구]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[담배에 관한 중요한 사실&#160;1) 담배는 흡연자 2명 중 1명을 죽음에 이르게 한다.2) 담배는 매년 6백만 명의 사람을 죽인다. 5백만 명은 흡연자 및&#160;과거 흡연자이며,60만명은&#160;간접 흡연에 노출된 비흡연자이다.&#160;긴급하게 흡연 규제 [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><P>담배에 관한 중요한 사실&nbsp;<BR><BR>1) 담배는 흡연자 2명 중 1명을 죽음에 이르게 한다.<BR>2) 담배는 매년 6백만 명의 사람을 죽인다. 5백만 명은 흡연자 및&nbsp;과거 흡연자이며,<BR>60만명은&nbsp;간접 흡연에 노출된 비흡연자이다.&nbsp;긴급하게 흡연 규제 조치를 취하지 않는다면,<BR>2030년엔 해마다 8백만 명 이상의 사람이 담배로 인해 사망할 것이다.<BR>3) 전 세계 흡연자 10명 중 8명은 개발도상국 또는 저개발 국가에 거주한다.<BR>4) 고소득 또는 중등도 소득 이상 국가에서 담배 소비가 감소하고 있음에도 불구하고,<BR>전 세계적으로 담배 제품의 소비는 계속 증가하고 있다.</P><br />
<H1 class=headline>Tobacco </H1><br />
<DIV class=meta><!-- Default DIV wrapper for all story meta data --><br />
<P><SPAN class="">Fact sheet N°339<BR>May 2012<BR></SPAN><A href="http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs339/en/index.html">http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs339/en/index.html</A>&nbsp;</P></DIV><!-- close of the meta div --><br />
<HR></p>
<p><H3 class=section_head1>Key facts</H3><br />
<UL class=disc sizcache="3" sizset="18"><br />
<LI>Tobacco kills up to half of its users.<br />
<LI>Tobacco kills nearly six million people each year, of whom more than 5 million are users and ex users and more than 600 000 are nonsmokers exposed to second-hand smoke. Unless urgent action is taken, the annual death toll could rise to more than eight million by 2030.<br />
<LI>Nearly 80% of the world&#8217;s one billion smokers live in low- and middle-income countries.<br />
<LI>Consumption of tobacco products is increasing globally, though it is decreasing in some high-income and upper middle-income countries. </LI></UL><br />
<HR></p>
<p><H3 class=section_head1>Leading cause of death, illness and impoverishment</H3><br />
<P><SPAN>The tobacco epidemic is one of the biggest public health threats the world has ever faced. It kills nearly six million people a year of whom more than 5 million are users and ex users and more than 600 000 are nonsmokers exposed to second-hand smoke. Approximately one person dies every six seconds due to tobacco and this accounts for one in 10 adult deaths. Up to half of current users will eventually die of a tobacco-related disease.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>Nearly 80% of the more than one billion smokers worldwide live in low- and middle-income countries, where the burden of tobacco-related illness and death is heaviest. </SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>Tobacco users who die prematurely deprive their families of income, raise the cost of health care and hinder economic development.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>In some countries, children from poor households are frequently employed in tobacco farming to provide family income. These children are especially vulnerable to &#8220;green tobacco sickness&#8221;, which is caused by the nicotine that is absorbed through the skin from the handling of wet tobacco leaves.</SPAN></P><br />
<H3 class=section_head1>Gradual killer</H3><br />
<P><SPAN>Because there is a lag of several years between when people start using tobacco and when their health suffers, the epidemic of tobacco-related disease and death has just begun. </SPAN></P><br />
<UL class=disc sizcache="3" sizset="22"><br />
<LI>Tobacco caused 100 million deaths in the 20th century. If current trends continue, it will cause up to one billion deaths in the 21st century.<br />
<LI>Unchecked, tobacco-related deaths will increase to more than eight million per year by 2030. More than 80% of those deaths will be in low- and middle-income countries. </LI></UL><br />
<H3 class=section_head1>Surveillance is key</H3><br />
<P><SPAN>Good monitoring tracks the extent and character of the tobacco epidemic and indicates how best to tailor policies. Only fifty-nine countries, representing under half of the world&#8217;s population, monitor tobacco use by repeating nationally representative youth and adult surveys at least once every five years. </SPAN></P><br />
<H3 class=section_head1>Second-hand smoke kills</H3><br />
<P><SPAN>Second-hand smoke is the smoke that fills restaurants, offices or other enclosed spaces when people burn tobacco products such as cigarettes, bidis and water pipes. There is no safe level of exposure to second-hand tobacco smoke.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>Every person should be able to breathe smoke-free air. Smoke-free laws protect the health of non-smokers, are popular, do not harm business and encourage smokers to quit.<SUP>1</SUP> </SPAN></P><br />
<UL class=disc sizcache="3" sizset="24"><br />
<LI>Under 11% of the world&#8217;s population are protected by comprehensive national smoke-free laws.<br />
<LI>The number of people protected from second-hand smoke more than doubled to 739 million in 2010 from 354 million in 2008.<br />
<LI>Almost half of children regularly breathe air polluted by tobacco smoke.<br />
<LI>Over 40% of children have at least one smoking parent.<br />
<LI>Second-hand smoke causes more than 600 000 premature deaths per year.<br />
<LI>In 2004, children accounted for 31% of the deaths attributable to second-hand smoke.<br />
<LI>There are more than 4000 chemicals in tobacco smoke, of which at least 250 are known to be harmful and more than 50 are known to cause cancer.<br />
<LI>In adults, second-hand smoke causes serious cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, including coronary heart disease and lung cancer. In infants, it causes sudden death. In pregnant women, it causes low birth weight. </LI></UL><br />
<H3 class=section_head1>Tobacco users need help to quit</H3><br />
<P><SPAN>Studies show that few people understand the specific health risks of tobacco use. For example, a 2009 survey in China revealed that only 37% of smokers knew that smoking causes coronary heart disease and only 17% knew that it causes stroke.<SUP>2</SUP></SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>Among smokers who are aware of the dangers of tobacco, most want to quit. Counselling and medication can more than double the chance that a smoker who tries to quit will succeed.</SPAN></P><br />
<UL class=disc sizcache="3" sizset="32"><br />
<LI>National comprehensive health-care services supporting cessation are available in only 19 countries, representing 14% of the world&#8217;s population.<br />
<LI>There is no cessation assistance in 28% of low-income countries and 7% of middle-income countries. </LI></UL><br />
<H3 class=section_head1>Picture warnings work</H3><br />
<P><SPAN>Hard-hitting anti-tobacco advertisements and graphic pack warnings – especially those that include pictures – reduce the number of children who begin smoking and increase the number of smokers who quit. </SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>Studies carried out after the implementation of pictorial package warnings in Brazil, Canada, Singapore and Thailand consistently show that pictorial warnings significantly increase people&#8217;s awareness of the harms of tobacco use.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>Mass media campaigns can also reduce tobacco consumption, by influencing people to protect non-smokers and convincing youths to stop using tobacco.</SPAN></P><br />
<UL class=disc sizcache="3" sizset="34"><br />
<LI>Just 19 countries, representing 15% of the world&#8217;s population, meet the best practice for pictorial warnings, which includes the warnings in the local language and cover an average of at least half of the front and back of cigarette packs. No low-income country meets this best-practice level.<br />
<LI>Forty-two countries, representing 42% of the world’s population, mandate pictorial warnings.<br />
<LI>Graphic warnings can persuade smokers to protect the health of non-smokers by smoking less inside the home and avoiding smoking near children.<br />
<LI>More than 1.9 billion people, representing 28% of the world&#8217;s population, live in the 23 countries that have implemented at least one strong anti-tobacco mass media campaign within the last two years. </LI></UL><br />
<H3 class=section_head1>Ad bans lower consumption</H3><br />
<P><SPAN>Bans on tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship can reduce tobacco consumption.</SPAN></P><br />
<UL class=disc sizcache="3" sizset="38"><br />
<LI>A comprehensive ban on all tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship could decrease tobacco consumption by an average of about 7%, with some countries experiencing a decline in consumption of up to 16%.<br />
<LI>Only 19 countries, representing 6% of the world’s population, have comprehensive national bans on tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship.<br />
<LI>Forty-six per cent of the world&#8217;s population lives in countries that do not ban free distribution of tobacco products. </LI></UL><br />
<H3 class=section_head1>Taxes discourage tobacco use</H3><br />
<P><SPAN>Tobacco taxes are the most effective way to reduce tobacco use, especially among young people and poor people. A tax increase that increases tobacco prices by 10% decreases tobacco consumption by about 4% in high-income countries and by up to 8% in low- and middle-income countries. </SPAN></P><br />
<UL class=disc sizcache="3" sizset="41"><br />
<LI>Only 27 countries, representing less than 8% of the world&#8217;s population, have tobacco tax rates greater than 75% of the retail price.<br />
<LI>Tobacco tax revenues are on average 154 times higher than spending on tobacco control, based on available data. </LI></UL><br />
<H3 class=section_head1>WHO response</H3><br />
<P><SPAN>WHO is committed to fight the global tobacco epidemic. The WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control entered into force in February 2005. Since then, it has become one of the most widely embraced treaties in the history of the United Nations with more than 170 Parties covering 87% of the world&#8217;s population. The WHO Framework Convention is WHO&#8217;s most important tobacco control tool and a milestone in the promotion of public health. It is an evidence-based treaty that reaffirms the right of people to the highest standard of health, provides legal dimensions for international health cooperation and sets high standards for compliance.</SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>In 2008, WHO introduced a package of tobacco control measures to further counter the tobacco epidemic and to help countries to implement the WHO Framework Convention. Known by their acronym MPOWER, the measures are identified as &#8220;best buys&#8221; and &#8220;good buys&#8221; in tobacco control. Each measure corresponds to at least one provision of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. </SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN>The six MPOWER measures are:</SPAN></P><br />
<UL class=disc sizcache="3" sizset="43"><br />
<LI>Monitor tobacco use and prevention policies<br />
<LI>Protect people from tobacco use<br />
<LI>Offer help to quit tobacco use<br />
<LI>Warn about the dangers of tobacco<br />
<LI>Enforce bans on tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship<br />
<LI>Raise taxes on tobacco. </LI></UL><br />
<H4 class=section_head2>For more information contact:</H4><br />
<P sizcache="0" sizset="18"><SPAN sizcache="0" sizset="18">WHO Media centre<BR>Telephone: +41 22 791 2222 <BR>E-mail: <A href="mailto:mediainquiries@who.int" jQuery1364179739187="2">mediainquiries@who.int</A></SPAN></P><br />
<HR></p>
<p><P><SPAN><SUP>1</SUP> Scollo M, Lal A, Hyland A, Glantz S (2003), Review of the quality of studies on the economic effects of smoke-free policies on the hospitality industry, Tobacco Control;12:13–20</SPAN></P><br />
<UL class=list sizcache="3" sizset="49"><br />
<LI sizcache="0" sizset="19"><A href="http://www.who.int/entity/mediacentre/news/releases/2009/no_tobacco_day_20090529/en/index.html"><SUP>2</SUP> Call for pictorial warnings on tobacco packs: WHO news release, 29 May 2009</A></LI></UL></p>
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		<title>[담배] 흡연 유행병 및 담배 통제에 관한 10가지 사실 (WHO)</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=3841</link>
		<comments>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=3841#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Mar 2013 11:47:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[노동 · 환경]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tobacco Control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tobacco epidemic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[금연]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[담배]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[세계보건기구]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[흡연]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=3841</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[WHO: 10 facts on the tobacco epidemic and its control http://www.who.int/features/factfiles/tobacco_epidemic/en/index.html Fact 1 흡연은 폐암, 심장병 등을 일으켜 년간 전 세계 540만명 죽여 The tobacco epidemic kills 5.4 [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><BR><br />
<P><STRONG><FONT size=3>WHO: 10 facts on the tobacco epidemic and its control</FONT></STRONG></P><br />
<P><A href="http://www.who.int/features/factfiles/tobacco_epidemic/en/index.html">http://www.who.int/features/factfiles/tobacco_epidemic/en/index.html</A></P><br />
<P><STRONG><FONT size=3>Fact 1 흡연은 폐암, 심장병 등을 일으켜 년간 전 세계 540만명 죽여</FONT></STRONG></P><br />
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<P align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial">The tobacco epidemic kills 5.4 million people a year from lung cancer, heart disease and other illnesses. Unchecked, that number will increase to more than eight million a year by 2030. Tobacco use is a risk factor for six of the eight leading causes of deaths in the world. </SPAN><STRONG><FONT size=3><BR><BR>Fact 2 담배회사의 마케팅 전략으로 개도국에서 흡연 관련 사망 급증. (개도국 청소년 및 성인, 그리고 여성을 공략)</FONT></STRONG></P><br />
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<P><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Tragically, the epidemic is shifting towards the developing world, where 80% of tobacco-related deaths will occur within a few decades. The shift is caused by a global tobacco industry marketing strategy that targets young people and adults in developing countries. In addition, because most women currently do not use tobacco, the tobacco industry aggressively reaches out to them to tap into this potential new market. </SPAN></P><br />
<P><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><STRONG><FONT face=굴림 size=3>Fact 3 흡연 관련 사망은 인간에 의해 만들어졌으며, 예방 가능.(전 세계 5%의 인구만이 흡연을 효과적으로 통제하고 있는 나라에 살고 있음)</FONT></STRONG></SPAN></P><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><br />
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<P>The tobacco epidemic is man-made and entirely preventable. Yet, only 5% of the world&#8217;s population lives in a country that fully protects its population with any one of the key policy interventions that have significantly reduced tobacco use in the countries that have implemented them.</P><br />
<P><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><FONT face=굴림 size=3><STRONG>Fact 4 흡연(</STRONG><FONT face=Arial size=2>the tobacco epidemic</FONT><STRONG>)을 줄이기 위한 WHO의 6대 전략 </STRONG><FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffe409" face=Arial><FONT size=2><STRONG>MPOWER <BR><BR></STRONG>M: 흡연에 대한 감시(Monitoring)와 예방(Prevention)</FONT></P><br />
<P><STRONG><FONT size=2>P: 담배연기로부터 보호(Protecting)</FONT></STRONG></P><br />
<P><STRONG><FONT size=2>O: 금연을 위한 도움을 제공(Offering help)</FONT></STRONG></P><br />
<P><STRONG><FONT size=2>W: 흡연의 위험에 대한 경고(Warning)</FONT></STRONG></P><br />
<P><STRONG><FONT size=2>E: 담배 광고와 판촉 및 담배회사의 후원을 법률적으로 금지함(Enforcing bans)</FONT></STRONG></P><br />
<P><STRONG><FONT size=2>R: 담배에 대한 세금 인상(Raising taxes)</FONT></STRONG><BR></FONT><BR><BR></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><IMG class=c alt="이미지를 클릭하면 원본을 보실 수 있습니다." src="http://pds57.cafe.daum.net/image/13/cafe/2008/02/27/15/07/47c4fe1070df0" border=0></P><br />
<P>The six most effective policies that can curb the tobacco epidemic are outlined in <STRONG><FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffe409">WHO&#8217;s MPOWER strategy</FONT></STRONG>: </P><br />
<P><U><FONT size=3><B>M</B>onitoring tobacco use and prevention<BR><B>P</B>rotecting people from tobacco smoke<BR><B>O</B>ffering help to quit tobacco use<BR><B>W</B>arning people about the dangers of tobacco<BR><B>E</B>nforcing bans on tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship<BR><B>R</B>aising taxes on tobacco</FONT></U><BR><BR><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><STRONG><FONT face=굴림 size=3><BR>Fact 5 M: 흡연에 대한 감시(Monitoring)와 예방(Prevention)</FONT></STRONG></SPAN></P><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><br />
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<P><STRONG><FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffe409"><FONT size=3>MPOWER policy 1: monitoring tobacco use and prevention</FONT><BR></FONT></STRONG>Assessment of tobacco use and its impact must be strengthened. Currently, half of the countries in the world – two out of three in the developing world – do not have even minimal data about youth and adult tobacco use. </P><br />
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<P><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><STRONG><FONT face=굴림 size=3>Fact 6 P: 담배연기로부터 보호(Protecting)</FONT></STRONG></SPAN></P><br />
<P></P><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><FONT face=굴림 size=3><br />
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<P><FONT size=2><STRONG><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffe409" size=3>MPOWER policy 2: protecting people from tobacco smoke</FONT></SPAN><BR></STRONG><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial">More than half of countries worldwide, accounting for nearly two thirds of the population of the world, allow smoking in government offices, work spaces and other indoor settings. Smoke-free policies in the workplaces of several industrialized nations have reduced total tobacco consumption among employees by an average of 29%.<BR><BR><BR></SPAN></FONT></P><br />
<P><FONT size=2><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><STRONG><FONT face=굴림 size=3>Fact 7 O: 금연을 위한 도움을 제공(Offering help)</FONT></STRONG></SPAN></SPAN></FONT></P><FONT size=2><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><br />
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<P><FONT size=3><FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffe409"><B>MPOWER policy 3: offering help to quit tobacco use</B><BR></FONT></FONT>Among smokers who are aware of the dangers of tobacco, three out of four want to quit. Comprehensive services to treat tobacco dependence are available to only 5% of the world’s population. It is difficult for tobacco users to quit on their own and most people benefit from help and support to overcome their dependence. Countries&#8217; health-care systems hold the primary responsibility for treating tobacco dependence. </P><br />
<P><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><STRONG><FONT face=굴림 size=3>Fact 8 W: 흡연의 위험에 대한 경고(Warning)</FONT></STRONG></SPAN></SPAN></P><br />
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<P><FONT size=3><FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffe409"><B>MPOWER policy 4: warning about the dangers of tobacco</B><BR></FONT></FONT>Graphic warnings on tobacco product packaging deter tobacco use, yet only 15 countries, representing 6% of the world’s population, mandate pictorial warnings that cover at least 30% of the principal surface area.</P><br />
<P>More than 40% of the world’s population live in countries that do not prevent the use of misleading and deceptive packaging terms such as “light” and “low-tar” &#8211; none of which actually signify any reduction in health risk.</P><br />
<P><BR><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><STRONG><FONT face=굴림 size=3>Fact 9 E: 담배 광고와 판촉 및 담배회사의 후원을 법률적으로 금지함(Enforcing bans)</FONT></STRONG></SPAN></SPAN></P><br />
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<P><STRONG><FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffe409" size=3>MPOWER policy 5: enforcing bans on tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship</FONT><BR></STRONG>About half of the children of the world live in countries that do not ban free distribution of tobacco products. National-level studies before and after advertising bans found a decline in tobacco consumption of up to 16% following prohibitions. </P><br />
<P><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><STRONG><FONT face=굴림 size=3>Fact 10 R: 담배에 대한 세금 인상(Raising taxes)</FONT></STRONG></SPAN></SPAN></P><br />
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<P><STRONG><FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffe409" size=3>MPOWER policy 6: raising taxes on tobacco products</FONT><BR></STRONG>Increasing tobacco taxes by 10% generally decreases tobacco consumption by 4% in high-income countries and by about 8% in low- and middle-income countries. A 70% increase in the price of tobacco would prevent up to a quarter of all tobacco-related deaths among today&#8217;s smokers. <BR></P></SPAN></FONT></FONT></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></p>
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