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	<title>건강과 대안 &#187; 호주 역학조사</title>
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		<title>[돼지독감] WHO 신종플루 과장 대응 논란</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=1461</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Dec 2009 00:30:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[식품 · 의약품]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pandemic (H1N1) 2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seasonal influenza]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHO 과잉대응]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHO 대유행선언]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[계절성 독감]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[돼지독감]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[신종플루]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[제약회사 유착 의혹]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[호주 역학조사]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[블룸버그통신 뉴스가 대유행 선언 지나치게 과장되었다는 비판에 대한 WHO의 방어논리를 소개하고 있습니다.그런데 이 뉴스에서 주목할 만한 대목은 다음과 같습니다.&#8220;지난 주 스웨덴 언론 [ Svenska Dagbladet]는&#160;&#160;덴마크 신문의 보도와 [사이언스]지를 [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><SPAN class=news_story_title style="DISPLAY: inline"><br />
<DIV>블룸버그통신 뉴스가 대유행 선언 지나치게 과장되었다는 비판에 대한 WHO의 방어논리를 소개하고 있습니다.<BR><BR>그런데 이 뉴스에서 주목할 만한 대목은 다음과 같습니다.<BR><BR>&#8220;지난 주 스웨덴 언론 [ <A href="http://www.svd.se/nyheter/inrikes/artikel_3866171.svd" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Svenska Dagbladet</A>]는&nbsp;&nbsp;덴마크 신문의 보도와 [사이언스]지를 인용하며 유엔기구(WHO)가 제약산업과 유착되어 있을 지도 모르는 과학자 그룹 및 보건관료들의 자문에 따라 대유행 경보의 최 상위 단계(6단계)로 이동했다고 밝혔다. WHO 대변인 <A href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Gregory+Hartl&#038;site=wnews&#038;client=wnews&#038;proxystylesheet=wnews&#038;output=xml_no_dtd&#038;ie=UTF-8&#038;oe=UTF-8&#038;filter=p&#038;getfields=wnnis&#038;sort=date:D:S:d1" T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="110" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Gregory Hartl</A>은 신문과 인터뷰에서 대유행 선언에 관한 결정은 WHO 사무총장 마가렛 창이 단독으로 결정했다고 말했다.&#8221;</DIV><br />
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV><br />
<DIV>&#8220;지난 7월 역학자인 톰 제퍼슨(Tom Jefferson)은 독일의 슈피겔지와 인터뷰에서 WHO, 공중보건관료, 바이러스학자, 그리고 제약회사는 대유행 위협을 촉진시키는 이면의 동기가 있었던 것 같다고 얘기했다.&#8221;<BR><BR>=====================================<BR><BR>WHO Defends Flu Response Amid Exaggeration Claims <BR><BR>By Jason Gale<BR><BR>출처 : Bloomberg Dec. 4. 2009<BR><A href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601203&#038;sid=anDw8Gp5w4eA">http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601203&#038;sid=anDw8Gp5w4eA</A><BR><BR></DIV><br />
<P>Dec. 4 (Bloomberg) &#8212; The World Health Organization, facing criticism that it exaggerated the threat of swine flu, said it’s too soon to decide whether the pandemic is more or less deadly than <A href="http://www.who.int/csr/disease/influenza/en/" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">seasonal flu</A> and comparing death rates may be misleading. </P><br />
<P>Mortality from the new <A href="http://www.who.int/csr/disease/swineflu/en/" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">H1N1 strain</A> is “unquestionably higher” than the death toll reported by national authorities, the Geneva-based agency said in a report seen by Bloomberg News before its scheduled publication today. Deaths totaled <A href="http://www.who.int/csr/don/2009_11_27a/en/index.html" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">more than 7,820</A> as of Nov. 22, said WHO, which estimates as many as <A href="http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs211/en/index.html" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">500,000</A> people die each year from seasonal strains. </P><br />
<P>Health authorities worldwide are assessing whether their <A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/kel11025_fm.html" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">response to swine flu</A> is justified by its threat as cases of flu-like illness retreat in the U.S. and U.K. While a majority of patients recover within days and reported fatalities are a fraction of the seasonal flu toll, these figures mask the full impact of swine flu on society, WHO said. </P><br />
<P>“Compared with seasonal influenza, the H1N1 virus affects a much younger age group in all categories &#8212; those most frequently infected, hospitalized, requiring intensive care, and dying,” WHO said in the report. </P><br />
<P>In Australia, about 3,000 people aged 50 or older die from seasonal flu each year, according to <A href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18325639?dopt=Abstract" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">statistical modeling</A>. Officials counted 190 deaths associated with confirmed swine flu, <A href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Jim+Bishop&#038;site=wnews&#038;client=wnews&#038;proxystylesheet=wnews&#038;output=xml_no_dtd&#038;ie=UTF-8&#038;oe=UTF-8&#038;filter=p&#038;getfields=wnnis&#038;sort=date:D:S:d1" T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="110" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Jim Bishop</A>, the nation’s chief medical officer, said last week in a <A href="http://content.nejm.org/cgi/reprint/NEJMp0910445.pdf" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">report</A> in the New England Journal of Medicine. </P><br />
<P>Younger Victims </P><br />
<P>The median age of patients who died was 53, compared with 83 in seasonal epidemics, and the number of patients treated in intensive care units for viral pneumonia was about 14 times greater than normal, Bishop said in a telephone interview from Canberra today. </P><br />
<P>“It’s a different type of virus affecting younger people and putting more people into hospital and ICU,” he said. “It’s not attacking older people in nursing homes.” </P><br />
<P>The pandemic’s impact is better gauged by the number of life-years lost because of the younger age of victims compared with seasonal flu, said <A href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Michael+Osterholm&#038;site=wnews&#038;client=wnews&#038;proxystylesheet=wnews&#038;output=xml_no_dtd&#038;ie=UTF-8&#038;oe=UTF-8&#038;filter=p&#038;getfields=wnnis&#038;sort=date:D:S:d1" T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="110" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Michael Osterholm</A>, director of the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy in Minneapolis. </P><br />
<P>“If you look at years of personal life lost, it’s much higher, and that’s the point we have to get across,” Osterholm said in a telephone interview today. “A death in an otherwise healthy 24-year-old, to me, is a major defeat for society.” </P><br />
<P>Pregnant Women </P><br />
<P>Of those infected worldwide, 1 percent to 10 percent have required hospitalization and as many as a quarter of those patients have needed intensive care, WHO said today in the <A href="http://www.who.int/wer/2009/wer8449.pdf" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Weekly Epidemiological Record</A> newsletter. Pregnant women have a 10 times higher likelihood of requiring admission to an ICU compared with the general population, and at least 1 in 14 of all hospitalized cases are women in their second or third trimester of pregnancy, it said. </P><br />
<P>Bishop said WHO’s decision to declare swine flu a pandemic in June helped guide the nation’s response, which he said was “proportionate and relevant.” </P><br />
<P>The United Nations agency moved to the top level of its <A href="http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/phase/en/index.html" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">pandemic alert</A> following advice from a group of scientists and health officials who may have ties to the pharmaceutical industry, Sweden’s <A href="http://www.svd.se/nyheter/inrikes/artikel_3866171.svd" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Svenska Dagbladet</A> newspaper said last week, citing reports in Danish newspaper Information and the journal Science. WHO spokesman <A href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Gregory+Hartl&#038;site=wnews&#038;client=wnews&#038;proxystylesheet=wnews&#038;output=xml_no_dtd&#038;ie=UTF-8&#038;oe=UTF-8&#038;filter=p&#038;getfields=wnnis&#038;sort=date:D:S:d1" T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="110" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Gregory Hartl</A> told the newspaper that the decision to declare a pandemic was made by Director General <A href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Margaret+Chan&#038;site=wnews&#038;client=wnews&#038;proxystylesheet=wnews&#038;output=xml_no_dtd&#038;ie=UTF-8&#038;oe=UTF-8&#038;filter=p&#038;getfields=wnnis&#038;sort=date:D:S:d1" T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="110" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Margaret Chan</A> alone. </P><br />
<P>‘Machine Grinding’ </P><br />
<P>In July, epidemiologist Tom Jefferson told Germany’s <A href="http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,637119,00.html" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Der Spiegel</A> that WHO, public health officials, virologists and pharmaceutical companies may have had ulterior motives in promoting the pandemic threat. </P><br />
<P>“They’ve built this machine around the impending pandemic,” Jefferson was quoted as saying. </P><br />
<P>“There’s a lot of money involved, and influence, and careers, and entire institutions,” he said. “All it took was one of these influenza viruses to mutate to start the machine grinding.” </P><br />
<P>Public perceptions about the pandemic and national preparedness plans have been influenced since 2004 by the threat of bird flu, “widely regarded as the virus most likely to ignite the next influenza pandemic,” WHO said in a <A href="http://www.who.int/csr/disease/swineflu/notes/briefing_20091203/en/index.html" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">statement</A> yesterday. The H5N1 strain of avian influenza killed 59 percent of the 444 people known to have been infected, according to WHO. </P><br />
<P>Adjusting Perceptions </P><br />
<P>“Adjusting public perceptions to suit a far less lethal virus has been problematic,” WHO said. “Given the discrepancy between what was expected and what has happened, a search for ulterior motives on the part of WHO and its scientific advisers is understandable, though without justification.” </P><br />
<P>Since April, at least <A href="http://www.who.int/csr/don/2009_11_27a/en/index.html" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">622,482 people</A> have been infected with the virus in more than 207 countries and territories, according to WHO. </P><br />
<P>Swine flu infections and deaths reported to WHO are based on laboratory confirmed tests rather than mathematical modeling used to estimate fatalities from seasonal flu, the agency said. </P><br />
<P>“With the current pandemic, we really have data which is almost an anomaly, when we look at how influenza has been counted in the past,” <A href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Keiji+Fukuda&#038;site=wnews&#038;client=wnews&#038;proxystylesheet=wnews&#038;output=xml_no_dtd&#038;ie=UTF-8&#038;oe=UTF-8&#038;filter=p&#038;getfields=wnnis&#038;sort=date:D:S:d1" T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="110" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Keiji Fukuda</A>, WHO’s special adviser on pandemic influenza, told reporters on a <A href="http://www.who.int/mediacentre/multimedia/vpc_transcript_3_december_09_fukuda.pdf" target=_blank T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="120" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">conference call</A> from London yesterday. “People do not typically count influenza deaths on a one-by-one basis. And so, we do not have a lot of data on laboratory-confirmed deaths for seasonal influenza.” </P><br />
<P>Accurate assessments of deaths and mortality rates will probably be possible only one to two years after the pandemic has peaked, WHO said. </P><br />
<P>“What we’re doing is reporting on the final score and we’re only at half time,” said Osterholm at the University of Minnesota. “We have no clue what’s going to happen in the next three to six months.” </P><br />
<P>To contact the reporter on this story: <A href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Jason+Gale&#038;site=wnews&#038;client=wnews&#038;proxystylesheet=wnews&#038;output=xml_no_dtd&#038;ie=UTF-8&#038;oe=UTF-8&#038;filter=p&#038;getfields=wnnis&#038;sort=date:D:S:d1" T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="110" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">Jason Gale</A> in Singapore at <A href="mailto:j.gale@bloomberg.net" T_DELAY="50" T_WIDTH="110" T_BGCOLOR="#ddedd9" T_FONTFACE="Verdana,sans-serif" T_FONTCOLOR="#000000" T_STATIC="true" T_ABOVE="true">j.gale@bloomberg.net</A> </P><I>Last Updated: December 4, 2009 06:00 EST</I> <BR></SPAN></p>
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		<title>[돼지독감] Swine flu `is no worse than seasonal strains (호주)</title>
		<link>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=1456</link>
		<comments>http://www.chsc.or.kr/?post_type=reference&#038;p=1456#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 01:09:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>건강과대안</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[식품 · 의약품]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pandemic (H1N1) 2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seasonal influenza]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[계절성 독감]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[돼지독감]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[신종플루]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[호주 역학조사]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 Comparison of adult patients hospitalised with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&#160;influenza and seasonal influenza during the “PROTECT” phase of the pandemic response Ya-Shu Chang, Sebastiaan J van [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><P class=Dt><A name=0_pgfId-1091824></A>Pandemic (H1N1) 2009</P><br />
<DIV class=Tg><A name=0_FGFEEDGF></A><A name=0_elementId-1094463></A><br />
<P class=Ti>Comparison of adult patients hospitalised with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza and seasonal influenza during the “PROTECT” phase of the pandemic response</P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=By><A name=0_elementId-1094481></A><A name=0_pgfId-1091821></A><SPAN class=Pn><SPAN class=Fn>Ya-Shu </SPAN><SPAN class=Sn>Chang</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN class=Pn>, <SPAN class=Fn>Sebastiaan </SPAN><SPAN class=Mn>J </SPAN><SPAN class=Sn>van Hal</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN class=Pn>, <SPAN class=Fn>Peter </SPAN><SPAN class=Mn>M </SPAN><SPAN class=Sn>Spencer</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN class=Pn>, <SPAN class=Fn>Iain </SPAN><SPAN class=Mn>B </SPAN><SPAN class=Sn>Gosbell</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN class=Pn> and <SPAN class=Fn>Peter </SPAN><SPAN class=Mn>W </SPAN><SPAN class=Sn>Collett<BR><BR></SPAN></SPAN></DIV><br />
<DIV class=So><A name=0_elementId-1094023></A><A name=0_pgfId-1091822></A>출처 : <U><FONT color=#810081 size=1>The Medical Journal of Australia, 30 November 2009</FONT></U><BR><A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html">http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html</A><A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/rop/contents_rop.html"><BR><BR><IMG hspace=3 src="http://www.mja.com.au/public/img/fastrackss.gif" vspace=3 border=0></A> <SPAN class=Pb>eMJA Rapid Online Publication – 30 November 2009</SPAN></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Contents><A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#intro"><br />
<P class=Hdx1></A><SPAN class=Hd>Abstract</SPAN> </P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Ab><br />
<DIV class=Abs><A name=0_elementId-1094492></A><SPAN class=Hd>Objective: </SPAN><A name=0_pgfId-1092811></A>To compare the patient characteristics, clinical features and outcomes of adult patients hospitalised with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza and seasonal influenza.<br />
<P></P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Abs><SPAN class=Hd><A name=0_pgfId-1091826></A>Design and setting: </SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1092819></A>Retrospective medical record review of all patients admitted to Liverpool Hospital, Sydney, with laboratory-confirmed influenza from the initiation of the “PROTECT” phase of the pandemic response on 17&nbsp;June until the end of our study period on 31&nbsp;July 2009.</P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Abs><SPAN class=Hd><A name=0_pgfId-1091827></A>Main outcome measures: </SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1092827></A>Severity of illness; requirement for admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) and/or invasive ventilation; mortality.</P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Abs><SPAN class=Hd><A name=0_pgfId-1091828></A>Results: </SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1092835></A>Sixty-four adults were admitted to Liverpool Hospital with influenza, 48&nbsp;with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza and 16&nbsp;with seasonal influenza. Thirteen patients were admitted to the ICU. Seven required invasive ventilation, with 2&nbsp;patients requiring ongoing extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Five patients died (mortality rate, 8%) with two deaths occurring after the study period. Patients with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza were younger and less likely to be immunocompromised than patients with seasonal influenza. However, the clinical features of pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza and seasonal influenza were similar.</P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Abs><SPAN class=Hd><A name=0_pgfId-1091829></A>Conclusions: </SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1092843></A>Our findings show that the clinical course and outcomes of pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza virus are comparable to those of the current circulating seasonal influenza in Sydney. The high number of hospital admissions reflects a high incidence of disease in the community rather than an enhanced virulence of the novel pandemic influenza virus.</P></DIV></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Bd><A name=intro></A><A name=0_pgfId-1099749></A><br />
<DIV class=Lv1><A name=0_elementId-1094740></A><br />
<P class=P><SPAN class=DropCap>I</SPAN><A name=0_pgfId-1092851></A>n early April 2009, a novel influenza A virus was identified in Mexico and Southern California.<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092265">1</A> The subsequent rapid international spread and sustained community transmission in the Americas, Europe, New Zealand and Australia resulted in the World Health Organization escalating the pandemic influenza response to Phase 6&nbsp;on 11&nbsp;June 2009.<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092267">2</A></P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1091837></A>The Australian Health Management Plan for Pandemic Influenza, which includes the ALERT, DELAY, CONTAIN, SUSTAIN, CONTROL and RECOVER phases of response,<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092269">3</A> was predicated on pandemic influenza causing high morbidity and mortality. However, pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza appeared to be causing milder disease. Cases of severe disease and deaths have been reported,<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092271">4</A> in particular, pregnant women could have severe disease.<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092273">5</A><SPAN class=Sp>,</SPAN><A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092275">6</A> A modified strategy, the “PROTECT” phase, was thus enacted on 17&nbsp;June 2009.<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092277">7</A> It focused on identifying and treating infection in people with moderate to severe disease and those with certain risk factors (pregnancy and underlying chronic diseases), controlling outbreaks in institutions, and monitoring hospitalisation.<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092279">8</A></P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_i1091857></A><A name=0_pgfId-1091856></A>The PROTECT phase coincided with the start of the influenza season in Sydney, and the surge in hospital admissions of patients with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza coincided with the expected surge in seasonal influenza. This situation allowed us to compare patient characteristics, clinical features and outcomes of infection with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza and seasonal influenza. Part of this work was presented at the 14th Congress of the Asian Pacific Society of Respirology in Seoul, Korea, 14–18&nbsp;November 2009&nbsp;(Poster no. APSR 2009-594).</P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Lv1><A name=0_elementId-1094694></A><A name=0_pgfId-1091858></A><SPAN class=Hd>Methods</SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1091865></A>We reviewed the medical records of all adult patients (aged 18&nbsp;years and over) with a laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of influenza who were admitted to Liverpool Hospital, Sydney, from 17&nbsp;June (the beginning of the PROTECT Phase) to 31&nbsp;July 2009.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1099824></A>During this period, nose and/or throat swabs were collected from all patients admitted with an influenza-like illness. Following total nucleic acid extraction using the MagNA Pure System (Roche Diagnostics Australia, Sydney, NSW) influenza was confirmed by polymerase chain reaction using the Influenza 4&nbsp;Easy-Plex assay kit (AusDiagnostics, Sydney, NSW). Subsequent typing was performed on all influenza A-positive isolates on the stored extract (<SPAN class=Symbol>− </SPAN>80°C) using the Influenza 6&nbsp;Easy-Plex assay kit (AusDiagnostics, Sydney, NSW).</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1091867></A>Demographic and clinical details were extracted from the clinical notes and electronic information system. These details included age, sex, place of residence, and presence of comorbid conditions or risk factors for possible severe illness (eg, obesity, diabetes, pregnancy and immunosuppression). The date of onset of presenting influenza-like illness symptoms (coryza, fever, cough, breathlessness, chest pain, sore throat, lethargy, myalgia, vomiting, diarrhoea and abdominal pain), clinical signs and laboratory results (including haematological, biochemical, serological, microbiological and arterial blood gas results with patients breathing room air) were also extracted. The clinical course, management directed by the attending physicians, and outcomes at discharge were similarly recorded.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1091868></A>Chest x-rays were reviewed and classified according to the type, pattern and extent of any abnormalities. The principal respiratory diagnosis was made after review of the complete record, with pneumonia defined as the presence of consistent radiological abnormalities and clinical signs.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1091869></A>Health-care-associated influenza was defined as onset of symptoms more than 4&nbsp;days after admission, to correspond with the upper limit of influenza virus incubation.<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092281">9</A></P><br />
<DIV class=Lv2><A name=0_elementId-1094675></A><A name=0_pgfId-1091873></A><SPAN class=Hd>Statistical analysis</SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1091874></A>Continuous and categorical data were analysed with Microsoft Office Excel 2007&nbsp;(Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, Wash, USA) and SPSS student version 16.0&nbsp;(SPSS Inc, Chicago, Ill, USA) using two-sample <SPAN class=Italic>t </SPAN>tests, Fisher’s Exact test, or adjusted or unadjusted <SPAN class=Symbol>χ</SPAN><SPAN class=Sp>2</SPAN> tests, as appropriate.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1091875></A>The study was approved by the Sydney South West Area Health Service, Human Research Ethics Committee (Project No. QA2009/047).</P></DIV></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Lv1><A name=0_elementId-1094715></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098279></A><SPAN class=Hd>Results</SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1099910></A>Sixty-five patients were admitted to Liverpool Hospital with a laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of influenza between 17&nbsp;June and 31&nbsp;July 2009. One of these patients had been admitted for ischaemic gut, and was excluded from the analysis because the patient did not have a concurrent influenza-like illness. Of the remaining 64&nbsp;patients, 48&nbsp;tested positive for pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza and the remaining 16&nbsp;tested positive for seasonal influenza A (11&nbsp;for subtype H3&nbsp;and five for untypeable non-pandemic [H1N1] 2009&nbsp;influenza). The epidemic curve showed that the peak of the outbreak occurred around 8&nbsp;July (<A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#Box1">Box 1</A>). Five of the 64&nbsp;cases of influenza (all pandemic [H1N1] 2009) were health-care associated.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1099914></A><A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#Box2">Box 2</A>&nbsp;shows demographic characteristics and presenting features and outcomes for patients admitted with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;and seasonal influenza. Patients with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza were significantly younger than those presenting with seasonal influenza (mean age, 45&nbsp;years v 64&nbsp;years; <I>P</I>&nbsp;<&nbsp;0.01). Patients with seasonal influenza were more commonly immunosuppressed than patients with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;(<I>P</I>&nbsp;<&nbsp;0.05). Although a relationship with pregnancy (patients in their postpartum period or pregnant) was more common in the pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;group (eight patients v one patient with seasonal influenza), this difference did not reach statistical significance (<A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#Box2">Box 2</A>).</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1099924></A>Thirteen patients were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) — three with seasonal and 10&nbsp;with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza. The clinical course and hospitalisation of these patients is illustrated in <A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#Box3">Box 3</A>. Of the three patients remaining in ICU, two died (patient 13&nbsp;and patient 6&nbsp;in <A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#Box3">Box 3</A>&nbsp;on 8&nbsp;August and 12&nbsp;August, respectively), with the remaining patient discharged alive from hospital on 23&nbsp;September 2009.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1099928></A><A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#Box2">Box 2</A>&nbsp;shows that the mean duration of symptoms before presentation was 4&nbsp;days, with fever, cough and dyspnoea being the most common symptoms in both groups. Similarly, there was no difference in the clinical signs between the two groups, with a diagnosis of pneumonia occurring in similar proportions of patients with seasonal and pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098304></A>Laboratory results showed no difference between the two groups in mean total white blood cell count, nadir lymphocyte count, C-reactive protein concentration, and mean partial pressure of arterial oxygen (patients breathing room air) at presentation. Forty-six patients had blood cultures and 12&nbsp;had sputum cultures performed. Three patients had bacterial co-infections with <SPAN class=Italic>Streptococcus pneumoniae</SPAN> and <SPAN class=Italic>Haemophilus influenzae</SPAN> confirmed by blood culture, and methicillin-sensitive <SPAN class=Italic>Staphylococcus aureus</SPAN> was isolated from one sputum culture.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098317></A>Chest x-rays were taken of 59&nbsp;of the 64&nbsp;patients, and abnormalities were detected in 31&nbsp;patients. Abnormal radiological features ranged from localised infiltrates to bilateral airspace consolidation (<A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#Box4">Box 4</A>). Four patients had radiological abnormalities attributable to chronic lung conditions without evidence of concurrent pneumonia.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098321></A>Fifty-three hospitalised patients were treated with a neuraminidase inhibitor and antibiotics. Corticosteroids were significantly more likely to be prescribed in the seasonal influenza group compared with the pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;group (<I>P</I>&nbsp;<&nbsp;0.05; <A href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#Box2">Box 2</A>). However, all corticosteroid use was deemed to be for treatment of an underlying respiratory illness rather than influenza. Treatment response did not differ significantly between the two groups, and the overall mean time to defervescence was 2.6&nbsp;days (range, 0–10&nbsp;days) and mean number of days in hospital was 8&nbsp;days (range, 0–61&nbsp;days). Overall, there were five deaths (four in the pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;group and one in the seasonal influenza group). Two deaths occurred in the ICU (see above).</P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Lv1><A name=0_elementId-1094728></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098332></A><SPAN class=Hd>Discussion</SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098335></A>A major strength of our study was that the epidemics of seasonal and pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza occurred concurrently, which allowed us to make a direct comparison. Our data show that there was no difference between the two groups except that patients admitted with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza tended to be younger and less immunocompromised. The clinical, radiological and laboratory features at presentation were similar in both patient groups, as were the clinical course, management and outcomes. Our findings show that, for hospitalised patients, the clinical manifestations and severity of pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;and seasonal influenza were similar. This suggests that the number of admissions to our hospital and ICU reflected the higher burden of disease in the community rather than a greater virulence of the novel pandemic influenza virus.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098339></A>Significant morbidity and mortality from influenza in pregnant women during previous pandemics has been reported.<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092283">10</A><SPAN class=Sp>,</SPAN><A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092285">11</A> For seasonal influenza, the highest morbidity for pregnant women occurred in the third trimester.<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092287">12</A> There have been several reports that pregnant women are at increased risk of severe complications from pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza.<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092273">5</A><SPAN class=Sp>,</SPAN><A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092275">6</A> However, we were unable to demonstrate a difference in clinical severity between the seasonal and the pandemic viruses. The reliability of our estimate is limited by the small sample size, and a definitive answer to this question requires a multicentre study.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098364></A>The clinical and epidemiological characteristics of 18&nbsp;people hospitalised with pneumonia caused by pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza in Mexico City have been reported.<A class=SupXRef href="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm.html#0_i1092291">13</A> The age, presence of comorbid conditions, presenting symptoms, laboratory findings and clinical features were similar to those in our group. However, in the Mexican series the higher proportion of abnormalities on chest x-ray (all patients), the number of patients with severe disease requiring invasive ventilation (12), and the mortality rate (39%) differ from our series (mortality rate, 8%). This could reflect differing admission criteria and smaller numbers.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098371></A>In conclusion, our study shows that the clinical disease caused by the novel pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza virus in humans is comparable to that caused by the current circulating seasonal influenza strains in Sydney. The number of patients with severe disease reflects the disease burden in the community resulting from the pandemic. Pregnant women are at risk of severe infection from influenza, but whether pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza is particularly virulent in pregnant women and those in their postpartum period requires further study. It remains unclear whether antiviral drugs alter the clinical course of severe influenza infection.</P><br />
<DIV class=Tbsmall><A name=0_elementId-1094500></A><A name=0_pgfId-1099954></A><A name=Box1></A><br />
<P class=Ti>1&nbsp;Admissions to Liverpool Hospital of 64&nbsp;adults with confirmed seasonal and pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza during the “PROTECT” phase of the epidemic*</P><br />
<TABLE width=600 align=center><br />
<TBODY><br />
<TR><br />
<TD><br />
<DIV><IMG hspace=3 src="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm-1.gif" align=center vspace=3 border=0></DIV></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD colSpan=16><br />
<HR color=#003399 noShade><br />
</TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD><br />
<P class=Pfoot><A name=0_pgfId-1099966></A>* The peak of both epidemics occurred around 8&nbsp;July 2009.</P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Tbsmall><A name=0_elementId-1094504></A><A name=0_pgfId-1099982></A><A name=Box2></A><br />
<P class=Ti>2&nbsp;Demographic, clinical and laboratory features of the 64&nbsp;patients admitted to Liverpool hospital with seasonal and pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza, 17&nbsp;June to 31&nbsp;July 2009</P><br />
<TABLE><br />
<TBODY><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=bottom><br />
<P class=THdleft><A name=0_pgfId-1099989></A>Patient features</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=bottom><br />
<P class=THd><A name=0_pgfId-1099993></A>Seasonal influenza</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=bottom><br />
<P class=THd><A name=0_pgfId-1099998></A>H1N1&nbsp;2009&nbsp;influenza</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline colSpan=16><br />
<HR color=#003399 noShade><br />
</TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100007></A>No. of patients</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100015></A>16</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100023></A>48</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100031></A>Mean age (years) </P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100039></A>64</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100047></A>45*</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100055></A>No. female</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100063></A>13</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100071></A>30</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100079></A>Comorbid conditions</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100087></A></P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100095></A></P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100103></A>None</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100111></A>6</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100119></A>21</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100127></A>Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100135></A>4</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100143></A>9</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100151></A>Obesity</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100159></A>2</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100167></A>9</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100175></A>Diabetes</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100183></A>1</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100191></A>15</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100199></A>Immunocompromised</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100207></A>7</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100215></A>8*</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100223></A>Pregnancy related</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100234></A>1<SPAN class=Sp>†</SPAN></P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100245></A>8<SPAN class=Sp>‡</SPAN></P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100253></A>Community acquired</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100261></A>16</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100269></A>43</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100277></A>Health-care associated</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100285></A>0</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100293></A>5</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100301></A>Symptoms</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100309></A></P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100317></A></P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100325></A>Fever</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100333></A>15</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100341></A>46</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100349></A>Cough</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100357></A>15</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100365></A>34</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100373></A>Dyspnoea</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100381></A>8</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100389></A>33</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100397></A>Lethargy</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100405></A>7</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100413></A>21</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100421></A>Myalgia</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100429></A>4</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100437></A>10</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100445></A>Sore throat</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100453></A>2</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100461></A>11</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100469></A>Vomiting and/or diarrhoea</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100477></A>5</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100485></A>23</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100493></A>Mean days from symptom onset to presentation (range)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100501></A>4&nbsp;(0–10)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100509></A>4&nbsp;(0–15)</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100517></A>Observations at presentation </P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100525></A></P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100533></A></P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100544></A>Febrile (temperature >&nbsp;37.5<SPAN class=Symbol>°</SPAN>C)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100552></A>10</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100560></A>38</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100568></A>Tachycardia (>&nbsp;100&nbsp;beats per min)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100576></A>8</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100584></A>29</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100591></A>Hypotensive (blood pressure <&nbsp;90&nbsp;mmHg systolic or <&nbsp;60&nbsp;mmHg diastolic)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100600></A>5</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100608></A>7</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100616></A>Tachypnoea (>&nbsp;16&nbsp;breaths per min) </P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100624></A>15</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100632></A>44</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100640></A>Hypoxia (peripheral blood oxygen saturation <&nbsp;95%)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100648></A>9</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100656></A>29</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100664></A>Laboratory results</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100672></A></P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100680></A></P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100694></A>Mean white blood cell count (cells × 10<SPAN class=Sp>9</SPAN>/L[range])</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100702></A>8.86&nbsp;(0.1–20.7)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100710></A>8.87&nbsp;(1.1–27.6)</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100724></A>Nadir lymphocyte count (cells × 10<SPAN class=Sp>9</SPAN>/L[range])</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100732></A>0.68&nbsp;(0–1.5)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100740></A>0.66&nbsp;(0.1–1.9)</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100748></A>Mean C-reactive protein concentration (mg/L[range])</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100756></A>134&nbsp;(9–580)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100764></A>104&nbsp;(6–630)</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100778></A>Mean Pa<SPAN class=SmallCaps>o</SPAN><SPAN class=Sb>2</SPAN> with patient breathing room air (mmHg [kPa])</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100786></A>61&nbsp;(8.1)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100794></A>72&nbsp;(9.6)</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100802></A>Chest x-ray findings</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100810></A></P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100818></A></P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100826></A>Normal</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100834></A>9</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100842></A>19</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100850></A>Abnormal</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100858></A>6</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100866></A>25</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100874></A>No chest x-ray</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100882></A>1</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100890></A>4</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100898></A>Diagnosis of pneumonia</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100906></A>6</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100914></A>21</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1100925></A><SPAN class=Italic>Pneumonia severity index (range)</SPAN></P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100936></A><SPAN class=Italic>135&nbsp;(100–158)</SPAN></P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100947></A><SPAN class=Italic>92&nbsp;(30–160)</SPAN></P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100955></A>Non-pneumonic diagnosis</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100963></A>10</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100971></A>27</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1100979></A>Treatment</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100987></A></P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1100995></A></P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1101003></A>Oseltamivir or zanamivir</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101011></A>13</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101019></A>40</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1101027></A>Antibiotics</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101035></A>15</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101043></A>43</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1101051></A>Corticosteroids</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101059></A>10</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101067></A>13</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1101075></A>Intensive care unit admission</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101083></A>3</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101091></A>10</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1101099></A>Non-invasive or invasive ventilation</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101107></A>2</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101115></A>10</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleftindent><A name=0_pgfId-1101123></A>Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101131></A>0</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101139></A>2</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1101147></A>Mean days to defervescence (range)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101155></A>2.6&nbsp;(0–10)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101163></A>3.2&nbsp;(0–14)</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1101171></A>Mean days in hospital (range) </P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101179></A>7&nbsp;(1–18)</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101187></A>8&nbsp;(0–61)</P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_pgfId-1101195></A>Overall deaths</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101203></A>1</P></TD><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pcentre><A name=0_pgfId-1101214></A>4<SPAN class=Sp>§</SPAN></P></TD></TR></TBODY><br />
<TFOOT><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline colSpan=16><br />
<HR color=#003399 noShade><br />
</TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline colSpan=3><br />
<P class=Pleft><A name=0_i1092179></A><A name=0_pgfId-1101231></A>Pa<SPAN class=SmallCaps>o</SPAN><SPAN class=Sb>2</SPAN>&nbsp;=&nbsp;partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood. * <I>P</I>&nbsp;<&nbsp;0.05. <SPAN class=Sp>†</SPAN> Patient in the second trimester of pregnancy. <SPAN class=Sp>‡</SPAN> Of the eight patients, three were in the postpartum period, with two in the first, two in the second and one in the third trimester of pregnancy. <SPAN class=Sp>§</SPAN> Of the five deaths, three occurred during the study period; the remaining two occurred on 8&nbsp;and 12&nbsp;August 2009. </P></TD></TR></TFOOT></TABLE></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Tbsmall><A name=0_elementId-1094528></A><A name=0_pgfId-1101543></A><A name=Box3></A><br />
<P class=Ti>3&nbsp;Clinical courses of 13&nbsp;patients admitted to Liverpool Intensive Care Unit (ICU) with pandemic (H1N1) 2009&nbsp;influenza and seasonal influenza, 17&nbsp;June to 31&nbsp;July 2009*</P><br />
<TABLE width=600 align=center><br />
<TBODY><br />
<TR><br />
<TD><br />
<DIV><IMG hspace=3 src="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm-2.gif" align=center vspace=3 border=0></DIV></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD colSpan=16><br />
<HR color=#003399 noShade><br />
</TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD><br />
<P class=Pfoot><A name=0_pgfId-1101550></A>*&nbsp;As of 31&nbsp;July&nbsp;2009, three patients remained in the ICU, with two of these being treated with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.</P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Tbsmall><A name=0_elementId-1094520></A><A name=0_pgfId-1101558></A><A name=Box4></A><br />
<P class=Ti>4&nbsp;Chest x-rays showing typical abnormalities found in patients hospitalised with influenza, 17&nbsp;June to 31&nbsp;July 2009</P><br />
<TABLE width=280 align=center><br />
<TBODY><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><IMG hspace=1 src="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm-3.jpg" align=center vspace=1 border=0></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><br />
<P class=Pfoot><SPAN class=Italic>Patient with pandemic (H1N1) 2009 influenza showing airspace opacity in the left upper and left lower lobes and medial right upper zone.</SPAN></P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=baseline><IMG hspace=1 src="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm-4.jpg" align=center vspace=1 border=0></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD vAlign=top><br />
<P class=Pfoot><SPAN class=Italic>Patient with pandemic (H1N1) 2009 influenza showing bilateral interstitial and airspace opacity.</SPAN></P></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD><IMG hspace=1 src="http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/192_02_180110/cha10960_fm-5.jpg" align=center vspace=1 border=0></TD></TR><br />
<TR><br />
<TD><br />
<P class=Pfoot><SPAN class=Italic>Patient with seasonal influenza showing bilateral airspace opacity.</SPAN></P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Ed><A name=0_elementId-1094624></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098408></A><br />
<DIV class=Eds><A name=0_elementId-1094605></A><SPAN class=Hd>Acknowledgements</SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098411></A>We thank the medical and nursing staff of Liverpool Hospital, who assisted with the clinical care of patients affected by influenza, and the scientific staff of Sydney South West Pathology Service — Liverpool, who performed the diagnostic testing on the patients. We also thank Professor Guy Marks for his comments on our manuscript.</P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Eds><A name=0_elementId-1094601></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098419></A><SPAN class=Hd>Competing interests</SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098424></A>None identified.</P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Eds><A name=0_elementId-1094614></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098430></A><SPAN class=Hd>Author details</SPAN><A name=0_elementId-1094467></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098463></A><SPAN class=Pn><SPAN class=Fn>Ya-Shu </SPAN><SPAN class=Sn>Chang,</SPAN><SPAN class=Deg> MB ChB</SPAN><SPAN class=Pos>, Respiratory Registrar</SPAN><SPAN class=Sp>1</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN class=Pn><A name=0_pgfId-1098495></A><SPAN class=Fn>Sebastiaan </SPAN><SPAN class=Mn>J </SPAN><SPAN class=Sn>van Hal,</SPAN><SPAN class=Deg> MB ChB, FRACP, FRCPA</SPAN><SPAN class=Pos>, Infectious Diseases Physician</SPAN><SPAN class=Sp>2</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN class=Pn><A name=0_pgfId-1098537></A><SPAN class=Fn>Peter </SPAN><SPAN class=Mn>M </SPAN><SPAN class=Sn>Spencer,</SPAN><SPAN class=Deg> MB BS</SPAN><SPAN class=Pos>, Respiratory Registrar</SPAN><SPAN class=Sp>1</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN class=Pn><A name=0_pgfId-1098569></A><SPAN class=Fn>Iain </SPAN><SPAN class=Mn>B </SPAN><SPAN class=Sn>Gosbell,</SPAN><SPAN class=Deg> MD, FRACP, FRCPA</SPAN><SPAN class=Pos>, Foundation Professor of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases,</SPAN><SPAN class=Sp>3</SPAN><SPAN class=Pos> and Infectious Diseases Physician</SPAN><SPAN class=Sp>2</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN class=Pn><A name=0_pgfId-1098615></A><SPAN class=Fn>Peter </SPAN><SPAN class=Mn>W </SPAN><SPAN class=Sn>Collett,</SPAN><SPAN class=Deg> MB BS, PhD, FRACP</SPAN><SPAN class=Pos>, Respiratory Physician</SPAN><SPAN class=Sp>1</SPAN></SPAN><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098623></A>1&nbsp;Department of Respiratory Medicine, Liverpool Hospital, Sydney, NSW.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098627></A>2&nbsp;Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Sydney South West Pathology Service, Sydney, NSW.</P><br />
<P class=P><A name=0_pgfId-1098631></A>3&nbsp;Microbiology and Infectious Diseases Unit, School of Medicine, University of Western Sydney, Sydney, NSW.</P><A name=0_elementId-1094476></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098647></A><br />
<P class=P><SPAN class=BoldItalic>Correspondence: </SPAN><SPAN class=Eml>i.gosbellATuws.edu.au</SPAN></P></DIV><br />
<DIV class=Eds><A name=0_elementId-1094569></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098653></A><SPAN class=Hd>References</SPAN><br />
<OL class=Rf><A name=0_i1092265></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098659></A><br />
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<LI class=Urf><A name=0_i1092287></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098747></A>Neuzil KM, Reed GW, Mitchel EF, et al. Impact of influenza on acute cardiopulmonary hospitalizations in pregnant women. <SPAN class=Italic>Am J Epidemiol</SPAN> 1998; 148: 1094-1102. <A href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&#038;db=PubMed&#038;list_uids=9850132&#038;dopt=Abstract" target=7><PubMed></A><br />
<LI class=Urf><A name=0_i1092291></A><A name=0_pgfId-1098755></A>Perez-Padilla R, de la Rosa-Zamboni D, Ponce de Leon S, et al. Pneumonia and respiratory failure from swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) in Mexico. <SPAN class=Italic>N Engl J Med</SPAN> 2009; 361: 680-689. Epub 2009 Jun 29. <A href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&#038;db=PubMed&#038;list_uids=19564631&#038;dopt=Abstract" target=8><PubMed></A> </LI></OL></DIV><br />
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<P class=P><SPAN class=Italic>(Received 13&nbsp;Aug 2009, accepted 9&nbsp;Nov 2009)</SPAN><BR>=============================<BR><BR>Swine flu `is no worse than seasonal strains&#8217; <!-- google_ad_section_end(name=story_headline) --><!-- // .story-headline --></P></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV><br />
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<UL><br />
<LI class="byline first ">Adam Cresswell, health editor<br />
<LI class="source  "><SPAN class=source-prefix>From:</SPAN> <CITE><A class=source-theaustralian href="http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/"><FONT color=#003366>The Australian</FONT></A> </CITE><br />
<LI class="date-and-time  last"><SPAN class=datestamp><FONT color=#008000>The Australian </FONT>December 01, 2009</SPAN> <SPAN class=timestamp><EM><FONT face="Trebuchet MS" color=#666666>12:00AM</FONT></EM></SPAN></LI></UL></DIV><br />
<P>source : <A href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/health-science/swine-flu-is-no-worse-than-seasonal-strains/story-e6frg8y6-1225805509987?from=public_rss">http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/health-science/swine-flu-is-no-worse-than-seasonal-strains/story-e6frg8y6-1225805509987?from=public_rss</A><BR><BR><STRONG>THE dominant expert view that swine flu is much more dangerous than seasonal strains is under attack from Australian research, which has found little to no difference in patients infected by the two types. <!-- google_ad_section_end(name=story_introduction) --><!-- // .story-intro --><!-- google_ad_section_start(name=story_body, weight=high) --></STRONG></P><br />
<P>In results that could undermine uptake of the swine flu vaccine, researchers tracked the progress of all patients admitted to a major Sydney hospital during the recent epidemic, finding the course of the illness was &#8220;comparable to those of the current circulating seasonal influenza in Sydney&#8221;. The findings threaten to debunk the firming medical orthodoxy that swine flu hits patients much harder than the strains that circulate every winter, particularly children and pregnant women.</P><br />
<P>The results have already been criticised by some infectious diseases experts, who say the findings are based on very small numbers and do, in fact, point to a greater danger from swine flu.</P><br />
<P>The study&#8217;s authors, from Sydney&#8217;s Liverpool Hospital, the Sydney South West Pathology Service and the University of Western Sydney, said their results showed that high numbers of hospital admissions for swine flu reflected the rapid spread of the disease, not any increased virulence of the H1N1 virus.</P><br />
<P>&#8220;Our findings show that, for hospitalised patients, the clinical manifestations and severity of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 and seasonal influenza were similar,&#8221; they wrote in the study published online yesterday by the Medical Journal of Australia.</P><br />
<P>Even among pregnant women &#8212; a group that was said to have been particularly at risk of severe complications in the recent epidemic &#8212; the authors said they were &#8220;unable to demonstrate a difference in clinical severity&#8221; compared with pregnant women with annual flu strains. For the research, the authors tracked all 64 adults who were admitted to Liverpool Hospital with influenza from June 17 until July 31.</P><br />
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